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Grove Collaborative Holdings (GROV)
NYSE:GROV
US Market

Grove Collaborative Holdings (GROV) AI Stock Analysis

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Grove Collaborative Holdings

(NYSE:GROV)

43Neutral
GROV's overall stock score reflects significant financial difficulties, with declining revenues and negative profitability as key concerns. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while the negative P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. Despite some positive aspects from recent earnings, including debt elimination and strategic acquisitions, long-term sustainability and growth remain in question. The stock faces ongoing challenges which weigh heavily on its overall attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
Recent acquisitions of Grab Green and 8Greens should help incrementally add sales.
Customer Growth
Management's initiatives are bearing fruit with increased orders per active customer and average spending per customer growing.
Debt Reduction
The acquisition signals GROV's improving balance sheet as they reduce their debt and look to become more consistently profitable.
Negative Factors
Brick & Mortar Performance
Sales were pressured by weaker-than-expected brick & mortar performance, leading to management announcing the winddown of their B&M business by early 2025, which represented less than 4% of total sales.
Financial Guidance
Management lowered their FY24 guidance to $200M to $205M due to weaker-than-anticipated B&M weakness which impacted 3Q and expected to continue in 4Q.
Gross Margins
Gross margins in the quarter deleveraged primarily from increased promotional activity.

Grove Collaborative Holdings (GROV) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Grove Collaborative Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrove Collaborative Holdings (GROV) is a leading e-commerce company that specializes in providing sustainable, eco-friendly household and personal care products. The company operates within the consumer goods sector, focusing on offering a wide range of environmentally friendly products, including cleaning supplies, personal care items, and wellness products. Grove Collaborative is committed to sustainability, ensuring that all of its products are ethically sourced and packaged in recyclable or reusable materials.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrove Collaborative makes money primarily through direct-to-consumer sales via its online platform. The company generates revenue by selling its own line of branded products, as well as products from other eco-friendly brands. A significant portion of its income is derived from subscription services, where customers can sign up for regular deliveries of their preferred products, ensuring a steady and predictable revenue stream. Additionally, Grove Collaborative benefits from partnerships with various environmentally conscious brands, expanding its product offerings and attracting a wider customer base. The company's focus on sustainability and eco-friendly products aligns with increasing consumer demand for environmentally responsible choices, further driving its revenue growth.

Grove Collaborative Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Grove Collaborative Holdings faces substantial financial challenges, with declining revenues, negative profitability, and a precarious balance sheet. Despite some positive operating cash flow recently, the overall financial health is concerning, necessitating strategic improvements.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has shown a consistent decline in revenue over the years, with a significant drop from $383.7M in 2021 to $203.4M in 2024. Gross profit margins have been relatively stable but are overshadowed by negative EBIT and net income margins, indicating ongoing operational challenges. Net profit margin remains negative, reflecting continued losses.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a negative stockholders' equity in 2024, highlighting financial instability. The debt-to-equity ratio is undefined due to negative equity, signaling potential leverage risks. The equity ratio is also negative, indicating more liabilities than assets, which could pose long-term sustainability issues.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow is consistently negative, although there is a slight improvement in free cash flow from 2023 to 2024. However, the company has faced significant cash flow challenges, with financing cash flows largely negative, indicating potential difficulties in raising capital.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
203.43M259.28M321.53M383.69M364.27M
Gross Profit
109.35M137.36M154.65M188.50M176.00M
EBIT
-12.28M-31.45M-140.98M-128.85M-66.49M
EBITDA
-4.79M-21.29M-72.26M-125.65M-62.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-27.42M-43.23M-87.72M-135.90M-72.26M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
19.63M86.41M81.08M78.38M176.52M
Total Assets
65.01M150.74M174.04M182.47M269.72M
Total Debt
14.59M89.56M81.09M90.51M58.23M
Net Debt
-5.04M3.14M8.00K12.14M-118.29M
Total Liabilities
48.79M132.62M147.51M150.83M121.44M
Stockholders Equity
16.22M18.12M26.53M31.64M148.28M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-11.51M-10.98M-100.48M-132.86M-88.48M
Operating Cash Flow
-9.75M-7.99M-96.26M-127.09M-83.66M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.62M-2.98M-4.22M-5.77M-4.82M
Financing Cash Flow
-59.19M9.86M118.09M34.71M228.17M

Grove Collaborative Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.14
Price Trends
50DMA
1.39
Negative
100DMA
1.43
Negative
200DMA
1.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
42.89
Neutral
STOCH
67.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GROV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.12, below the 50-day MA of 1.39, and below the 200-day MA of 1.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GROV.

Grove Collaborative Holdings Risk Analysis

Grove Collaborative Holdings disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grove Collaborative Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Grove Collaborative Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
UGUG
71
Outperform
$36.80M11.3227.94%8.74%11.91%25.93%
61
Neutral
$6.65B11.713.09%3.98%2.65%-20.82%
60
Neutral
$19.60M7.8026.08%-10.68%
58
Neutral
$185.84M15.2014.07%-1.86%25.97%
NUNUS
57
Neutral
$305.84M-19.90%3.88%-12.04%-1796.38%
43
Neutral
$45.77M-159.69%-21.54%40.62%
41
Neutral
$143.63M-52.34%-16.00%69.61%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GROV
Grove Collaborative Holdings
1.14
-0.47
-29.19%
MTEX
Mannatech
10.31
2.37
29.85%
NUS
Nu Skin
6.19
-5.69
-47.90%
UG
United-Guardian
8.01
0.37
4.84%
SKIN
Beauty Health
1.14
-2.29
-66.76%
EWCZ
European Wax Center
3.36
-8.23
-71.01%

Grove Collaborative Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 11, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -31.33%|
Next Earnings Date:May 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call outlined several positive achievements, including sequential revenue growth, debt elimination, and strategic acquisitions. However, these were tempered by significant challenges such as a year-over-year revenue decline, customer attrition, and negative EBITDA. The call highlighted both progress and ongoing challenges in the company's transformation efforts.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Revenue Growth
For the first time since early 2022, Grove Collaborative achieved sequential revenue growth in Q4 2024, marking a significant milestone in their turnaround strategy.
Debt Elimination
The company fully eliminated $72 million in term debt by the end of 2024, significantly improving their financial position.
Positive Operating Cash Flow
Grove maintained positive operating cash flow in the fourth quarter, marking the third consecutive quarter of positive cash flow.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquisitions of Grab Green and 8Greens were completed, expanding Grove's product offerings in eco-friendly cleaning and wellness categories.
Successful E-commerce Transition
Transition to Shopify platform is expected to unlock efficiencies and was partially completed, reducing the need for extensive in-house technical oversight.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline Year-over-Year
Despite sequential growth, Q4 2024 revenue was down 17.4% year-over-year, reflecting a longer-term decline trend.
Active Customer Decline
Active customers declined by 3.1% quarter-over-quarter and 25.2% year-over-year, indicating challenges in customer retention.
Negative Adjusted EBITDA
The company reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of $1.6 million in Q4 2024, down from breakeven in the previous quarter.
Leadership Changes
Key leadership changes occurred with the departure of the CFO and CTO, which could indicate potential instability.
Challenges with Shopify Transition
Early-stage challenges related to platform performance and customer experience were noted during the Shopify transition.
Company Guidance
In the call, Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc. provided detailed guidance for 2025, highlighting several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company anticipates that the first quarter of 2025 will be the lowest revenue quarter, with improvements expected through the second and third quarters, leading to year-over-year growth in the low single-digit percentage range by the fourth quarter. Full-year 2025 revenue is projected to be flat to down by a mid-single-digit percentage year-over-year. Moreover, Grove expects adjusted EBITDA to be in the breakeven to positive low single-digit millions range. The exit from the brick-and-mortar business is expected to be completed by mid-2025, which is anticipated to strengthen the bottom line. The company also discussed the impact of recent acquisitions on their financial results and emphasized their strategic focus on expanding third-party products and optimizing their Grove Co portfolio through increased innovation and alignment with consumer demands.

Grove Collaborative Holdings Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Grove Collaborative Reports 2024 Financial Results and Strategic Acquisitions
Positive
Mar 11, 2025

On March 11, 2025, Grove Collaborative Holdings announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, highlighting sequential revenue growth and positive operating cash flow for the first time since early 2022. The company also completed a $72 million voluntary repayment of term debt and reported positive Adjusted EBITDA for the full year, marking significant milestones in its turnaround strategy. The acquisition of 8Greens and Grab Green reflects Grove’s strategic focus on sustainability and innovation. Despite a year-over-year revenue decline due to reduced advertising spend, the company remains optimistic about its trajectory, aiming for year-over-year net revenue growth by the fourth quarter of 2025.

Executive/Board Changes
Grove Collaborative Holdings Appoints Tom Siragusa as Interim CFO
Neutral
Feb 18, 2025

Grove Collaborative Holdings announced changes in its executive team, with Tom Siragusa appointed as interim CFO and other key roles effective February 16, 2025. This follows the agreed termination of Sergio Cervantes as CFO on that date, with a separation agreement providing him with financial and stock compensation, subject to certain conditions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.