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Graham Holdings (GHC) AI Stock Analysis

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GHC

Graham Holdings

(NYSE:GHC)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:$1,281.00▲(5.26% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/29/26

Overall score reflects solid underlying financial health (low leverage and improved profitability) tempered by a sharp TTM revenue decline and weaker cash conversion. Valuation is attractive (low P/E), while technicals are neutral/mixed and a positive divestiture supports the strategic outlook.

Positive Factors
Conservative Balance SheetLow leverage and a substantial equity base give Graham Holdings financial flexibility across its diversified businesses. This supports resilience during cyclical periods, preserves capacity for investment or acquisitions, and reduces the balance-sheet pressure that can limit strategic choices.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue DeclineA 25.2% trailing revenue decline is a material top-line headwind for a diversified holding company. Sustained contraction would reduce operating leverage, limit the resources available for reinvestment, and make the company more dependent on margin gains or portfolio actions to support earnings.

Graham Holdings (GHC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%GHC+14.31%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$5.07B
Dividend Yield
0.62%
Average Volume (3M)
31.91K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.6
Beta (1Y)
0.52
Revenue Growth
4.26%
EPS Growth
-31.87%
Country
US
Employees
19,920
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Conglomerates

Graham Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Graham Holdings Company operates as a globally diversified enterprise, encompassing a wide array of education, media, and other ventures. Its extensive educational offerings include providing test preparation materials and services, specialized train...

How the Company Makes Money

Graham Holdings primarily makes money through the operating earnings and cash flows generated by its collection of wholly owned and majority-owned businesses, supplemented by investment income and gains/losses from its investment holdings. A signific...

Graham Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial profile is supported by a conservatively levered balance sheet (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.28) and improved TTM profitability (net margin ~10.7%, ROE ~11.6%). Offsetting this, TTM revenue fell sharply (-25.2%) and cash-flow conversion softened (operating cash flow ~26% of net income), with results showing meaningful year-to-year volatility.

Income Statement

66Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

60Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.12B4.91B4.79B4.41B3.92B3.19B
Gross Profit1.51B1.36B1.47B1.31B1.27B1.07B
EBITDA825.79M740.91M1.45B665.21M504.84M719.55M
Net Income494.04M292.29M724.63M205.29M67.08M352.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.29B8.40B7.68B7.19B6.55B7.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.23B1.36B1.12B866.92M791.73M970.33M
Total Debt1.40B1.73B1.17B1.25B1.19B1.15B
Total Liabilities3.45B3.53B3.35B3.12B2.78B3.00B
Stockholders Equity4.78B4.79B4.26B3.98B3.73B4.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow220.84M275.30M324.08M166.43M152.92M39.89M
Operating Cash Flow309.12M347.19M406.99M259.88M235.60M202.43M
Investing Cash Flow-150.80M-179.44M-62.33M-154.03M-177.15M-494.63M
Financing Cash Flow-179.27M-165.48M-240.97M-98.78M-25.02M31.03M

Graham Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1216.96

Price Trends

50DMA1170.55Positive
100DMA1170.21Positive
200DMA1135.55Positive

Market Momentum

MACD12.12Negative
RSI56.33Neutral
STOCH57.50Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GHC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1216.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1206.27, above the 50-day MA of 1170.55, and above the 200-day MA of 1135.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 12.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GHC.

Graham Holdings Risk Analysis

Graham Holdings disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Graham Holdings reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Claims related to Authenticity, Ownership or Intellectual Property Rights of Artwork Sold by Saatchi Art Could Adversely Impact its Business.Q4, 2025
2.Reliance on Plasma Supply and Third-Party Manufacturing Could Limit CSI's Ability to Meet Demand and Increase Costs.Q4, 2025
3.Reviews and Audits by Government Agencies and Private Payors Could Negatively Impact the Company's Healthcare BusinessesQ4, 2025

Graham Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

GHC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GHCGHC69Neutral$5.10B10.5910.36%0.62%4.26%-31.87%
RCMTRCMT64Neutral$244.82M15.5437.92%―11.24%31.12%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
CODICODI62Neutral$897.57M-15.25-0.18%―12.88%85.04%
BBUCBBUC59Neutral$6.11B-18.212.32%0.85%179.94%85.40%
STRRSTRR38Underperform$32.43M-2.92-14.34%―52.15%-136.04%
FBYDFBYD34Underperform$806.37M-61.46-6.61%―181.39%-194.74%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%GHCCODISTRRRCMTFBYDBBUCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
GHC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GHCGraham Holdings Company Common1216.96157.4914.87%
CODICompass Diversified12.206.45112.17%
STRRHudson Global8.93-1.15-11.41%
RCMTRCM (RCMT)34.8215.9284.23%
FBYDFalcon's Beyond Global, Inc. Class A6.33-5.89-48.20%
BBUCBrookfield Business Corp. Class A29.37-2.39-7.53%

Graham Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

Kaplan Sells Dublin Business School to China Chunlai

Positive
Aug 5, 2026

On August 5, 2026, Kaplan announced an agreement for its Kaplan International UK Holdings unit to sell Dublin Business School, including related intellectual property, to China Chunlai Education Group for US$127.5 million, subject to possible deducti...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026