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Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise (FR:NAE)
:NAE
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Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise (NAE) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:NAE

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise

(NAE)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
€81.00
▼(-5.70% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/01/26
The score is primarily driven down by weakened financial performance, including a return to losses, sharply negative free cash flow, and a significant increase in leverage. Technicals are mixed (short-term weakness but longer-term trend still positive), while valuation provides limited support due to negative earnings despite a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Historical Profitability
The company demonstrated meaningful earnings capacity across 2021–2023, showing that its downstream operations can generate attractive margins in supportive market conditions. Although 2025 weakened materially, this prior performance provides evidence of an established operating base that could benefit when refining conditions improve.
Negative Factors
Revenue and Profitability Deterioration
The sharp 2025 revenue decline and reversal into a net loss indicate weakened demand capture, downstream margins, or both. A negative operating result reduces internal funding capacity and makes the business more dependent on a recovery in refining conditions to restore sustainable earnings over the coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Historical Profitability
The company demonstrated meaningful earnings capacity across 2021–2023, showing that its downstream operations can generate attractive margins in supportive market conditions. Although 2025 weakened materially, this prior performance provides evidence of an established operating base that could benefit when refining conditions improve.
Read all positive factors

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise (NAE) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Esso S.A.F., established in 1902 and based in Nanterre, France, specializes in the refining, distribution, and sale of petroleum products across France and on international markets. Its extensive product range features refined goods like various g...
How the Company Makes Money
Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise (NAE) primarily makes money through downstream petroleum product sales in France. Key revenue streams include: (1) retail fuel sales to motorists through branded service stations (where revenue is driven by volumes s...

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak and deteriorated in 2025: revenue declined sharply (-23.1% vs. 2024), profitability turned to a net loss (net margin ~-0.8%), leverage increased materially (debt-to-equity ~1.11), and both operating cash flow and free cash flow were deeply negative (~-€552m). Despite stronger 2021–2024 periods, the latest year indicates reduced resilience and flexibility.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
42
Neutral
Cash Flow
27
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.37B17.94B19.24B24.94B15.28B
Gross Profit277.80M372.30M1.16B1.26B814.30M
EBITDA182.90M211.50M787.10M1.10B771.40M
Net Income-92.80M106.50M676.50M719.20M572.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.12B4.52B4.74B4.68B4.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments200.00M1.50B1.05B0.00411.00M
Total Debt829.60M16.50M40.30M774.10M40.50M
Total Liabilities2.37B2.27B2.40B2.90B3.30B
Stockholders Equity745.90M2.25B2.34B1.78B813.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-684.50M649.10M1.79B-1.13B410.20M
Operating Cash Flow-552.40M649.10M1.85B-1.09B441.00M
Investing Cash Flow-106.90M21.10M-53.10M-33.30M-28.10M
Financing Cash Flow-635.70M-212.40M-754.10M712.30M-10.90M

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price85.90
Price Trends
50DMA
82.88
Positive
100DMA
67.62
Positive
200DMA
59.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.70
Positive
RSI
49.71
Neutral
STOCH
36.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:NAE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 85.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 98.57, above the 50-day MA of 82.88, and above the 200-day MA of 59.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FR:NAE.

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
€3.62B10.8411.96%5.88%11.36%-10.29%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
42
Neutral
€1.20B-28.45-3.42%3.22%-22.83%59.55%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:NAE
Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise
84.20
45.37
116.83%
FR:RUI
Rubis SCA
35.22
5.08
16.85%
FR:DPAM
Les Docks des Petroles d'Ambes SA
845.00
-53.18
-5.92%

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Corporate Events

North Atlantic Energies Boosts Refining Performance but Suffers Loss on Volatile Oil Costs
Sep 28, 2026
North Atlantic Energies reported a sharp improvement in operating performance in the first half of 2026, with crude throughput up 28% and adjusted EBITDA more than doubling to €178 million, helped by stronger refining margins and higher pric...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2026