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Tomson Group Limited (0258) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0258

Tomson Group Limited

(HKEX:0258)

Select Model
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:HKD 2.00â–¼(-2.91% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/19/26

Strong 2025 financial recovery with revenue surge, profitability gains, and low leverage is the main positive driver, tempered by bearish technical signals from price below moving averages and elevated P/E valuation.

Positive Factors
High ProfitabilityVery high gross and operating margins indicate strong profitability in the latest annual period. If these margins remain supported by the property portfolio and completed developments, they can provide substantial earnings capacity and resilience across the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Choppy Revenue TrendThe recent revenue rebound is encouraging, but repeated declines across earlier years make the top-line recovery less predictable. Uneven development completions, property sales timing and rental performance could continue to produce inconsistent revenue and earnings over the medium term.

Tomson Group Limited (0258) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-25%-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%HK:0258-18.32%EWH+8.68%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
HKD 4.65B
Dividend Yield
6.55%
Average Volume (3M)
351.58K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
49.3
Beta (1Y)
0.33
Revenue Growth
-72.64%
EPS Growth
-89.37%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
440
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Diversified

Tomson Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tomson Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development and investment, hospitality and leisure, securities trading, and media and entertainment investment and operation businesses in Hong Kong, Macau, and Mainland Ch...

How the Company Makes Money

The company primarily makes money through (1) rental and related income from its investment properties in Hong Kong, where it earns recurring revenue from leasing space to tenants; and (2) profits from property development, where it generates income...

Tomson Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Robust 2025 recovery with 376% revenue growth to drive net income to $791M, low debt-to-equity of 0.10, improved ROE at 6%, and operating cash flow turning positive at $1.1B, despite prior years' volatility.

Income Statement

85Very Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

75Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue801.35M2.94B393.73M513.81M596.13M942.31M
Gross Profit558.89M2.06B336.75M357.51M450.42M839.71M
EBITDA296.12M1.79B285.26M190.27M292.29M632.25M
Net Income94.41M791.25M176.79M42.68M17.17M283.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.62B23.58B20.64B18.36B18.80B20.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.48B2.34B2.19B3.59B4.02B4.56B
Total Debt966.68M1.35B1.12B393.30M246.66M306.08M
Total Liabilities13.36B10.47B8.75B6.22B6.09B6.70B
Stockholders Equity13.26B13.11B11.76B12.01B12.39B13.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.94B1.10B-2.13B-302.32M-75.81M251.38M
Operating Cash Flow2.36B1.12B-2.12B-299.90M130.83M257.63M
Investing Cash Flow-62.37M-67.91M144.11M102.81M-89.25M1.44B
Financing Cash Flow-907.75M138.99M669.38M-100.60M-161.84M-879.69M

Tomson Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price2.06

Price Trends

50DMA2.12Negative
100DMA2.13Negative
200DMA2.22Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Negative
RSI45.92Neutral
STOCH60.61Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0258, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.07, below the 50-day MA of 2.12, and below the 200-day MA of 2.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0258.

Tomson Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

HK:0258 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0258HK:025870OutperformHKD 4.76B49.280.72%6.55%-72.64%-89.37%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
HK:0242HK:024250NeutralHKD 1.28B-2.53-1.60%―-39.60%3.68%
HK:0488HK:048842NeutralHKD 915.60M-0.38-10.97%―2.77%16.62%
HK:0978HK:097841NeutralHKD 1.15B-0.45-39.42%―25.82%-27.10%
HK:3377HK:337737UnderperformHKD 369.35M-0.03239.84%―-4.40%-61.12%
HK:0480HK:048030UnderperformHKD 1.47B-5.82-1.17%―68.10%66.63%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%HK:0258HK:0488HK:0242HK:3377HK:0978HK:0480Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HK:0258 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0258Tomson Group Limited2.06-0.50-19.50%
HK:0488Lai Sun Development Co 0.63-0.02-3.08%
HK:0242Shun Tak Holdings 0.42-0.32-43.24%
HK:3377Sino-Ocean Group Holding 0.03-0.08-73.64%
HK:0978China Merchants Land Limited0.24-0.05-18.28%
HK:0480HKR International Limited0.99-0.15-13.16%

Tomson Group Limited Corporate Events

Tomson Group Profit Slumps on Lower Revenue and Property Valuation Hit

Aug 26, 2026

Tomson Group Limited reported a sharp decline in interim profit for the six months ended June 30, 2026, as revenue dropped to HK$460.1 million from HK$2.64 billion a year earlier and gross profit fell accordingly. Earnings attributable to shareholder...

Tomson Group Sets Board Meeting to Approve 2026 Interim Results

Aug 13, 2026

Tomson Group Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 26 August 2026 to review and approve the consolidated interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The announcement signals that the company is preparing to release its mid-year financi...

Tomson Group flags up to 90% interim profit slump on slower project revenue

Aug 6, 2026

Tomson Group Limited has warned that its consolidated profit attributable to shareholders for the six months ended 30 June 2026 is expected to fall by approximately 85% to 90% from HK$782.19 million a year earlier, driven largely by timing difference...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 19, 2026