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Caffyns (78GL) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:78GL

Caffyns

(LSE:78GL)

Select Model
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:GBX 95.00â–¼(-3.06% Downside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:10/16/25

Caffyns' overall score is driven by strained financial performance—weak profitability, high debt, and negative cash flows pose major risks. Technical indicators reinforce caution, pointing to overbought conditions despite a slight uptrend. Valuation appears superficially attractive due to a very high dividend yield, but missing P/E data and payout sustainability concerns limit confidence. The most significant risk is persistent weak financial health, which substantially outweighs modest technical or yield positives.

Positive Factors
Revenue growth trendSustained revenue growth across 2023–2025 indicates the core sales platform and market demand remain intact. This provides a foundation for margin recovery if cost control or mix improves, and supports longer-term recovery versus one-off revenue spikes.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverageDebt materially above equity reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest risks. With thin profits, higher leverage constrains investment, limits ability to absorb shocks, and increases vulnerability if earnings or cash flow remain pressured.

Caffyns (78GL) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%GB:78GL0.00%EWC+21.04%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
GBP 2.67M
Dividend Yield
714.29%
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.2
Beta (1Y)
0.04
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
UK
Employees
414
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Auto - Dealerships

Caffyns Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Caffyns PLC functions as an automotive retailer, specializing in the sale of both brand-new and pre-owned vehicles. Its operations extend beyond merely selling cars to providing comprehensive maintenance services and supplying associated automotive p...

How the Company Makes Money

Caffyns generates revenue primarily through the sale of new and used vehicles, acting as an authorized dealer for several automotive brands. The company also earns income from its aftersales services, which include servicing, repairs, and the sale of...

Caffyns Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Caffyns demonstrates modest revenue growth but faces weak and volatile profitability, high financial leverage, and significant liquidity risk due to negative operating cash flow. The balance sheet shows adequate asset backing but ongoing risk from sustained borrowing.

Income Statement

44Neutral

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue262.08M275.46M262.08M251.43M223.93M165.09M
Gross Profit31.70M34.69M31.70M33.58M31.95M22.78M
EBITDA3.06M5.11M3.06M6.75M7.32M4.48M
Net Income-1.20M176.00K-1.20M2.52M3.00M1.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets99.54M101.71M99.54M100.03M84.49M94.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments438.00K3.76M438.00K4.23M2.76M5.74M
Total Debt34.99M37.09M34.99M32.77M26.41M38.44M
Total Liabilities70.81M71.79M70.81M68.37M49.76M67.23M
Stockholders Equity28.74M29.92M28.74M31.66M34.73M27.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.46M-1.37M-2.46M3.33M553.00K6.33M
Operating Cash Flow119.00K-303.00K119.00K4.24M3.39M6.72M
Investing Cash Flow-2.33M3.83M-2.33M-716.00K-2.65M-209.00K
Financing Cash Flow-1.57M-208.00K-1.57M-2.05M-3.71M-2.26M

Caffyns Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

GB:78GL against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:INCHGB:INCH70OutperformGBP 2.16B10.0219.59%5.16%7.27%-39.82%
GB:VTUGB:VTU58NeutralGBP 259.34M14.535.00%2.39%2.90%15.43%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
GB:MOTRGB:MOTR53NeutralGBP 116.23M15.7029.00%1.50%3.97%92.37%
GB:78GLGB:78GL44NeutralGBP 12.95M15.190.60%714.29%――

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%GB:78GLGB:INCHGB:MOTRGB:VTUDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
GB:78GL and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:78GLCaffyns plc98.000.000.00%
GB:INCHInchcape Plc (UK)651.00-55.86-7.90%
GB:MOTRMotorpoint Group plc146.508.896.46%
GB:VTUVertu Motors85.9024.2639.35%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026