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Orchard Funding (ORCH) AI Stock Analysis

GB:ORCH

Orchard Funding

(LSE:ORCH)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:GBX 77.00â–²(10.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/02/26

The score is primarily supported by attractive valuation and solid profitability. Strong technical momentum is a secondary positive, while historically weak cash generation and increasing leverage are the main risks. Recent revenue contraction and overbought technical indicators also limit the overall score.

Positive Factors
Strong profitabilityVery high margins and rising net income indicate that Orchard Funding’s financing model is currently converting revenue into substantial earnings. This profitability provides capacity to support operations, absorb some volatility, and reinvest in the payment and premium-finance platform.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue declineThe approximately 13% revenue decline in 2026 shows that growth has become less consistent after several years of expansion. If this pullback persists, it could reduce operating leverage, constrain future earnings growth, and weaken the scale benefits of the financing platform.

Orchard Funding (ORCH) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-10%0%10%20%30%GB:ORCH+25.47%EWC+24.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
GBP 14.84M
Dividend Yield
5.76%
Average Volume (3M)
33.88K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
4.1
Beta (1Y)
-0.49
Revenue Growth
53.19%
EPS Growth
129.54%
Country
UK
Employees
23
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Credit Services

Orchard Funding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Orchard Funding Group plc is a UK-based financial services company, operating through its various subsidiaries, which specializes in providing flexible financing solutions. The company enables both businesses and individual customers to manage the ex...

Orchard Funding Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability is strong and earnings remain positive, but rising leverage and historically weak, volatile cash flow materially reduce the score despite recent cash-flow improvement.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

40Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.49M10.49M10.50M9.64M7.86M6.19M
Gross Profit9.85M10.31M9.93M5.37M4.14M4.78M
EBITDA6.03M6.51M5.86M2.23M2.22M1.94M
Net Income3.29M3.29M3.07M1.58M1.71M1.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets67.82M67.82M67.55M69.19M61.88M48.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.07M1.07M639.00K1.48M2.55M4.80M
Total Debt33.64M33.64M32.86M40.22M34.72M25.52M
Total Liabilities44.61M44.61M46.04M50.25M44.13M32.16M
Stockholders Equity23.20M23.19M21.54M18.90M17.75M16.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.76M6.87M6.99M-6.14M-10.72M-9.94M
Operating Cash Flow7.77M6.89M7.01M-5.47M-10.66M-9.92M
Investing Cash Flow-13.00K-15.00K-14.00K-628.00K-97.00K-16.00K
Financing Cash Flow-7.60M-7.28M-7.84M5.03M8.51M12.56M

Orchard Funding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price70.00

Price Trends

50DMA61.14Positive
100DMA60.29Positive
200DMA57.66Positive

Market Momentum

MACD2.68Negative
RSI75.09Negative
STOCH70.68Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ORCH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 70.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.51, above the 50-day MA of 61.14, and above the 200-day MA of 57.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.09 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:ORCH.

Orchard Funding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

GB:ORCH against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:TIMEGB:TIME74OutperformGBP 54.49M8.908.28%―5.19%14.53%
GB:ORCHGB:ORCH69NeutralGBP 14.95M4.0715.18%5.76%53.19%129.54%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
GB:FCHGB:FCH62NeutralGBP 571.83M9.9926.71%―52.96%242.50%
GB:LENDGB:LEND34UnderperformGBP 8.08M-0.50216.55%―37.16%-1246.15%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%GB:ORCHGB:TIMEGB:BANKGB:LENDGB:FCHGB:ZAIMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
GB:ORCH and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:ORCHOrchard Funding69.5014.1125.47%
GB:TIMETime Finance plc58.9011.4024.00%
GB:BANKImmedia Group plc2.25-7.00-75.68%
GB:LENDSancus Lending Group Limited0.750.3066.67%
GB:FCHFunding Circle Holdings208.0076.6058.30%
GB:ZAIMZaim Credit Systems Plc4.500.000.00%

Orchard Funding Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Orchard Funding lifts half‑year profit as lower funding costs offset softer lending

Positive
Oct 13, 2026

Orchard Funding Group PLC reported a 32 percent rise in profit before tax to £2.52 million for the six months to 31 July 2026, despite a 5.14 percent decline in overall lending volumes and slightly lower total revenue. Improved profitability was...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 02, 2026