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MHP SE GDR RegS (MHPC) AI Stock Analysis

GB:MHPC

MHP SE GDR RegS

(LSE:MHPC)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:$5.00â–²(2.04% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/21/26

The score is held down primarily by weakening profitability and notably negative recent free cash flow, alongside a strong bearish technical setup (below all major moving averages with very weak momentum). Valuation is neutral (P/E 15), and the latest earnings call was mixed—cost relief and European growth are positives, but the net loss, margin pressure, and reduced EBITDA outlook temper confidence.

Positive Factors
Integrated Agribusiness ModelMHP's vertically integrated model captures value across feed, farming, processing and distribution rather than relying on one production stage. This diversification can support supply coordination, product mix flexibility and more resilient earnings across changing poultry and food-market conditions.
Negative Factors
Sharp Profitability DeteriorationProfit growth is lagging revenue materially, indicating that pricing, costs and foreign-exchange effects are absorbing much of the company's expansion. Persistently lower margins and a net loss would reduce reinvestment capacity and make earnings more volatile if operating pressures continue.

MHP SE GDR RegS (MHPC) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%GB:MHPC-11.87%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$492.38M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
18.46K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.4
Beta (1Y)
1.06
Revenue Growth
29.07%
EPS Growth
-61.75%
Country
UK
Employees
40,020
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Agricultural Farm Products

MHP SE GDR RegS Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

MHP SE, alongside its various subsidiaries, operates as a significant producer and distributor of food and poultry products, serving markets both within Ukraine and globally. The company organizes its extensive operations into four distinct divisions...

How the Company Makes Money

MHP SE generates revenue primarily by selling poultry and related food products. Key revenue streams include (1) sales of poultry meat (fresh, chilled, and processed products) to retailers, foodservice customers, and other wholesale channels, and (2)...

MHP SE GDR RegS Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 27, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-30.20%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 13, 2018
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented a resilient and diversified business with strong revenue growth, stable first-half adjusted EBITDA, expanding European operations, improved vegetable oil performance and adaptive export routes. However, these positives were offset by a $57 million net loss, lower operating profit and margins, sharply weaker poultry profitability, Ukrainian logistics and infrastructure disruptions, higher logistics costs, lower agricultural prices, a reduced full-year EBITDA outlook of approximately $420 million to $450 million, and refinancing requirements. The positive operational developments and resilience were substantial, but the financial and operating challenges were also significant and broadly balanced the highlights.

Positive Updates

Revenue Growth Supported by UVESA Consolidation
Revenue for the first six months of 2026 increased 32% year-on-year to approximately $2.161 billion, mainly driven by the consolidation of UVESA within the European operating segment.

Negative Updates

Challenging Ukrainian Macroeconomic Environment
The operating environment in Ukraine remains challenging due to continued missile attacks on infrastructure, pressure on the energy system, significant infrastructure damage, electricity constraints and higher energy prices. The National Bank of Ukraine expects full-year GDP growth of around 2%.

Company Guidance

For 2026, MHP expects EBITDA of approximately $420 million, $450 million, CapEx of around $220 million, $240 million, including maintenance CapEx, and investment in working capital of around $20 million, $30 million; poultry export price has shown gradual recovery, but MHP does not expect a quick return to the peak level seen during the Q2 and Q3 last year, while lower poultry production costs are expected starting mainly from Q4, and the European operating segment is expected to have broadly stable poultry and processed meat prices, continued sales volume growth and steady growth in EBITDA over the course of the year. As of the fourth quarter, lower-priced corn and wheat are expected to support better chicken production costs, with a positive effect during the 9 months 2027, while agricultural EBITDA could be weighed if lower grain and oilseed prices persist; in Europe, UVESA is expected to have double digit profitability in 2026, but not 15%, against a target of 15% EBITDA margin.

MHP SE GDR RegS Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth has been solid, but profitability has deteriorated sharply (very low TTM net income vs. sales) and cash generation is the key weakness. Operating cash flow has fallen and recent free cash flow is meaningfully negative, while moderate leverage reduces flexibility if margins stay pressured.

Income Statement

56Neutral

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

34Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.29B3.77B3.05B3.02B2.64B2.37B
Gross Profit887.00M900.00M848.00M687.00M608.21M744.52M
EBITDA530.70M645.00M500.00M502.00M640.91M748.71M
Net Income37.00M175.00M134.00M144.00M-225.58M375.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.42B5.45B4.43B3.89B3.81B4.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments348.00M435.00M357.00M458.00M312.43M283.29M
Total Debt2.58B2.48B1.93B1.87B1.91B1.88B
Total Liabilities3.35B3.23B2.46B2.32B2.36B2.31B
Stockholders Equity2.01B2.16B1.94B1.56B1.43B1.76B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-140.00M-4.00M-53.00M219.00M-29.85M-29.54M
Operating Cash Flow94.00M271.00M246.00M438.00M138.46M124.80M
Investing Cash Flow-486.00M-541.00M-333.00M-228.00M-174.28M-99.97M
Financing Cash Flow389.00M298.00M17.00M-86.00M56.65M34.75M

MHP SE GDR RegS Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4.90

Price Trends

50DMA6.46Negative
100DMA7.42Negative
200DMA8.03Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.52Positive
RSI26.22Positive
STOCH8.47Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:MHPC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.90 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.49, below the 50-day MA of 6.46, and below the 200-day MA of 8.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.22 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.47 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:MHPC.

MHP SE GDR RegS Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

GB:MHPC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:CWKGB:CWK78OutperformGBP 2.87B18.2314.99%2.10%9.52%18.08%
GB:PRNGB:PRN69NeutralGBP 844.23M15.685.33%―――
GB:ABFGB:ABF66NeutralGBP 13.44B14.358.44%3.28%-2.16%-24.87%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
GB:GNCGB:GNC61NeutralGBP 2.35B93.970.73%0.89%25.76%-73.03%
GB:MHPCGB:MHPC46Neutral$524.49M14.411.76%―29.07%-61.75%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%75%GB:MHPCGB:ABFGB:CWKGB:ZAMGB:GNCGB:PRNDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:MHPC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:MHPCMHP SE Sponsored GDR RegS4.90-0.72-12.81%
GB:ABFAssociated British Foods Plc (UK)1922.50-287.54-13.01%
GB:CWKCranswick plc5360.00521.9010.79%
GB:ZAMZambeef Product5.00-0.05-0.99%
GB:GNCGreencore Group plc293.2060.1825.83%
GB:PRNPrinces Group Plc345.00-115.00-25.00%

MHP SE GDR RegS Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions

MHP SE Delivers Revenue Growth but Swings to Loss Amid War Disruption and European Expansion

Negative
Sep 28, 2026

MHP SE reported solid operational performance for the first half of 2026 despite a sharply deteriorating operating environment for Ukrainian agriculture, where intensified attacks on Black Sea ports and logistics infrastructure have disrupted export...

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance

MHP SE Deputy CEO Purchases Nearly USD 50,000 in GDRs

Positive
Jul 23, 2026

MHP SE has disclosed that Serhii Dobrohorskyi, Deputy Chief Executive Officer for Agribusiness, purchased Global Depositary Receipts in the company. The transaction, carried out via Interactive Brokers Group, Inc., totaled USD 49,995.40 for 6,097 GDR...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2026