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Chemring (GB:CHG)
LSE:CHG
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Chemring (CHG) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CHG

Chemring

(LSE:CHG)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
638.00p
▲(11.34% Upside)
Chemring's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company's robust order book and strategic investments support a positive outlook. However, the high P/E ratio and challenges in cash flow management and certain segments temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Record Order Book
A record order book provides a strong foundation for future revenue, indicating sustained demand and long-term customer relationships, enhancing financial stability.
Strong Performance in Countermeasures & Energetics
The robust growth in this segment underscores Chemring's competitive edge and operational efficiency, supporting margin sustainability and long-term profitability.
Strategic Expansion and Investment
Significant investment in expansion projects indicates a commitment to growth and innovation, positioning Chemring to capitalize on future market opportunities.
Negative Factors
Weak Performance in Sensors & Information
Declines in this segment highlight vulnerabilities to government spending fluctuations, potentially impacting revenue diversification and growth stability.
Headwinds in Roke
Challenges in Roke's order intake may necessitate cost adjustments, impacting operational efficiency and potentially delaying strategic initiatives.
Cash Flow Challenges
Limited free cash flow generation could constrain financial flexibility, affecting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt.

Chemring (CHG) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Chemring Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChemring Group plc is a global leader in advanced technology solutions, specializing in the defense, security, and aerospace sectors. The company operates through various segments, including Countermeasures, Sensors, and Energetics, providing a diverse range of products and services such as munitions, electronic warfare systems, and safety solutions. Chemring is renowned for its innovative approach to developing high-performance solutions that enhance safety and operational effectiveness in complex environments.
How the Company Makes MoneyChemring generates revenue primarily through the sale of defense and security products to military and government clients worldwide. Its key revenue streams include sales from its Countermeasures segment, which involves the production of flares and decoys for aircraft, and its Sensors segment, which offers advanced detection and monitoring systems. The company also benefits from long-term contracts with defense ministries and partnerships with key industry players, contributing to stable income. Additionally, Chemring invests in research and development to create cutting-edge technologies, further expanding its market reach and driving revenue growth through innovative product offerings.

Chemring Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 03, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in order intake and robust financial performance, particularly in the Countermeasures & Energetics segment. However, challenges in the Sensors & Information segment and some softness in Roke's performance were noted. The overall market outlook remains positive, driven by increased defense spending and strategic investments.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Order Book
The company achieved a record order book of GBP 1.3 billion, marking a 25% increase and the highest in its history.
Strong Performance in Countermeasures & Energetics
Revenue in the Countermeasures & Energetics segment grew by 20%, with operating profit soaring by 73% and margins increasing to 14.4%.
Robust Financial Metrics
Revenue increased by 5%, operating profit by 8%, and EPS by 3%. The group operating margin improved to 11.6% with strong cash conversion at 80%.
Strategic Expansion and Investment
GBP 46 million was invested in operations, primarily in Energetics expansion projects, supported by GBP 13 million in grant funding.
Defense Market Opportunities
Significant opportunities identified in electronic warfare and cybersecurity with a potential pipeline of more than GBP 300 million.
Positive Market Outlook
Global defense spending is expected to rise, with new U.K. and U.S. defense budgets creating opportunities for growth.
Negative Updates
Weak Performance in Sensors & Information
The Sensors & Information segment saw a revenue decline of 12% and an operating profit decrease of 26% due to delays and reduced government spending.
Headwinds in Roke
Roke experienced softness in U.K. order intake due to strategic defense review workload, leading to cost base adjustments.
FX Headwinds
A small foreign exchange headwind was noted, which on a constant currency basis would have resulted in a 6% revenue increase and a 10% operating profit increase.
Company Guidance
During the call, Chemring provided guidance emphasizing robust operational and financial performance, with a record GBP 1.3 billion order book, up 25%, and order intake at GBP 488 million, a 42% increase from last year. Revenue rose by 5%, driven by strong performance in Countermeasures & Energetics, with this segment seeing a 20% revenue increase and a 73% rise in operating profit, raising the margin to 14.4%. The group improved its operating margin to 11.6%, with earnings per share up 3% and a strong cash conversion rate of 80%. The Board declared an interim dividend of 2.7p, a 4% increase. The company maintains its ambition to reach GBP 1 billion in revenue by FY 2030, with a focus on expanding in Energetics, particularly through agreements with Diehl, SAAB, and Northrop Grumman. Despite a weaker period in Sensors & Information, Chemring remains optimistic about long-term growth, supported by strategic investments and acquisitions, while targeting mid-teens margins in the medium term.

Chemring Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chemring has shown strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and robust profit margins. The balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels, but cash flow management presents challenges, particularly in free cash flow generation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Chemring has demonstrated strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, evidenced by a 7.99% increase from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margins remain robust at 100% due to the nature of the data. The EBIT margin improved to 11.38%, and the EBITDA margin to 16.20%, reflecting efficient operational management. However, the net profit margin of 7.74% suggests room for optimizing expenses or cost management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a stable financial position with an improved debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27, indicating manageable leverage levels. The equity ratio stands at 51.47%, showing a solid equity base. Return on equity (ROE) is decent at 11.08%, though slightly lower than the previous year, suggesting potential areas for enhancing shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Chemring's cash flow performance highlights some challenges, with a significant decrease in free cash flow from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.05, indicating good cash generation relative to profits. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.29 suggests that capital expenditures might be impacting free cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue521.30M510.40M472.60M401.00M393.30M402.50M
Gross Profit521.30M510.40M472.60M401.00M393.30M402.50M
EBITDA98.20M82.70M67.10M71.20M75.50M75.10M
Net Income43.50M39.50M5.40M47.40M41.50M34.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets755.10M692.10M596.40M620.10M531.50M541.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.60M45.00M6.40M19.80M5.80M14.70M
Total Debt115.80M97.70M20.70M26.90M32.30M62.80M
Total Liabilities402.60M335.80M217.90M202.00M178.70M211.80M
Stockholders Equity352.50M356.30M378.50M418.10M352.80M329.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.60M11.40M31.70M46.00M45.50M35.10M
Operating Cash Flow77.80M81.00M65.90M80.50M75.70M75.90M
Investing Cash Flow-45.70M-47.60M-39.40M-30.50M-34.90M-25.40M
Financing Cash Flow-3.20M-37.30M-40.20M-35.80M-50.40M-32.10M

Chemring Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price573.00
Price Trends
50DMA
562.54
Positive
100DMA
555.99
Positive
200DMA
473.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.83
Negative
RSI
52.57
Neutral
STOCH
50.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CHG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 573 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 567.75, above the 50-day MA of 562.54, and above the 200-day MA of 473.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CHG.

Chemring Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
£2.53B53.215.21%1.39%0.84%-62.73%
£1.54B39.571.38%
£611.44M29.7314.40%1.22%33.33%19.01%
$54.65B28.4317.59%1.82%11.60%8.03%
£563.76M113.304.18%0.97%14.69%
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
£2.55B-14.04-23.92%1.85%1.02%-240.44%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CHG
Chemring
573.00
226.52
65.38%
GB:BA
BAE Systems
1,871.00
650.09
53.25%
GB:AVON
Avon Technologies
1,914.00
682.21
55.38%
GB:CHRT
Cohort plc
1,340.00
432.56
47.67%
GB:SRP
Serco Group plc
253.80
82.92
48.53%
GB:QQ
QinetiQ
479.40
37.25
8.42%

Chemring Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Chemring Group PLC Updates Shareholders on Capital Structure
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

Chemring Group PLC announced its capital structure as of September 30, 2025, which includes 272,219,856 ordinary shares with voting rights and 62,500 cumulative preference shares without voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CHG) stock is a Buy with a £583.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chemring stock, see the GB:CHG Stock Forecast page.

Other
Chemring Director Increases Stake with Share Purchase
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

Chemring Group PLC announced that Pete Raby, a director of the company, has purchased 6,000 ordinary shares at an average price of 543.519p per share. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, highlights a significant personal investment by a key company executive, which may indicate confidence in the company’s future performance and prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CHG) stock is a Buy with a £583.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chemring stock, see the GB:CHG Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Chemring Group PLC Announces Capital Structure and Voting Rights
Neutral
Sep 1, 2025

Chemring Group PLC has announced its capital structure as of August 31, 2025, comprising 272,212,161 ordinary shares with voting rights and 62,500 cumulative preference shares without voting rights, except in specific circumstances. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification obligations under the FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules, impacting their stake and interest in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CHG) stock is a Buy with a £583.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chemring stock, see the GB:CHG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Chemring Group Expands Market Presence with New Share Listing
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

Chemring Group PLC has applied for a blocklisting of 445,049 ordinary shares to be admitted to the London Stock Exchange. This move, linked to the exercise of employee share options under the Chemring Group 2018 UK Sharesave Plan, is expected to enhance the company’s market presence and provide liquidity options for its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CHG) stock is a Buy with a £670.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chemring stock, see the GB:CHG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025