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Chemring (GB:CHG)
LSE:CHG
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Chemring (CHG) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CHG

Chemring

(LSE:CHG)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
564.00 p
▲(2.45% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/02/26
The score is driven primarily by solid profitability and a stable balance sheet, offset by weak cash flow trends and declining revenue. Technical indicators are mixed with a negative MACD and price below the 50-day average, and valuation is a notable headwind due to the high P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improving Profitability
Improved net, EBIT, and EBITDA margins indicate stronger operating efficiency and profitability in the core business. If maintained, this gives Chemring greater capacity to reinvest in defence programmes, absorb cost pressure, and convert revenue into sustainable earnings over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue Contraction
The revenue decline indicates that stronger margins are not currently being supported by top-line expansion. Continued contraction could limit operating leverage, reduce the scale available to fund research and programme investment, and make earnings more dependent on efficiency gains rather than business growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving Profitability
Improved net, EBIT, and EBITDA margins indicate stronger operating efficiency and profitability in the core business. If maintained, this gives Chemring greater capacity to reinvest in defence programmes, absorb cost pressure, and convert revenue into sustainable earnings over the coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

Chemring (CHG) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Chemring Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Chemring Group Plc engages in the manufacture of technology products and services for the aerospace, defense, and security markets. It operates through the following segments: Sensors & Information; and Countermeasures & Energetics. The Sensors & ...
How the Company Makes Money
Chemring makes money by selling defence and security products and associated services to government customers (notably ministries of defence) and prime defence contractors, with revenue largely generated through contract awards and multi-year prog...

Chemring Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 09, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicated strong performance and growth potential, particularly in the Energetics segment with a record order book and improved operational efficiency. However, challenges remain in the Sensors & Information segment due to delays in government spending and increased costs in Norway. The company is confident in its long-term growth strategy.
Positive Updates
Record Order Book and Strong Growth Projections
Order intake reached GBP 781 million, up 20% year-on-year, delivering another record order book of GBP 1.3 billion, up 32% since last year. The company aims to double annual revenue to GBP 1 billion by 2030.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Sensors & Information Segment
Revenue in Sensors & Information fell by 18% and operating profit decreased by 25%, due to delays in U.K. government spending and the prior year's benefits from JBTDS LRIP.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Order Book and Strong Growth Projections
Order intake reached GBP 781 million, up 20% year-on-year, delivering another record order book of GBP 1.3 billion, up 32% since last year. The company aims to double annual revenue to GBP 1 billion by 2030.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the call, Chemring reported a robust financial performance for the fiscal year ending October 31, 2025, despite short-term headwinds such as decreased U.K. government order placements. The company achieved a record order book of GBP 1.3 billion, up 32% year-on-year, with order intake rising 20% to GBP 781 million. Group revenue increased by 2% to GBP 498 million, and operating margin improved by 50 basis points to 14.8%. Earnings per share rose to 19.4p, and cash conversion was strong at 114%. The Countermeasures & Energetics segment saw a 17% revenue growth, with operating profit up 37% and margins increasing to 19.1%. Meanwhile, the Sensors & Information segment faced challenges, with revenue down 18% and operating profit falling 25%. Despite these challenges, operating margins were maintained at nearly 18%. The Board declared a final dividend of 5.3p, bringing the total dividend to 8p, up 3%. Looking ahead, Chemring is targeting significant growth in its Energetics and Sensors & Information segments, with strategic investments and acquisitions supporting its long-term revenue goal of GBP 1 billion by 2030.

Chemring Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is solid (net margin improved to 9.69% with better EBIT/EBITDA margins) and leverage looks manageable (debt-to-equity 0.40; ROE 12.62%). However, revenue declined (-4.57%) and free cash flow weakened sharply (FCF growth -184.85%), which meaningfully reduces the financial performance score.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue500.50M497.50M510.40M472.60M401.00M393.30M
Gross Profit485.30M497.50M510.40M472.60M401.00M393.30M
EBITDA95.00M100.20M82.70M67.10M71.20M75.50M
Net Income33.90M48.20M39.50M5.40M47.40M41.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets908.10M863.10M692.10M596.40M620.10M531.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments44.70M65.30M45.00M6.40M19.80M5.80M
Total Debt189.20M154.30M97.70M20.80M27.00M32.30M
Total Liabilities539.40M481.10M335.80M217.90M202.00M178.70M
Stockholders Equity368.70M382.00M356.30M378.50M418.10M352.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-13.50M-5.60M11.40M31.70M46.00M45.50M
Operating Cash Flow76.00M84.60M81.00M65.90M80.50M75.70M
Investing Cash Flow-92.60M-85.70M-47.60M-39.40M-30.50M-34.90M
Financing Cash Flow2.70M43.30M-37.30M-40.20M-35.80M-50.40M

Chemring Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price550.50
Price Trends
50DMA
567.20
Negative
100DMA
543.31
Negative
200DMA
527.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.65
Negative
RSI
41.45
Neutral
STOCH
42.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CHG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 550.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 534.15, below the 50-day MA of 567.20, and above the 200-day MA of 527.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -5.65 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CHG.

Chemring Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
£56.23B27.4417.49%1.96%7.20%8.54%
68
Neutral
£2.42B16.3817.55%1.85%1.20%221.80%
66
Neutral
£556.91M23.6513.59%1.48%13.46%15.89%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
£2.43B23.9619.34%2.31%-0.47%―
61
Neutral
£4.51B21.7131.57%0.81%7.17%-14.18%
59
Neutral
£1.43B43.229.03%1.53%-3.99%-22.35%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CHG
Chemring
529.00
-41.83
-7.33%
GB:BA
BAE Systems
1,921.00
-58.86
-2.97%
GB:BAB
Babcock International
922.20
-350.67
-27.55%
GB:CHRT
Cohort plc
1,206.00
-145.81
-10.79%
GB:SRP
Serco Group plc
251.80
19.65
8.46%
GB:QQ
QinetiQ
476.00
-16.08
-3.27%

Chemring Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Chemring updates share capital and voting rights for disclosure purposes
Positive
Oct 1, 2026
Chemring has confirmed that as of 30 September 2026 its issued share capital comprised 272,126,806 ordinary shares with voting rights, alongside 62,500 cumulative preference shares that generally do not carry voting rights. This updated share coun...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Chemring Director Pete Raby to Chair Renew Holdings
Neutral
Sep 9, 2026
Chemring Group has announced that non-executive director Pete Raby will join Renew Holdings as a non-executive director and chair designate from early October 2026, before becoming chair of Renew in late January 2027. The move underscores the cros...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Chemring Clarifies Share Capital and Voting Rights Structure for Investors
Neutral
Sep 1, 2026
Chemring Group PLC has confirmed that, as of 31 August 2026, its issued share capital comprises 272,126,806 ordinary shares carrying voting rights and 62,500 cumulative preference shares, which generally do not carry voting rights. The stated ordi...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Chemring clarifies share capital and voting rights for investors
Neutral
Sep 1, 2026
Chemring has reported that, as of 31 August 2026, its issued share capital comprises 272,126,806 ordinary shares of 1p each carrying voting rights, alongside 62,500 cumulative preference shares which generally do not carry voting rights. This disc...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Chemring Announces Board-Level Legal Leadership Transition
Neutral
Aug 14, 2026
Chemring Group PLC, a major provider of high-technology products and services for defence, security and aerospace markets, employs roughly 2,700 staff worldwide and operates plants in four countries. The group’s two core segments, Countermea...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Chemring director Michael Ord sells 200,000 shares
Neutral
Aug 5, 2026
Chemring Group PLC has disclosed that company director and person discharging managerial responsibilities, Michael Ord, sold 200,000 ordinary 1p shares on 4 August 2026 in London at an aggregated value of £1.22 million. Following the transact...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Chemring director Sarah Ellard trims shareholding in disclosed sale
Neutral
Aug 3, 2026
Chemring Group has disclosed that board director and PDMR Sarah Ellard sold 57,597 ordinary 1p shares in the company on 3 August 2026 in London at an average price of about 602p, raising approximately £347,000. Following the transaction, Ella...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Chemring Clarifies Voting Share Capital for Regulatory Disclosure
Positive
Aug 3, 2026
Chemring Group PLC has reported that, as of 31 July 2026, its issued share capital comprises 272,126,806 ordinary shares of 1p each with full voting rights and 62,500 cumulative preference shares that generally carry no voting rights. The company ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Chemring appoints Tom Newman as new chief executive as Michael Ord retires
Positive
Jul 30, 2026
Chemring has announced that long-serving Group Chief Executive Michael Ord will retire at the end of this year, marking the close of an eight-year tenure in which he oversaw significant transformation and strengthened the company’s market po...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 02, 2026