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GAIL (India) (GAID) AI Stock Analysis

GB:GAID

GAIL (India)

(LSE:GAID)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:$11.00â–²(3.77% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/23/26

The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—balance-sheet resilience is offset by weaker recent profitability and inconsistent/volatile free cash flow. Technical indicators add downside pressure given price below key moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation is a supporting factor due to a modest P/E, but the lack of dividend yield limits upside support.

Positive Factors
Balance-Sheet ResilienceModerate leverage gives GAIL financial flexibility to maintain its pipeline and gas investments while limiting balance-sheet strain. Growing equity and assets provide resilience for a capital-intensive, regulated utility-style business over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Margin CompressionThe FY26 deterioration in gross, operating, and net margins indicates that earnings are currently less efficient and less stable than at prior peaks. Persistent cost pressure or unfavorable pricing and product mix could limit profit growth even if revenue expands.

GAIL (India) (GAID) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%GB:GAID-9.82%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$7.28B
Dividend Yield
0.00%
Average Volume (3M)
6,436
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.7
Beta (1Y)
0.84
Revenue Growth
2.10%
EPS Growth
5.65%
Country
UK
Employees
5,038
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Regulated Gas

GAIL (India) Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

GAIL (India) Limited is an Indian state-owned enterprise primarily involved in the processing and distribution of natural gas, with the Government of India holding a majority ownership stake. Its principal business functions include the commercializa...

How the Company Makes Money

GAIL makes money primarily through (1) natural gas transmission, (2) natural gas marketing/trading, (3) petrochemicals and gas processing, and (4) earnings from equity interests in joint ventures and associates. 1) Natural gas transmission (pipeline...

GAIL (India) Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2024(Q2-2025)|% Change Since:-19.82%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

GAIL's earnings call reflected a robust first half of FY '25 with record profits and strong marketing margins. However, the second quarter witnessed a decline in gas marketing volumes and financial metrics compared to the first quarter, alongside challenges in LNG sourcing and increased operational expenses.

Positive Updates

Record-Breaking Profit Before Tax (PBT) and Profit After Tax (PAT)
GAIL registered its highest ever PBT and PAT of INR 7,095 crores and INR 5,396 crores, respectively, for the first half of the financial year '25.

Negative Updates

Decline in Gas Marketing Volumes
Gas marketing volume decreased to 96.60 MMSCMD in Q2 FY '25 from 99.47 MMSCMD in Q1 FY '25, mainly due to reduced gas consumption by the power sector.

Company Guidance

In the Q2 FY '25 earnings call for GAIL India Limited, the company reported significant financial metrics, including a stand-alone gross turnover of INR 32,814 crores, EBITDA of INR 3,453 crores, and PAT of INR 2,672 crores. On a consolidated basis, GAIL's turnover reached INR 33,861 crores with a PBT of INR 3,470 crores and PAT of INR 2,694 crores. The gas marketing volume for the quarter was 96.60 MMSCMD, while natural gas transmission volume stood at 130.63 MMSCMD. The average capacity utilization was 62%, with LPG transmission throughput at 1,124 TMT and a capacity utilization of 98%. The company incurred CapEx of INR 1,885 crores in Q2 and plans to achieve a marketing margin of at least INR 4,500 crores for the fiscal year, having already earned INR 3,287 crores in the first half of FY '25. Additionally, GAIL targets to increase its gas transmission volume by approximately 10 to 12 MMSCMD year-on-year over the next 2 to 3 years.

GAIL (India) Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed: the balance sheet is a strength (moderate leverage and growing equity/assets), but profitability weakened in the latest year with notable margin compression, and cash flow quality is a key concern due to weaker cash conversion and volatile free cash flow.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

48Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.47T1.42T1.42T1.33T1.46T925.32B
Gross Profit276.67B242.02B261.65B181.83B168.37B220.79B
EBITDA172.55B143.64B206.43B170.33B78.89B180.86B
Net Income98.79B75.82B124.50B98.99B56.16B122.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets01.41T1.33T1.25T1.08T965.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.27B18.70B38.72B14.64B8.05B25.22B
Total Debt0248.31B215.95B217.94B178.16B92.16B
Total Liabilities-892.92B512.45B479.08B475.21B426.74B322.54B
Stockholders Equity892.92B890.50B849.98B769.97B649.27B641.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow024.42B78.05B845.50M-56.26B26.57B
Operating Cash Flow0112.49B157.35B125.86B32.05B96.29B
Investing Cash Flow0-91.54B-67.38B-82.73B-76.40B-56.46B
Financing Cash Flow0-27.50B-89.41B-34.57B29.72B-39.16B

GAIL (India) Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price10.60

Price Trends

50DMA10.67Negative
100DMA10.90Negative
200DMA10.65Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.08Negative
RSI53.36Neutral
STOCH79.89Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GAID, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.60 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.31, below the 50-day MA of 10.67, and below the 200-day MA of 10.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:GAID.

GAIL (India) Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

GB:GAID against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:NGGB:NG71OutperformGBP 63.06B19.018.47%3.87%-3.76%8.20%
GB:TEPGB:TEP66NeutralGBP 686.58M8.9232.38%5.55%5.60%5.05%
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
GB:CNAGB:CNA59NeutralGBP 6.92B9.5721.92%3.71%0.27%―
GB:DRXGB:DRX59NeutralGBP 2.72B53.871.10%5.90%-7.78%-91.96%
GB:GAIDGB:GAID58Neutral$11.63B8.7413.89%0.00%2.10%5.65%
GB:SSEGB:SSE53NeutralGBP 31.89B25.759.45%2.62%0.54%-2.65%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%GB:GAIDGB:CNAGB:DRXGB:SSEGB:TEPGB:NGDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:GAID and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:GAIDGail (India)10.60-1.06-9.07%
GB:CNACentrica plc152.70-21.99-12.59%
GB:DRXDrax Group plc808.00119.2817.32%
GB:SSESse Plc (UK)2627.00779.9542.23%
GB:TEPTelecom Plus901.00-800.52-47.05%
GB:NGNational Grid (Uk)1254.50164.3515.08%

GAIL (India) Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings

GAIL (India) Conducts 42nd AGM via Digital Platforms, Publishes Voting Results Online

Neutral
Sep 1, 2026

GAIL (India) Limited has announced that its 42nd Annual General Meeting of shareholders was held on 27 August 2026 at 11:30 a.m. via video conferencing and other audio-visual means, reflecting continued use of digital platforms for statutory corporat...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings

GAIL’s 42nd AGM Backs Dividend, Board Changes as Natural Gas Strategy Holds Firm

Positive
Aug 27, 2026

GAIL (India) Limited convened its 42nd Annual General Meeting for FY 2025-26 via video conferencing, allowing shareholders to participate remotely for the seventh consecutive year while complying with corporate and securities regulations. Management...

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance

GAIL outlines credentials and compliance status of director Dr. Banwari Lal

Positive
Aug 21, 2026

GAIL (India) Limited has detailed the profile of Dr. Banwari Lal, who holds a Ph.D. in Agronomy and an LL.B., and brings over 33 years of professional experience in business taxation, general administration, and vigilance, including more than a decad...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

GAIL Secures 100% Ownership of Konkan LNG After Capital Reduction

Positive
Aug 13, 2026

GAIL (India) Limited has become the sole owner of Konkan LNG Limited after a court-approved reduction of Konkan LNG’s equity share capital. Following the National Company Law Tribunal’s order, Konkan LNG remitted consideration to GAIL and...

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance

GAIL (India) Adds Two Government-Nominated Independent Directors to Board

Positive
Aug 13, 2026

GAIL (India) Limited has received a directive from the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas nominating Dr. Banwari Lal and Rupa Saikia as Non-Official Independent Directors on its Board for a term of three years or until further orders. The company...

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings

GAIL Sets Virtual 42nd AGM, Opens E-Voting for Shareholders

Positive
Aug 5, 2026

GAIL (India) Limited has convened its 42nd Annual General Meeting for members on 27 August 2026 at 11:30 a.m., to be conducted via video conferencing and other audio-visual means rather than an in-person gathering. The AGM will be accompanied by the...

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

GAIL Board Approves Q1 FY27 Unaudited Financial Results

Neutral
Jul 31, 2026

GAIL (India) Limited has reported its unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, following approval by its Board of Directors at a meeting held on July 31, 2026. The disclosure has been made in line w...

DividendsRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings

GAIL Sets Date for 42nd AGM and Final Dividend Record Date

Positive
Jul 23, 2026

GAIL (India) Limited has announced that its 42nd Annual General Meeting for FY 2025-26 will be held on 27 August 2026 at 11:30 a.m. via video conferencing and other audio-visual means, with the AGM notice and annual report to be sent electronically t...

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

GAIL Board to Review Q1 FY27 Results, Extends Trading Window Closure

Neutral
Jul 21, 2026

GAIL (India) Limited has scheduled a meeting of its Board of Directors for 31 July 2026 to consider the unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter ended 30 June 2026. This review will provide investors and regulators with...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 23, 2026