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STEF SA (STF) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:STF

STEF SA

(Paris:STF)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:EUR 134.00â–²(5.02% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is weighed down primarily by deteriorating fundamentals: margins and net income have fallen sharply, return on equity has dropped to a multi-year low of 6.4%, debt has risen to €1.65 billion, and free cash flow has all but evaporated to €5.5 million as capital spending consumes operating cash. Offsetting this, the stock shows solid technical strength, trading above all key moving averages with a positive MACD, though short-term indicators suggest the move is extended. A modest 13.3x P/E, a 2.06% dividend yield, and low beta provide some support, but until margin recovery and cash conversion improve, the risk-reward remains only moderately balanced.

Positive Factors
Steady Revenue GrowthContinued top-line expansion indicates sustained demand for STEF’s temperature-controlled logistics services across its food-industry customer base. Ongoing revenue growth supports network utilization, preserves investment capacity, and provides a foundation for earnings recovery if cost pressures moderate.
Negative Factors
Sharp Profitability DeclineThe steep reduction in net income and margin shows that revenue growth is not currently translating into comparable earnings growth. Persistently weaker profitability would reduce reinvestment capacity, lower resilience to operating pressures, and make future earnings recovery more dependent on cost improvement.

STEF SA (STF) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%FR:STF+8.85%EWQ+2.16%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
EUR 1.64B
Dividend Yield
2.12%
Average Volume (3M)
1,566
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.0
Beta (1Y)
0.55
Revenue Growth
7.74%
EPS Growth
27.63%
Country
France
Employees
26,019
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Integrated Freight & Logistics

STEF SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

STEF SA is a logistics firm specializing in temperature-controlled supply chain solutions, primarily serving food and agricultural producers, retail businesses, and the catering sector. The company's expertise lies in the secure transportation of a v...

How the Company Makes Money

STEF makes money by providing temperature-controlled logistics services to customers in the food industry, generating revenue primarily from service fees charged for the transport, storage, and handling of chilled and frozen goods. A major revenue st...

STEF SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

STEF has grown revenue over 60% since 2020 to roughly €5.12 billion and maintained a steadily expanding equity base, but the quality of that growth has weakened materially. Net income nearly halved from €157 million to €84 million, net margin compressed from 3.3% to 1.6%, and EBIT margin slipped from 5.8% (2023) to 3.9%. Leverage climbed to €1.65 billion of debt while return on equity fell from 12.3% to 6.4%. Most concerning is cash generation: operating cash flow dropped 22% to €309 million and free cash flow collapsed over 93% to just €5.5 million, indicating heavy capital spending is absorbing nearly all internally generated cash and leaving limited flexibility for debt reduction or shareholder returns.

Income Statement

48Neutral

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.33B5.12B4.80B4.44B4.16B3.51B
Gross Profit1.05B854.42M329.43M341.19M690.46M600.16M
EBITDA469.04M415.32M471.24M455.57M417.65M333.44M
Net Income124.48M84.40M157.24M191.61M146.36M110.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.37B4.24B3.93B3.51B3.35B2.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments131.42M116.44M85.12M143.60M87.59M92.24M
Total Debt1.73B1.65B1.43B1.19B1.16B1.04B
Total Liabilities3.03B2.92B2.65B2.32B2.31B2.07B
Stockholders Equity1.34B1.31B1.28B1.18B1.04B912.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow68.45M5.52M41.99M20.78M37.17M205.50M
Operating Cash Flow359.54M309.44M397.27M356.55M266.65M370.63M
Investing Cash Flow-366.83M-376.16M-447.36M-244.99M-295.13M-295.12M
Financing Cash Flow28.29M147.41M-20.81M-43.95M-34.71M-6.68M

STEF SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price127.60

Price Trends

50DMA124.62Positive
100DMA125.84Positive
200DMA121.89Positive

Market Momentum

MACD2.08Negative
RSI58.19Neutral
STOCH53.76Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:STF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 127.60 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 125.22, above the 50-day MA of 124.62, and above the 200-day MA of 121.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:STF.

STEF SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

FR:STF against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FR:IDLFR:IDL64NeutralEUR 2.51B37.9010.14%―15.53%16.25%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
FR:STFFR:STF55NeutralEUR 1.57B12.979.40%2.12%7.74%27.63%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%FR:STFFR:IDLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
FR:STF and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FR:STFStef Sa127.609.207.77%
FR:IDLID LOGISTICS388.5010.502.78%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026