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Tern plc (TERN) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:TERN

Tern plc

(LSE:TERN)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:GBX 0.72â–¼(-4.00% Downside)
Action:upgraded
Date:10/13/26

The severely low overall score is heavily driven by Tern plc's distressed financial performance and poor valuation metrics. Persistent cash burn, catastrophic top-line decline, and deeply negative earnings significantly outweigh the neutral technical indicators, presenting a high risk profile for investors.

Positive Factors
Focused cybersecurity and IoT portfolioConcentration in cybersecurity and IoT software gives Tern exposure to technology markets with potentially durable demand. Its investment-company structure allows capital and support to be allocated across multiple portfolio businesses rather than relying on one operating product.
Negative Factors
Persistent multi-year lossesRepeated net losses weaken earnings quality and reduce the capital available to support portfolio companies or fund new investments. The multi-year pattern also indicates that the recent revenue rebound has not yet translated into a self-sustaining profitable business model.

Tern plc (TERN) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%GB:TERN+70.45%EWC+21.04%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
GBP 7.22M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
2.73M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.1
Beta (1Y)
-0.22
Revenue Growth
330.50%
EPS Growth
-102.94%
Country
UK
Employees
6
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Asset Management

Tern plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tern Plc is a venture capital firm specializing in early-stage and growth capital investment. The firm typically invests in the software companies having IoT security, Artificial Intelligence ("AI"), Machine Learning ("ML"), Virtual/Augmented Reality...

How the Company Makes Money

Tern plc primarily makes money through investment returns from its portfolio companies. Its potential revenue and value realisation typically come from: (1) gains on disposals of equity stakes when portfolio companies are sold, merge, or list publicl...

Tern plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Tern plc is highly distressed, characterized by collapsing revenues, severe net losses, and persistent operational cash burn. While a virtually debt-free balance sheet offers a minor cushion, the rapid depletion of stockholders' equity poses severe long-term sustainability risks.

Income Statement

12Very Negative

Balance Sheet

35Negative

Cash Flow

18Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue69.00K54.00K17.40K199.23K-8.34M6.10M
Gross Profit65.00K54.00K17.40K199.23K66.01K63.78K
EBITDA-4.51M-5.09M00-8.42M0
Net Income-4.51M-5.09M-3.77M-12.61M-10.45M4.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.01M7.49M11.31M13.15M25.18M32.76M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments95.00K49.38K382.21K297.56K931.76K1.96M
Total Debt148.00K181.93K161.11K418.20K00
Total Liabilities585.00K607.41K597.62K848.44K325.00K342.06K
Stockholders Equity7.42M6.88M10.71M12.30M24.85M32.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.17M-1.12M-1.57M-1.22M-2.20M-1.48M
Operating Cash Flow-1.17M-1.12M-1.57M-1.22M-2.20M-1.48M
Investing Cash Flow-355.90K-453.90K-406.39K151.92K-1.63M-2.50M
Financing Cash Flow1.55M1.24M1.65M431.54K2.80M3.81M

Tern plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.75

Price Trends

50DMA0.91Negative
100DMA1.07Negative
200DMA0.90Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.05Positive
RSI31.50Neutral
STOCH24.01Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:TERN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.90, below the 50-day MA of 0.91, and below the 200-day MA of 0.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:TERN.

Tern plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

GB:TERN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
GB:NETGB:NET67NeutralGBP 238.84M150.543.23%0.67%20.24%-62.04%
GB:DSGGB:DSG58NeutralGBP 6.99M-6.62-18.80%―-14.79%-1833.33%
GB:TIDEGB:TIDE50NeutralGBP 6.57M23.704.92%―――
GB:GETBGB:GETB49NeutralGBP 38.02M-30.1634.82%―6.07%-851.52%
GB:TERNGB:TERN42NeutralGBP 7.22M-1.09-63.09%―330.50%-102.94%
GB:RDTGB:RDT39UnderperformGBP 1.18M-0.23480.99%―-1.56%55.81%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%GB:TERNGB:TIDEGB:DSGGB:NETGB:RDTGB:GETBDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
GB:TERN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:TERNTern plc0.750.3378.15%
GB:TIDECrimson Tide100.0034.0051.52%
GB:DSGDillistone Group plc17.207.7081.05%
GB:NETNetcall plc140.0018.0414.79%
GB:RDTRosslyn Data Technologies1.00-2.35-70.15%
GB:GETBGetbusy Plc74.50-2.50-3.25%

Tern plc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings

Tern Plc Settles SVV2 Liabilities to Refocus on Core IoT Portfolio

Positive
Oct 12, 2026

Tern Plc has reached a settlement with the General Partner of Sure Valley Ventures Enterprise Capital Fund LP, ending all claims and potential liabilities linked to its former participation in the SVV2 fund. The company has paid £73,740 under the agr...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

Tern plc Confirms Total Voting Rights and Share Capital

Positive
Sep 30, 2026

Tern plc has confirmed that its issued ordinary share capital now comprises 962,140,161 ordinary shares, each carrying one voting right, and that it holds no shares in treasury. This updated total voting rights figure provides shareholders and potent...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing

Tern Plc narrows losses and strengthens balance sheet as portfolio adjusts to tough tech markets

Positive
Sep 29, 2026

Tern Plc reported unaudited interim results for the six months to 30 June 2026, highlighting disciplined financial management and selective investment amid a challenging funding environment for early-stage technology firms. Net assets rose to £7.4 mi...

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Tern raises £0.5m after 90% take-up of underwritten open offer

Positive
Sep 23, 2026

Tern plc has reported strong investor support for its underwritten open offer, with qualifying shareholders subscribing for approximately 90% of the 56,596,480 new shares available. The remaining shares will be taken up by underwriter CMC Markets UK...

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements

Tern-backed Talking Medicines launches AI tool linking message resonance to prescribing intent

Positive
Sep 16, 2026

Talking Medicines, in which Tern plc holds a 23.8% equity stake, has launched an Intent to Prescribe application within its DrugVoice platform, supported by new partnerships with point-of-care data providers. The tool combines the proprietary Message...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Tern plc launches underwritten open offer to fund patient exit strategy

Neutral
Sep 7, 2026

Tern plc has launched an underwritten open offer to raise about £509,368 via the issue of 56,596,480 new shares at 0.90p, a 25% discount to the recent market price. All qualifying shareholders can subscribe on a 1-for-16 basis, with CMC Markets UK Pl...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 13, 2026