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Nostrum Oil & Gas (GB:NOG)
LSE:NOG
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Nostrum Oil & Gas (NOG) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:NOG

Nostrum Oil & Gas

(LSE:NOG)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
0.76 p
▲(1.87% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/29/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—large net losses, negative equity, and high leverage—despite improved margins and a return to positive free cash flow. Technical indicators also point to a pronounced downtrend with negative momentum, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Improved operating economics
Higher revenue alongside a substantial gross-margin improvement indicates better field-level economics in the latest period. If maintained, this can improve the cash contribution from production and provide a stronger base for funding operations, even though overall profitability remains weak.
Negative Factors
Severe unprofitability
The very large net loss relative to revenue shows that improved gross margins have not translated into sustainable bottom-line earnings. Continued losses can consume financial resources, weaken the ability to fund development internally, and make recovery dependent on a significant improvement in operating results.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved operating economics
Higher revenue alongside a substantial gross-margin improvement indicates better field-level economics in the latest period. If maintained, this can improve the cash contribution from production and provide a stronger base for funding operations, even though overall profitability remains weak.
Read all positive factors

Nostrum Oil & Gas (NOG) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Nostrum Oil & Gas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC operates as an independent entity, specializing in the upstream sector of the oil and gas industry. The company is actively involved in discovering, developing, and extracting hydrocarbon resources within the Pre-Caspian Basi...
How the Company Makes Money
NOG primarily makes money by producing hydrocarbons and selling them to third-party buyers. Its core revenue streams are: (1) crude oil and condensate sales, where revenue is generally driven by realized market prices (often linked to regional/int...

Nostrum Oil & Gas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite modest revenue growth (+4.6%) and improved gross margin (~38.8% vs. ~31.5%), results are dominated by very weak profitability (TTM net margin ~-174% with a large net loss) and a stressed capital structure (persistently negative equity and high debt). Positive TTM operating cash flow (~24.7M) and free cash flow (~6.1M) help, but are small relative to the debt load and have been volatile historically.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
10
Very Negative
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue126.70M120.50M137.08M119.63M199.72M195.28M
Gross Profit49.17M37.99M65.07M42.00M115.66M99.65M
EBITDA1.40M38.64M143.38M973.69M76.21M101.97M
Net Income-220.18M-218.18M-26.58M831.66M-116.44M-26.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets486.85M501.95M606.00M519.34M590.12M565.31M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments155.21M143.34M150.42M161.71M233.58M165.25M
Total Debt769.35M705.82M571.37M471.75M1.40B1.29B
Total Liabilities867.14M808.82M698.48M585.01M1.53B1.39B
Stockholders Equity-379.70M-306.39M-92.54M-66.17M-940.23M-823.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.07M-3.80M535.00K-19.48M87.43M108.58M
Operating Cash Flow24.74M19.59M33.08M-2.22M102.20M117.42M
Investing Cash Flow122.66K-23.39M-26.47M-28.08M-15.78M-19.78M
Financing Cash Flow-5.85M-2.78M-17.71M-41.62M-17.48M-10.86M

Nostrum Oil & Gas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.75
Price Trends
50DMA
1.72
Negative
100DMA
2.61
Negative
200DMA
2.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Negative
RSI
34.53
Neutral
STOCH
47.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:NOG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.71, below the 50-day MA of 1.72, and below the 200-day MA of 2.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:NOG.

Nostrum Oil & Gas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
52
Neutral
£9.74M-7.46-18.21%――33.33%
46
Neutral
£11.76M-5.93-8.91%―-25.76%-69.23%
42
Neutral
£9.35M-0.92-22.10%4.20%―-150.68%
41
Neutral
£1.32M>-0.0171.56%3.29%-10.13%-390.01%
34
Underperform
£3.75M-32.50-2.93%352.73%140.95%63.64%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:NOG
Nostrum Oil & Gas
0.75
-2.79
-78.81%
GB:RBD
Reabold Resources
64.50
7.00
12.17%
GB:UOG
United Oil & Gas Plc
0.23
0.08
50.00%
GB:WTE
Westmount Energy
2.55
1.00
64.52%
GB:BLOE
Block Energy Plc
0.85
0.00
0.00%

Nostrum Oil & Gas Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Nostrum Oil & Gas Faces OFAC License Hurdle in Noteholder Consent Process
Negative
Sep 22, 2026
Nostrum Oil Gas Finance B.V. has issued an important update to its ongoing consent solicitation for holders of its senior unsecured notes due 2026, following new U.S. sanctions affecting a key noteholder affiliated with VTB Bank. The designation ...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Nostrum Seeks Noteholder Consent as It Sells Kazakh Assets and Restructures Debt
Negative
Sep 8, 2026
Nostrum Oil Gas Finance B.V., an indirect subsidiary of Nostrum Oil Gas PLC, has launched a consent solicitation to eligible holders of its U.S.$345,078,171 1.00%/13.00% Senior Unsecured Notes due 2026. The process seeks approval for an extraord...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Nostrum Oil & Gas Finalises Consent Solicitation and Tender Offer on Senior Notes
Positive
Sep 4, 2026
Nostrum Oil Gas Finance B.V. and Nostrum Oil Gas B.V. have completed a consent solicitation and tender offer process for their senior secured notes, achieving the required approvals for long-term standstills and related modifications to their de...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Nostrum Extends Note Tender Offer After Agreeing Sale of Key Kazakhstan Assets
Neutral
Aug 19, 2026
Nostrum Oil Gas Finance B.V. and Nostrum Oil Gas B.V. have updated investors after their parent agreed to sell its participating interests in Zhaikmunai LLP and Positiv Invest LLP, along with related loan rights, to Altaris Holding Ltd., backed ...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Nostrum Oil & Gas to Sell Kazakh Assets and Wind Down After Debt Repayments
Negative
Aug 17, 2026
Nostrum Oil Gas has agreed to sell its Kazakh subsidiaries Zhaikmunai LLP and Positiv Invest LLP, including related loan rights, to Altaris Holding for a purchase price of U.S.$304.6 million, subject to working capital and net debt adjustments. M...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Nostrum Oil & Gas lifts H1 revenue and cash as it secures bond standstill
Positive
Aug 11, 2026
Nostrum Oil Gas reported stronger unaudited results for the first half of 2026, with revenue up 13.3% to US$72.6 million and EBITDA rising 16.4% to US$27.7 million, driven by higher Brent prices, a better crude export mix and increased third&#820...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Nostrum Oil & Gas lifts H1 2026 output and cash flow as bond standstill bolsters liquidity
Positive
Jul 31, 2026
Nostrum Oil Gas reported improved operational and financial performance for the six months to 30 June 2026, driven by higher export volumes, stronger product prices and increased third‑party feedstock. Average daily processed volumes rose 5...
Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing
Nostrum Oil & Gas launches tender offer amid revised debt restructuring and Kazakh tax disputes
Neutral
Jul 24, 2026
Nostrum Oil Gas B.V., a subsidiary of Nostrum Oil Gas PLC, has launched a tender offer for its U.S.$250 million 5.00% Senior Secured Notes due 2026, inviting eligible holders to tender their securities via an unmodified reverse Dutch auction, wi...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing
Nostrum Oil & Gas Wins Noteholder Backing in Key Consent Solicitation
Positive
Jul 20, 2026
Nostrum Oil Gas Finance B.V., the financing arm of Nostrum Oil Gas PLC, has secured noteholder approval for key resolutions in its consent solicitation relating to its U.S.$250 million Senior Secured Notes and U.S.$345 million Senior Unsecured N...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Nostrum Oil & Gas publishes 2025 government payments report
Neutral
Jun 30, 2026
Nostrum Oil Gas PLC has published its 2025 report on payments to governments, detailing the taxes, royalties and other payments made by the company and its subsidiaries to public authorities. The disclosure, prepared in line with UK regulatory re...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 29, 2026