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Transgene (TNG) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:TNG

Transgene

(Paris:TNG)

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Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:EUR 0.71â–¼(-2.48% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/20/26

The overall score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance, with revenue collapsing, net margins deeply negative, persistent operating cash burn, and a sharply eroded equity base despite low debt levels. Technicals provide only a partial offset: the price trades above short- and medium-term moving averages but remains below the 200-day average, while overbought oscillators and a slightly negative MACD suggest fragile momentum and risk of near-term pullbacks. Valuation adds further pressure, as a negative P/E of -3.23 and lack of dividend yield data indicate that the stock is not supported by current earnings or income, leaving the investment case heavily dependent on future biotech execution.

Positive Factors
Low leverage and substantial equity baseVery low leverage provides Transgene with greater financial flexibility than a heavily indebted biotech and limits near-term balance-sheet pressure. The sizable equity base can help support continued development activity, although its effectiveness depends on the company’s ability to control ongoing losses and cash usage.
Negative Factors
Persistent losses and deeply negative marginsPersistent losses and severely negative margins show that the current cost base is not supported by revenue, leaving profitability dependent on future clinical or commercial progress. Without sustained revenue growth or cost reduction, negative earnings can continue to consume capital and weaken shareholder returns.

Transgene (TNG) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%FR:TNG-50.78%EWQ-1.36%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 104.40M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
107.02K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-4.3
Beta (1Y)
0.05
Revenue Growth
189.81%
EPS Growth
38.50%
Country
France
Employees
152
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Biotechnology

Transgene Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Transgene SA, a French biotechnology firm headquartered in Illkirch-Graffenstaden, specializes in designing and developing groundbreaking therapeutic vaccines and oncolytic viruses to combat cancer and infectious diseases. Founded in 1979 and operati...

Transgene Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 23, 2026(Q4-2025)|% Change Since:-1.89%|Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2019
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call emphasized several strong positives: robust fundraising (EUR 105M), a strengthened balance sheet (EUR 39M debt conversion), compelling Phase I efficacy and durable immunogenicity signals for TG4050 (100% disease-free in treated Phase I patients; 73% immunogenicity with responses persisting 24 months), encouraging BT-001 combination data, and a clear plan for manufacturing and regulatory readiness. Counterbalancing these highlights are timing and operational risks (GMP readiness targeted Q3 2027), immature/pending pivotal readouts (Phase II 2-year DFS not yet available), ongoing cash burn (~EUR 38.2M in 2025) and some dependence on broader field validation. Overall, the positive clinical signals and strengthened financial position outweigh the execution and timing risks at this stage.

Positive Updates

Successful Fundraising and Balance Sheet Strengthening
Raised approximately EUR 105 million in December 2025 and converted EUR 39 million of debt into equity, leaving the company virtually debt-free and providing financial visibility/runway through early 2028.

Negative Updates

Key Efficacy Readouts Not Yet Mature or Fully Peer-Reviewed
Primary efficacy readout for Phase I/II (2-year DFS for Phase II) is pending until patients reach 2 years post-randomization; Phase I comprehensive analysis is currently a preprint under peer review, so data are not yet fully validated by peer-reviewed publication.

Company Guidance

The call laid out clear, metric-driven guidance: Transgene raised ~EUR 105m in December 2025 and converted ~EUR 39m of debt to equity (now virtually debt‑free), giving cash visibility through early 2028 (first quarter 2028) after a 2025 cash burn of ~EUR 38.2m; clinically, the primary endpoint for the randomized Phase I/II TG4050 study is 2‑year disease‑free survival (DFS) with an efficacy readout once all patients reach 2 years, Phase I 3‑year DFS data expected Q2–Q3 2026 and 4‑year follow‑up Q2–Q3 2027, Phase II patient randomization to be completed by Q2 2026 and first Phase II immunogenicity data in H2 2026 (with ~1 year follow‑up possible), and Phase I translational results showed 100% DFS at ≥2 years in treated HPV‑negative HNSCC patients vs. 3 relapses in controls and neoantigen‑specific T‑cell responses in 73% of evaluable patients that persisted 24 months; manufacturing and regulatory investments target full GMP capacity by Q3 2027 and a second Phase I indication is slated to start in 2026.

Transgene Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue has collapsed by 95% to €137k in 2025 with net margins deteriorating to -274%, operating and free cash flows remain deeply negative, and equity has eroded from €67M to €12M despite low leverage, resulting in very weak but still biotech-typical financials.

Income Statement

12Very Negative

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue313.00K490.00K6.35M7.90M3.13M9.99M
Gross Profit13.82M490.00K-27.93M-21.69M-29.04M-22.89M
EBITDA-37.52M-39.77M-26.65M-28.44M-30.31M-16.55M
Net Income-33.90M-37.52M-33.97M-22.33M-32.81M-20.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets124.53M138.83M42.17M45.22M66.44M101.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments92.84M111.86M16.67M15.67M26.83M49.57M
Total Debt2.18M2.06M10.40M1.35M2.45M3.84M
Total Liabilities15.33M17.09M26.97M29.61M28.59M34.63M
Stockholders Equity109.19M121.73M15.20M15.61M37.84M67.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-39.29M-37.58M-26.62M-37.42M-21.84M-32.63M
Operating Cash Flow-38.09M-36.74M-23.55M-34.67M-20.30M-31.94M
Investing Cash Flow-88.22M-105.95M-3.21M34.57M20.27M16.79M
Financing Cash Flow114.06M134.38M26.96M11.37M-1.48M15.77M

Transgene Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price0.73

Price Trends

50DMA0.77Negative
100DMA0.75Negative
200DMA0.78Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Negative
RSI52.30Neutral
STOCH77.33Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:TNG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.70, below the 50-day MA of 0.77, and below the 200-day MA of 0.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FR:TNG.

Transgene Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

FR:TNG against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
FR:IPHFR:IPH47NeutralEUR 140.30M-2.46152.56%―-29.48%7.91%
FR:NANOFR:NANO46NeutralEUR 1.43B-25.5689.71%―――
FR:TNGFR:TNG45NeutralEUR 202.03M-4.34-29.36%―189.81%38.50%
FR:OSEFR:OSE43NeutralEUR 45.93M-1.16-96.73%―-96.25%-197.89%
FR:ALCLSFR:ALCLS43NeutralEUR 75.07M-1.78-94.14%―-5.98%-8.67%
FR:MAATFR:MAAT39UnderperformEUR 19.20M-0.53――-19.02%10.39%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%FR:TNGFR:IPHFR:NANOFR:OSEFR:ALCLSFR:MAATDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
FR:TNG and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FR:TNGTransgene SA0.73-0.63-46.62%
FR:IPHInnate Pharma S.A.1.26-0.39-23.51%
FR:NANONanobiotix SA28.1212.3678.43%
FR:OSEOSE Immunotherapeutics1.95-3.75-65.75%
FR:ALCLSCellectis SA1.04-1.90-64.63%
FR:MAATMaaT Pharma1.02-3.25-76.16%

Transgene Corporate Events

Transgene to Showcase Systemic Oncolytic Virus Data at SITC 2026

Oct 5, 2026

Transgene will present new preclinical data on its enveloped oncolytic virus PoxSTG-EEV, designed for systemic administration, at the Society for Immunotherapy of Cancer annual meeting in Phoenix in early November 2026. The poster, to be unveiled on...

Transgene to Showcase myvac® Cancer Vaccine Platform at Paris Investor Event

Oct 1, 2026

Transgene will present its progress to institutional investors at the Investor Access Event in Paris on October 6, 2026, in a program that brings together more than 190 professional investors and 90 listed companies. Management intends to highlight a...

Transgene Advances myvac® Cancer Vaccines and MVA Platform With Cash Runway to 2028

Sep 24, 2026

Transgene reported its 2026 half-year results alongside a broad update on its myvac® oncology platform and MVA-based vaccine pipeline, underscoring progress toward late-stage development and expanded indications. The company highlighted that its...

Transgene Bolsters Viral Vaccine Manufacturing With Expanded ProBioGen Cell-Line Deal

Sep 8, 2026

Transgene and ProBioGen have expanded their collaboration with a new license granting Transgene access to ProBioGen’s AGE1.CR.pIX suspension cell line, a specialized avian platform optimized for viral vaccine production. The technology offers e...

Transgene’s TG4050 Vaccine Shows Three‑Year Relapse‑Free Remission in Head and Neck Cancer Trial

Sep 2, 2026

Transgene and NEC reported that all 16 patients treated with TG4050 in the Phase 1 arm of a randomized Phase 1/2 trial for HPV‑negative head and neck cancer remain in clinical remission and relapse‑free after a median follow‑up of 4...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2026