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Lai Sun Development Co (0488) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0488

Lai Sun Development Co

(HKEX:0488)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:HKD 0.62â–²(2.30% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/19/26

The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance, marked by declining revenue, persistent losses, and deteriorating free cash flow, with leverage adding balance-sheet risk. Technicals also weigh on the score as the stock trades below key moving averages and momentum signals are mildly negative. Valuation is difficult to support with a negative P/E and no dividend yield data provided.

Positive Factors
Diversified property and hospitality business modelExposure to property development, investment properties, and hotel operations provides multiple operating channels. This diversification can reduce reliance on any single asset type and support recovery potential across different property and hospitality cycles.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trendRevenue contraction indicates weaker demand, project delivery, or asset monetization and reduces the scale available to absorb fixed property and hospitality costs. Sustained weakness could constrain earnings recovery and limit internally generated investment capacity.

Lai Sun Development Co (0488) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%HK:0488+1.67%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 72.67M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
64.84K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.4
Beta (1Y)
0.73
Revenue Growth
2.77%
EPS Growth
16.62%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
3,600
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Diversified

Lai Sun Development Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Lai Sun Development Company Limited is a diversified conglomerate, headquartered in Central, Hong Kong, and operating as a subsidiary of Lai Sun Garment (International) Limited. The company's core business involves the investment, development, leasin...

How the Company Makes Money

Lai Sun Development makes money mainly through (1) property development: generating revenue and profit from the sale of developed residential or commercial properties (recognizing income when units/projects are sold and delivered under applicable acc...

Lai Sun Development Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall financials indicate material weakness: declining revenue (-15.53%), deeply negative profitability (net margin -58.67% with negative EBIT/EBITDA margins), and significant cash flow pressure (free cash flow growth -190.22%). Balance sheet leverage (debt-to-equity 1.13) adds risk, despite a relatively stable equity ratio.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

30Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJul 2026Jul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.28B5.33B4.90B6.00B5.21B5.34B
Gross Profit1.43B813.57M990.18M1.53B328.95M968.81M
EBITDA-169.63M-1.02B-1.47B-1.69B-434.59M398.01M
Net Income-2.40B-2.40B-2.87B-3.67B-2.97B-1.97B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets59.75B59.75B64.23B67.42B73.97B80.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.03B4.03B3.19B2.88B5.01B7.62B
Total Debt23.54B23.54B26.12B26.20B27.01B29.09B
Total Liabilities31.90B31.90B34.84B35.11B37.11B39.91B
Stockholders Equity21.38B21.38B23.12B25.81B29.78B32.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-352.13M0173.30M-907.79M-570.00M-4.58B
Operating Cash Flow-321.06M0269.72M-763.84M-379.60M-4.31B
Investing Cash Flow77.60M0297.32M899.15M559.11M-767.50M
Financing Cash Flow145.53M0-379.08M-977.20M-1.45B2.15B

Lai Sun Development Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.61

Price Trends

50DMA0.66Negative
100DMA0.69Negative
200DMA0.71Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Negative
RSI47.41Neutral
STOCH61.11Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0488, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.62, below the 50-day MA of 0.66, and below the 200-day MA of 0.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0488.

Lai Sun Development Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

HK:0488 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0010HK:001071OutperformHKD 16.63B11.741.41%7.04%9.19%-0.21%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
HK:0041HK:004158NeutralHKD 10.32B-38.22-0.52%7.78%74.94%84.97%
HK:0012HK:001252NeutralHKD 135.75B20.322.11%4.49%45.52%13.35%
HK:0978HK:097842NeutralHKD 1.16B-0.45-39.42%―25.82%-27.10%
HK:0488HK:048842NeutralHKD 886.53M-0.37-10.97%―2.77%16.62%
HK:0017HK:001737UnderperformHKD 12.71B-0.65-16.35%―9.77%-72.68%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%HK:0488HK:0041HK:0012HK:0010HK:0017HK:0978Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0488 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0488Lai Sun Development Co 0.61-0.01-1.61%
HK:0041Great Eagle Holdings 13.76-0.03-0.21%
HK:0012Henderson Land Development Co 28.041.596.03%
HK:0010Hang Lung Group 12.21-1.93-13.66%
HK:0017New World Development Co. Ltd.5.05-2.36-31.85%
HK:0978China Merchants Land Limited0.24-0.06-19.66%

Lai Sun Development Co Corporate Events

Lai Sun Development Outlines Plan to Restore Hong Kong Public Float Compliance

Aug 5, 2026

Lai Sun Development Company Limited, a Hong Kong-listed property and investment conglomerate, operates under the Stock Exchange’s regulatory framework that mandates a minimum public float. The company’s shareholding structure includes sub...

Lai Sun Development Completes Consent Solicitation and Exchange Offer for 2026 Notes

Jul 29, 2026

Lai Sun Development Company Limited announced the successful settlement of its consent solicitation related to the 5.00 per cent guaranteed notes due 2026, confirming that all conditions were met, consent fees were paid and the proposed amendments an...

Lai Sun Development Restructures 2026 Guaranteed Notes via Consent and Exchange Offer

Jul 10, 2026

Lai Sun Development Company Limited has announced the successful outcome of a consent solicitation for its 5.00 per cent guaranteed notes due 2026, issued by Lai Sun MTN Limited. Noteholders passed an Extraordinary Resolution, satisfying the eligibil...

Lai Sun Development Warns of Ongoing Shortfall in Public Float

Jul 6, 2026

Lai Sun Development Company Limited, a Hong Kong-listed property and investment group and a key subsidiary of Lai Sun Garment (International) Limited, is navigating constraints from its controlling shareholder and market valuation. The company’...

Lai Sun Development Wins Strong Noteholder Backing for 2026 Bond Amendments

Jun 30, 2026

Lai Sun Development Company Limited, acting as guarantor for Lai Sun MTN Limited, is involved in the issuance and guarantee of medium-term notes, including its 5.00 per cent guaranteed notes due 2026. These capital markets activities underpin the gro...

Lai Sun Development Launches Exchange Offer to Ease Liquidity Pressures

Jun 14, 2026

Lai Sun Development Company Limited, through its financing vehicle Lai Sun MTN Limited, has issued 5.00 per cent guaranteed notes due 2026 and uses such instruments to support its funding needs in the property and investment sector. The group’s...

Lai Sun Development Updates Market on Continuing Public Float Shortfall

Jun 3, 2026

Lai Sun Development Company Limited has disclosed that its current public float stands at 19.60%, below the 25% minimum required under Hong Kong Stock Exchange Listing Rules. The company has been providing periodic updates since January 2026 as it wo...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2026