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Mpac Group PLC (MPAC) AI Stock Analysis

GB:MPAC

Mpac Group PLC

(LSE:MPAC)

Select Model
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:GBX 339.00▼(-1.90% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/11/26

The overall score is driven primarily by weak financial quality, as rising debt, negative ROE, and cash burn outweigh strong revenue growth and margin improvement, placing the company in a cautious risk category. Technicals provide a meaningful offset, with the price trending above key moving averages and momentum indicators pointing to a steady, non-overbought uptrend. Valuation further tempers the outlook, as a negative P/E and lack of dividend reduce appeal for earnings- and income-focused investors.

Positive Factors
Accelerating revenue and gross-margin improvementFaster revenue growth alongside a higher gross margin indicates stronger commercial momentum and improved economics in the engineered-equipment business. If sustained, this combination can support operating leverage, strengthen reinvestment capacity, and improve the company’s ability to compete for future automation projects.
Negative Factors
2025 net loss and negative profitabilityThe move into a sizable net loss shows that revenue growth has not yet translated into dependable bottom-line earnings. Persistent earnings volatility would weaken internal funding capacity, reduce resilience during slower project cycles, and make future performance more dependent on successful execution.

Mpac Group PLC (MPAC) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%GB:MPAC-8.00%EWC+22.69%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
GBP 103.75M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
60.72K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-14.0
Beta (1Y)
1.11
Revenue Growth
9.04%
EPS Growth
40.78%
Country
UK
Employees
900
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Mpac Group PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mpac Group plc is a global supplier of sophisticated packaging and automation solutions, catering to the healthcare, pharmaceutical, and food and beverage industries. Operating through its Original Equipment and Service divisions, the company focuses...

How the Company Makes Money

Mpac Group PLC makes money primarily by selling engineered-to-order industrial automation and packaging machinery and related services. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Capital equipment and systems sales: revenue from designing and deliver...

Mpac Group PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Robust 18% revenue growth and improving gross margins are offset by a swing to a net loss, higher leverage, negative ROE, and deteriorating operating and free cash flow, indicating elevated financial risk despite top-line strength.

Income Statement

65Positive

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue160.40M174.10M122.40M114.20M97.70M94.30M
Gross Profit48.40M57.20M34.70M31.60M22.80M28.90M
EBITDA21.20M17.90M10.20M11.10M5.00M12.40M
Net Income-7.40M-9.50M1.40M2.70M-400.00K7.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets207.40M221.60M272.40M137.90M129.70M128.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.70M9.60M18.20M11.00M4.20M14.50M
Total Debt63.10M68.50M67.60M15.10M14.20M6.90M
Total Liabilities141.10M146.30M164.40M73.90M67.50M62.70M
Stockholders Equity66.30M75.30M108.00M64.00M62.20M65.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.80M-3.20M-500.00K8.60M-16.40M-1.30M
Operating Cash Flow-2.60M-2.60M1.40M11.20M-14.00M400.00K
Investing Cash Flow-5.20M-5.50M-59.50M-2.60M-3.20M-300.00K
Financing Cash Flow-7.20M-6.70M64.50M-1.80M6.60M-1.40M

Mpac Group PLC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price345.55

Price Trends

50DMA338.59Positive
100DMA319.65Positive
200DMA303.91Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.45Negative
RSI70.71Negative
STOCH88.89Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:MPAC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 345.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 338.48, above the 50-day MA of 338.59, and above the 200-day MA of 303.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.71 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.89 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:MPAC.

Mpac Group PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

GB:MPAC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:BOYGB:BOY67NeutralGBP 1.55B26.959.30%2.54%1.68%111.96%
GB:CGSGB:CGS66NeutralGBP 118.30M15.675.98%6.76%-2.11%80.71%
GB:GDWNGB:GDWN65NeutralGBP 1.10B28.8834.20%6.41%――
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
GB:AVGGB:AVG62NeutralGBP 280.68M38.385.57%0.66%4.43%2.67%
GB:MGAMGB:MGAM52NeutralGBP 721.44M39.865.79%4.60%-5.58%-32.73%
GB:MPACGB:MPAC51NeutralGBP 102.70M-13.98-10.45%―9.04%40.78%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%50%GB:MPACGB:AVGGB:BOYGB:CGSGB:GDWNGB:MGAMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
GB:MPAC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:MPACMpac Group PLC345.00-32.50-8.61%
GB:AVGAvingtrans plc760.00274.4856.53%
GB:BOYBodycote plc916.50311.5051.49%
GB:CGSCastings plc272.0045.6220.15%
GB:GDWNGoodwin plc15280.00-6843.13-30.93%
GB:MGAMMorgan Advanced Materials265.5071.8837.12%

Mpac Group PLC Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions

Mpac Group strengthens balance sheet but faces margin pressures in H1 2026

Neutral
Sep 15, 2026

Mpac Group reported half-year results showing a stabilised but pressured business, with order intake up 42.8% year-on-year to £77.8m and a closing order book of £80.5m, while revenue from original equipment and services slipped slightly to...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Mpac Group Sets Date for Half-Year Results and Investor Presentation

Positive
Aug 14, 2026

Mpac Group plc will publish its unaudited results for the six months to 30 June 2026 on 15 September 2026, underscoring its ongoing disclosure schedule to the market. Management will brief analysts on the day, signaling continued engagement with the...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

Mpac completes sale of Lambert unit to cut debt and sharpen packaging focus

Positive
Jul 24, 2026

Mpac Group plc, a global provider of automated high-speed packaging machinery, focuses on original equipment and services that support the food, beverage and healthcare sectors worldwide. The company employs over 1,000 staff, including more than 500...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Mpac grants performance-linked share options to incoming CFO

Positive
Jul 23, 2026

Mpac Group plc has granted 54,455 options over new ordinary shares to incoming chief financial officer Duncan Tyler under its Long Term Incentive Plan, aligning his remuneration with the company’s future performance. The award comprises 43,564...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 11, 2026