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Guoco Group (0053) AI Stock Analysis

HK:0053

Guoco Group

(HKEX:0053)

Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:HKD 74.00â–²(7.48% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/21/26

Financial performance driven by robust cash generation and attractive valuation with low P/E and high yield are the primary positives; bearish technical momentum and modest returns on equity are the main constraints.

Positive Factors
Diversified operating platformGuoco Group’s presence across property, hospitality, leisure, and financial services gives it multiple operating platforms and asset exposures. This diversification can support resilience over the medium term because performance is not tied to a single business line or market.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue contractionThe latest period shows a reversal from the company’s longer-term revenue growth, with annual revenue declining and broader reported growth also negative. Continued top-line softness would limit operating leverage, reduce reinvestment capacity, and make sustained earnings expansion harder to achieve.

Guoco Group (0053) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%HK:0053-6.89%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 2.74B
Dividend Yield
5.23%
Average Volume (3M)
6,814
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.9
Beta (1Y)
0.47
Revenue Growth
-10.61%
EPS Growth
-20.00%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
10,300
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Conglomerates

Guoco Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Guoco Group Limited functions as an investment holding company, overseeing a range of operations that include principal investments, property development and ownership, hospitality and leisure, and financial services. Its Principal Investment divisio...

Guoco Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong cash flow (82) provides stability and flexibility, offsetting moderate income statement (58) results with recent revenue decline and balance sheet (52) metrics showing low ROE despite improved leverage.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

82Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.86B2.87B3.11B2.88B2.49B1.90B
Gross Profit846.74M848.78M1.11B1.07B909.36M750.01M
EBITDA779.18M781.13M873.72M968.73M413.28M566.33M
Net Income411.81M412.83M513.46M458.58M438.97M249.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.68B17.68B18.67B17.35B132.62B130.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.03B3.03B3.26B3.14B22.48B20.59B
Total Debt4.91B4.91B6.15B5.82B5.75B5.82B
Total Liabilities6.35B6.35B7.62B7.23B55.29B54.93B
Stockholders Equity9.04B9.04B8.75B7.86B59.34B57.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.12B1.25B5.17B921.75M829.90M409.37M
Operating Cash Flow1.35B1.36B5.97B1.02B892.38M451.67M
Investing Cash Flow512.34M514.00M-5.94B-264.70M-384.86M-293.91M
Financing Cash Flow-1.53B-1.54B-3.74B-451.27M-613.06M-98.61M

Guoco Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price68.85

Price Trends

50DMA70.73Negative
100DMA70.09Negative
200DMA70.30Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.59Positive
RSI41.06Neutral
STOCH51.29Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0053, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 68.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.77, below the 50-day MA of 70.73, and below the 200-day MA of 70.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0053.

Guoco Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

HK:0053 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0019HK:001973OutperformHKD 125.93B16.323.38%3.76%6.76%618.77%
HK:0267HK:026773OutperformHKD 357.81B5.238.21%5.57%12.61%10.92%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
HK:0053HK:005363NeutralHKD 22.39B6.914.57%5.23%-10.61%-20.00%
HK:0363HK:036362NeutralHKD 14.58B7.174.00%8.35%-28.06%-23.13%
HK:0001HK:000159NeutralHKD 253.55B6.716.62%3.55%-2.34%388.55%
HK:0656HK:065655NeutralHKD 36.16B-1.38-23.63%0.45%-1.33%-409.12%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%HK:0053HK:0001HK:0267HK:0656HK:0363HK:0019Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0053 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0053Guoco Group 68.85-5.09-6.89%
HK:0001CK Hutchison Holdings 66.2015.8831.57%
HK:0267CITIC 12.300.796.86%
HK:0656Fosun International 4.46-0.45-9.16%
HK:0363Shanghai Industrial Holdings 13.410.685.33%
HK:0019Swire Pacific Class A106.4044.3371.42%

Guoco Group Corporate Events

Guoco Group Sets November AGM to Approve Dividend, Board Mandates and Share Issuance Powers

Oct 16, 2026

Guoco Group Limited, a Bermuda-incorporated investment holding company listed in Hong Kong, oversees diversified businesses in financial services, property, hospitality and strategic investments across Asia. The group emphasizes strong corporate gove...

Guoco Group Profit Falls but Dividend Rises on Strong Asset Backing

Sep 28, 2026

Guoco Group reported a decline in turnover to HK$22.95 billion and revenue to HK$22.02 billion for the year ended 30 June 2026, down 15% and 10% respectively, with profit attributable to equity shareholders falling 20% to HK$3.21 billion. Earnings pe...

Guoco Group Declares HKD 2.9 Final Dividend for FY2026

Sep 28, 2026

Guoco Group Limited, a Hong Kong-listed investment holding company, announced a final ordinary cash dividend of HKD 2.9 per share for the financial year ended 30 June 2026. The board is led by Executive Chairman Kwek Leng Hai and CEO Christian K. Not...

Guoco Group Sets Board Meeting to Approve Annual Results and Consider Final Dividend

Sep 15, 2026

Guoco Group Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 28 September 2026 to review and approve the annual results for the financial year ended 30 June 2026. The board will also consider recommending a final dividend, which could have implications for...

GuocoLand Profit Falls but Dividend Raised as Guoco Group Prepares Consolidation

Aug 28, 2026

GuocoLand Group reported revenue of S$1.43 billion for the year ended 30 June 2026, down from S$1.92 billion a year earlier, as gross profit fell to S$186.8 million from S$365.8 million. Profit for the year dropped to S$78.6 million from S$138.8 mill...

Guoco Group Flags Release of GuocoLand 2026 Interim and Full-Year Results

Aug 28, 2026

Guoco Group has issued an overseas regulatory announcement to inform investors that its Singapore-listed subsidiary, GuocoLand Limited, has published its condensed interim financial statements for the six months and full year ended 30 June 2026 on th...

Rank Group lifts underlying profit on stronger gaming revenue despite statutory profit dip

Aug 13, 2026

Guoco Group has issued an overseas regulatory announcement highlighting preliminary results from its subsidiary The Rank Group for the year to 30 June 2026. Rank reported strong underlying like-for-like net gaming revenue of £834.1 million, with...

Guoco’s Rank Subsidiary Lifts Revenue and Dividend Despite One-Off Charges

Aug 13, 2026

Guoco Group has released headline financial information from its London-listed subsidiary The Rank Group for the year ended 30 June 2026, showing modest growth in underlying performance. The disclosure aims to keep Hong Kong investors informed about...

Guoco Group Updates Bermuda Registered Office and Confirms Hong Kong Share Registrar

Aug 3, 2026

Guoco Group Limited has changed the address of its registered office, principal share registrar, and transfer office in Bermuda to a new location in Hamilton, effective 3 August 2026. The company’s branch share registrar and transfer office in...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 20, 2026