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Celtic plc (CCPC) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CCPC

Celtic plc

(LSE:CCPC)

Select Model
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:GBX 459.00â–²(5.76% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/23/26

Celtic scores in the middle of the range. The dominant strength is a fortress balance sheet — virtually no debt, roughly 60% equity funding of assets and a steadily rebuilt equity base — which gives the club the flexibility to absorb weak seasons without borrowing. That is offset by the biggest risk: highly volatile earnings and cash flow, with the latest period swinging to an operating loss of £26.5m and negative free cash flow after a record FY2025, underlining the dependence on European qualification and player trading. Technically, the shares hold a longer-term uptrend above their 100- and 200-day averages but have lost short-term momentum, while a P/E of 15.8 on cyclically inflated earnings and the absence of a dividend leave valuation support only modest.

Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheetVery low leverage and a large equity base provide financial resilience as the company navigates earnings volatility. This structure can reduce pressure from financing costs, preserve borrowing capacity, and give management greater flexibility to sustain operations or fund priorities through weaker periods.
Negative Factors
Sharp 2026 earnings reversalThe 2026 shift from prior profitability to a loss, negative gross profit, and negative EBIT is a material challenge to earnings durability. The accompanying revenue decline suggests pressure extends beyond below-the-line items, making a sustained recovery important for near-term financial stability.

Celtic plc (CCPC) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%GB:CCPC+17.62%EWC+21.04%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
GBP 207.54M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
765
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-36.5
Beta (1Y)
-0.01
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
UK
Employees
1,008
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Entertainment

Celtic plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Operating through its subsidiary Celtic F.C. Limited, Celtic plc manages a professional football club based in the United Kingdom. The company's business model is segmented into three primary areas: Football and Stadium Operations, Merchandising, and...

Celtic plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

A tale of two halves. The balance sheet (80) is exceptional: total debt of just £5.3m against £150.9m of equity (~3.5% debt-to-equity), equity funding roughly 60% of the £251.8m asset base, and an equity position that has more than doubled since FY2021 — effectively a debt-free capital structure with a large margin of safety. Offsetting this, the income statement (42) and cash flow (40) are highly cyclical: after a record FY2025 (revenue £143.6m, net profit £33.9m), the latest period saw revenue fall to £111.0m with a £26.5m operating loss and £4.8m net loss, while operating cash flow turned negative (-£3.8m) and free cash flow was -£9.3m. Heavy, lumpy spending on player registrations and infrastructure, a fixed wage/amortisation base, and dependence on European qualification and transfer gains leave earnings visibility poor, despite impressive long-term revenue growth of ~24% a year since FY2021.

Income Statement

42Neutral

Balance Sheet

80Positive

Cash Flow

40Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue111.03M111.03M143.60M124.58M119.85M88.23M
Gross Profit-26.50M-26.50M26.54M19.19M12.03M-16.23M
EBITDA-7.71M-7.71M29.25M32.43M56.27M22.56M
Net Income-4.78M-4.78M33.93M13.38M33.33M5.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets251.80M251.80M262.67M218.09M220.29M177.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments66.39M66.39M77.31M77.23M72.28M31.87M
Total Debt5.28M5.28M4.95M5.26M5.03M2.51M
Total Liabilities100.88M100.88M107.04M96.45M112.10M103.16M
Stockholders Equity150.92M150.92M155.63M121.64M108.19M74.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.27M-9.27M8.25M-20.73M17.38M-11.17M
Operating Cash Flow-3.81M-3.81M19.94M18.00M43.51M10.43M
Investing Cash Flow-5.99M-5.99M-18.60M-11.88M-343.00K4.44M
Financing Cash Flow-1.13M-1.13M-1.25M-1.18M-2.75M-2.46M

Celtic plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price434.00

Price Trends

50DMA442.80Negative
100DMA449.26Negative
200DMA426.13Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-2.49Negative
RSI0.36Positive
STOCH85.71Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CCPC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 434.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 436.10, below the 50-day MA of 442.80, and above the 200-day MA of 426.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 0.36 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.71 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CCPC.

Celtic plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

GB:CCPC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:FUTRGB:FUTR62NeutralGBP 267.21M8.533.57%5.53%-8.41%-51.11%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
GB:RCHGB:RCH60NeutralGBP 145.01M-0.82-36.14%12.84%-6.48%-458.95%
GB:SFORGB:SFOR54NeutralGBP 253.93M-83.26-0.61%6.40%-6.07%99.09%
GB:CCPCGB:CCPC54NeutralGBP 173.66M-36.50-3.02%―――
GB:NFGGB:NFG46NeutralGBP 342.80M-10.67-25.66%4.58%-14.13%-302.80%
GB:SAAGB:SAA44NeutralGBP 142.66M-14.39-32.44%―-4.93%-232.75%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%GB:CCPCGB:FUTRGB:SAAGB:NFGGB:RCHGB:SFORDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
GB:CCPC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:CCPCCeltic plc434.0065.0017.62%
GB:FUTRFuture plc307.20-282.86-47.94%
GB:SAAM&C Saatchi plc120.00-9.50-7.34%
GB:NFGNext 15 Group Plc335.0055.6719.93%
GB:RCHReach Plc45.95-2.62-5.39%
GB:SFORS4 Capital38.3019.67105.64%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 23, 2026