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Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc (GB:AML)
LSE:AML

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc (AML) AI Stock Analysis

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Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc

(LSE:AML)

48Neutral
Aston Martin's stock score reflects ongoing financial struggles with high leverage and negative profitability heavily impacting its valuation. Despite strategic initiatives and some positive developments in corporate governance and liquidity, technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest caution. The stock remains under pressure due to bearish trends and a challenging market environment.
Positive Factors
Business Strategy
Aston is staying true to a demand-led model, which has short term pain but shows it has learned from mistakes: a good first step for new CEO Adrian Hallmark.
Free Cash Flow
4Q FCF was slightly better than expected and driven by working capital development.
Negative Factors
Financial Targets
AML has seen a significant softening in its financial targets over the last 18 months.
Revenue
A weaker than expected ASP on core models led to slightly softer revenues.
Wholesale Growth
AML does not expect wholesale growth despite having its new core model range available.

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc (AML) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells luxury sports cars under the Aston Martin and Lagonda brand names worldwide. It also engages in the sale of parts; sale of vehicles; servicing of vehicles; and brand and motorsport activities. The company sells its vehicles through a network of dealers. It has strategic technology agreement with Mercedes-Benz AG. Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Gaydon, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyAston Martin generates revenue primarily through the sale of its luxury sports cars and grand tourers. The company's core revenue stream comes from its diverse range of vehicle models, which include both limited edition and bespoke options that command premium pricing. Additionally, Aston Martin offers customization services, allowing customers to personalize their vehicles, further enhancing revenue per unit. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations, such as technology and design alliances, which can contribute to product innovation and brand prestige. Other revenue sources include licensing agreements, merchandise sales, and after-sales services, which encompass maintenance and repair services for existing customers.

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.63B1.38B1.10B611.80M997.30M
Gross Profit
639.20M450.70M343.70M111.10M354.60M
EBIT
-111.20M-299.60M-84.40M-215.10M31.90M
EBITDA
309.60M-5.40M150.70M-206.70M82.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-228.10M-527.70M-189.30M-410.50M-104.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
392.40M592.10M426.20M504.00M116.80M
Total Assets
3.17B3.10B2.84B2.79B2.23B
Total Debt
1.17B1.31B1.29B1.19B1.07B
Net Debt
774.60M727.60M873.70M698.40M957.40M
Total Liabilities
2.25B2.33B2.18B1.99B1.87B
Stockholders Equity
902.30M753.00M641.80M787.80M344.80M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-251.50M-159.80M-5.80M-459.30M-290.80M
Operating Cash Flow
145.90M127.10M178.90M-198.60M19.40M
Investing Cash Flow
-383.40M-284.70M-184.10M-258.40M-305.20M
Financing Cash Flow
59.70M315.00M-66.50M840.20M243.30M

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price80.30
Price Trends
50DMA
73.04
Positive
100DMA
90.46
Negative
200DMA
109.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.70
Negative
RSI
65.27
Neutral
STOCH
81.83
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:AML, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 80.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.07, above the 50-day MA of 73.04, and below the 200-day MA of 109.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.83 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:AML.

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBJD
77
Outperform
£4.19B12.8614.67%1.10%2.85%61.98%
73
Outperform
£2.58B6.5918.69%5.24%-19.08%57.32%
GBBWY
64
Neutral
£3.30B22.554.22%1.98%-11.63%-31.81%
61
Neutral
$6.66B11.773.06%3.96%2.60%-21.54%
56
Neutral
£2.75B71.923.77%7.93%-15.48%-91.10%
56
Neutral
£6.74B45.081.81%3.67%4.78%-53.59%
GBAML
48
Neutral
£649.77M-39.39%-2.99%-26.87%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:AML
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc
80.30
-60.80
-43.09%
GB:BTRW
Barratt Developments
469.50
-4.32
-0.91%
GB:BWY
Bellway
2,720.00
80.26
3.04%
GB:BRBY
Burberry
768.80
-344.48
-30.94%
GB:INCH
Inchcape
680.00
-71.84
-9.56%
GB:JD
JD Sports Fashion
86.58
-35.60
-29.14%

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 14.88%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted strong retail sales performance, increases in core ASP, and the successful launch of new model derivatives, indicating progress in Aston Martin's transformation strategy. However, revenue and ASP declines, the impact of U.S. tariffs, and ongoing challenges in the China market were significant concerns. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about achieving its financial targets for 2025.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Retail Sales Outpace Wholesale Volumes
Retail sales significantly outpaced wholesale volumes by around 50% in Q1 2025. This trend is expected to continue as Aston Martin focuses on balancing supply with demand.
Core Average Selling Price Increase
The core average selling price (ASP) increased by approximately 10% in Q1 2025, driven by a reinvigorated product portfolio and strong options contribution.
Launch of New Model Derivatives
Aston Martin launched three new derivatives: Vantage Roadster, Vanquish Volante, and DBX S model, with more derivatives planned to support growth and financial targets.
Valhalla Supercar Nearing Launch
The groundbreaking supercar Valhalla is in the final phase of testing with deliveries expected in the second half of the year, showcasing improved operational execution.
Cost Optimization and Productivity Improvements
Progress in transformation efforts is evident in cost optimization, productivity improvements, and quality enhancements, aiming for positive EBIT and free cash flow in 2025.
Negative Updates
Revenue and ASP Decline
Overall revenue decreased by 13% and total ASP decreased by 15% in Q1 2025 due to fewer Specials deliveries nearing completion.
Impact of U.S. Tariffs
Additional 25% tariffs on automotive imports into the U.S. create uncertainty, leading to a slight reduction in 2025 wholesale volume guidance and potential pricing strategy adjustments.
Adjusted EBIT and EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBIT decreased by 13% to minus £65 million and adjusted EBITDA decreased by £24 million to minus £4 million year-on-year, reflecting gross profit movement.
Challenges in China Market
No immediate signs of recovery in China, with the market not being a significant contributor to sales as it was never more than 10% of the total.
Company Guidance
During the Aston Martin Quarter One 2025 Results Call, CEO Adrian Hallmark and CFO Doug Lafferty provided detailed guidance and insights into the company's financial performance and strategic direction. The company reported that retail sales outpaced wholesale volumes by approximately 50%, reflecting a disciplined approach to production and stock reduction. Core average selling price (ASP) increased by around 10%, driven by new model launches and strong options contribution of about 18% of core revenue. Despite a 13% decrease in revenue and a 15% decrease in total ASP due to fewer Specials deliveries, Aston Martin expects to achieve over 40% gross margin from new products, targeting a 40% gross margin for the full year. Adjusted EBIT declined by 13% to minus £65 million, while adjusted operating expenses decreased by 13%, excluding depreciation and amortization (D&A). The company anticipates becoming EBIT positive for the full year and generating positive free cash flow in the second half, with liquidity projected to be bolstered by over £125 million from the Yew Tree Consortium investment and AMR sale. The impact of recently announced U.S. tariffs remains a concern, prompting a slight reduction in 2025 wholesale volume guidance, but plans are in place to mitigate potential effects.

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin Director Acquires Shares Signaling Confidence
Positive
May 7, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc announced a transaction involving the purchase of ordinary shares by Sir Nigel Boardman, a non-executive director. The transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange on May 6, 2025, involved the acquisition of 43,639 shares at a price of £0.684 per share, totaling £29,849.08. This move reflects a strategic investment by a key figure within the company, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance and stability.

Spark’s Take on GB:AML Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:AML is a Neutral.

Aston Martin’s financial struggles, reflected in ongoing losses and a high debt load, heavily impact its stock score. While technical indicators point to a bearish trend, strategic initiatives like liquidity improvements and governance enhancements provide some optimism. Valuation metrics suggest potential for long-term improvement, but current performance remains a concern.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:AML stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Aston Martin Secures £52.5 Million Investment from Yew Tree Consortium
Positive
May 7, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc announced the successful conclusion of its General Meeting, where independent shareholders approved a significant investment of approximately £52.5 million by the Yew Tree Consortium. This investment involves the issuance of 75 million new ordinary shares, increasing the consortium’s interest to 33.13% of the company’s voting rights. The new shares are expected to be admitted to trading on the London Stock Exchange, enhancing Aston Martin’s financial position and potentially impacting its market dynamics.

Spark’s Take on GB:AML Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:AML is a Neutral.

Aston Martin’s financial struggles, reflected in ongoing losses and a high debt load, heavily impact its stock score. While technical indicators point to a bearish trend, strategic initiatives like liquidity improvements and governance enhancements provide some optimism. Valuation metrics suggest potential for long-term improvement, but current performance remains a concern.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:AML stock, click here.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin’s AGM Sees All Resolutions Passed with Strong Shareholder Support
Positive
May 7, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc successfully concluded its Annual General Meeting on May 7, 2025, with all resolutions passed by the required majority of shareholders. The meeting, conducted electronically, saw participation representing 73.6% of the issued share capital. Key resolutions included the approval of the company’s annual report, directors’ remuneration, and the re-election of several directors, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s current management and strategic direction.

Spark’s Take on GB:AML Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:AML is a Neutral.

Aston Martin’s financial struggles, reflected in ongoing losses and a high debt load, heavily impact its stock score. While technical indicators point to a bearish trend, strategic initiatives like liquidity improvements and governance enhancements provide some optimism. Valuation metrics suggest potential for long-term improvement, but current performance remains a concern.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:AML stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aston Martin’s Q1 2025 Results: Navigating Challenges with Innovation
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

Aston Martin’s Q1 2025 results show a performance in line with expectations, with a slight increase in wholesale volumes but a decrease in revenue and gross profit due to fewer Specials deliveries. The company is optimistic about future growth, driven by new model launches and product innovations, including the upcoming Valhalla supercar. Despite financial challenges, Aston Martin is committed to enhancing its product quality and customer satisfaction, aiming for a positive financial outlook in the latter half of 2025.

Spark’s Take on GB:AML Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:AML is a Neutral.

Aston Martin’s stock score is constrained by weak financial performance and bearish technical indicators. The company’s high debt levels and negative profitability weigh heavily on its valuation. However, recent corporate events, including strategic investments and board enhancements, provide a positive outlook for liquidity and governance, partially offsetting the financial weaknesses.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:AML stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Aston Martin Announces General Meeting for Proposed Investment
Neutral
Apr 17, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc has announced the publication of a circular regarding a proposed £52.5 million investment by the Yew Tree Consortium. This circular includes details for a general meeting scheduled for May 7, 2025, where shareholders will vote on the investment proposal. The meeting will be held electronically, and shareholders are advised to review the procedures for voting. The circular is available on the company’s website and has been submitted to the National Storage Mechanism.

Spark’s Take on GB:AML Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:AML is a Neutral.

Aston Martin’s stock score reflects significant financial difficulties, underscored by persistent losses and high debt levels. Despite weak technical indicators and challenging valuation metrics, recent corporate events provide some optimism for improved liquidity and governance, slightly tempering the overall negative outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:AML stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
Aston Martin Director Joins AerCap Board
Neutral
Apr 16, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc announced that Vicky Jarman, a Non-executive Director and Chair of the Audit and Risk Committee, has been appointed as a non-executive director of AerCap Holdings N.V. This move may enhance cross-industry insights and strengthen the company’s governance, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

Spark’s Take on GB:AML Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:AML is a Neutral.

Aston Martin’s stock score reflects significant financial difficulties, underscored by persistent losses and high debt levels. Despite weak technical indicators and challenging valuation metrics, recent corporate events provide some optimism for improved liquidity and governance, slightly tempering the overall negative outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:AML stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aston Martin Clarifies Investment Comments Amid Shareholding Proposal
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc has addressed media comments regarding a proposed investment by the Yew Tree Consortium. The company clarified that remarks made by Lawrence Stroll were not intended as formal statements under the City Code on Takeovers and Mergers. Aston Martin plans to seek a waiver from the Takeover Panel and approval from independent shareholders to potentially increase the Yew Tree Consortium’s shareholding to 35%. This move could significantly impact the company’s shareholder structure and influence its market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin Announces Strategic Investment and Asset Sale to Boost Liquidity
Positive
Mar 31, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc announced a proposed £52.5 million investment by the Yew Tree Consortium, which aims to increase its shareholding to 33%. This move, alongside the proposed sale of Aston Martin’s shares in the Aston Martin Aramco Formula One Team, is expected to enhance the company’s liquidity by over £125 million. The investment and sale are part of Aston Martin’s strategy to strengthen its financial position, support future product innovation, and maintain its presence in motorsport. The actions reflect the consortium’s confidence in the company’s long-term growth prospects and commitment to reducing equity dilution.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Aston Martin Releases 2024 Annual and Sustainability Reports
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc has released its 2024 Annual Report and Accounts, along with its 2024 Sustainability Report and the Notice of Annual General Meeting for 2025. These documents, available on the company’s website, provide insights into the company’s financial performance and sustainability efforts. The publication of these reports is a significant step in maintaining transparency with shareholders and stakeholders, reinforcing the company’s commitment to sustainable practices and corporate governance.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aston Martin Reports 2024 Financial Results with Optimistic Outlook for 2025
Neutral
Feb 26, 2025

Aston Martin reported its preliminary financial results for 2024, highlighting a 6% increase in average selling price to £245k, driven by strong demand for personalized models and special editions. Despite a 9% decrease in wholesale volumes and a 3% drop in revenue, the company expects a significant improvement in financial performance in 2025, aiming for positive adjusted EBIT and free cash flow in the latter half of the year. The launch of new core models and the upcoming Valhalla hybrid supercar are key to Aston Martin’s strategy for sustainable growth and operational excellence.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin Strengthens Board with New Appointments
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc has announced the appointment of Vicky Jarman as an Independent Non-executive Director, effective 1 March 2025. Jarman will also serve as Chair of the Audit & Risk Committee and a member of the Nomination and Remuneration Committees. This appointment follows the departure of Robin Freestone from the Board and his position as Chair of the Audit & Risk Committee. The company has also made changes to its Nomination Committee, with Natalie Massenet and Cyrus Jilla being appointed as members. These strategic appointments are expected to strengthen the company’s governance and oversight capabilities, enhancing its position in the luxury automotive industry.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.