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Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise (FR:NAE)
:NAE
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Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise (NAE) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:NAE

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise

(NAE)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
€104.00
▲(21.07% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/11/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance: declining revenue, a return to losses, sharply higher leverage, and deeply negative operating/free cash flow. Technicals provide partial support due to strong upward price momentum, but overbought indicators raise near-term risk. Valuation is mixed, with a negative P/E (loss-making) offset somewhat by a ~3% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified downstream distribution model
Serving both retail consumers and commercial customers gives the company multiple routes to market for petroleum products. This channel breadth can support volume resilience, improve customer reach, and provide operating flexibility across changing French fuel-demand patterns over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline and loss-making performance
The latest results show a material deterioration in both demand or pricing-driven revenue and profitability. A lower top line combined with a loss reduces internal funding capacity, weakens resilience to further market pressure, and makes a durable earnings recovery necessary before financial flexibility improves.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified downstream distribution model
Serving both retail consumers and commercial customers gives the company multiple routes to market for petroleum products. This channel breadth can support volume resilience, improve customer reach, and provide operating flexibility across changing French fuel-demand patterns over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise (NAE) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Esso S.A.F., established in 1902 and based in Nanterre, France, specializes in the refining, distribution, and sale of petroleum products across France and on international markets. Its extensive product range features refined goods like various g...
How the Company Makes Money
Esso Société Anonyme Française (NAE) makes money primarily by selling petroleum products in France through a combination of (1) retail fuel sales and (2) wholesale/commercial supply contracts, with additional earnings from related products and ser...

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak and deteriorating. Revenue fell sharply in 2025 (-23.1% vs. 2024), profitability flipped to a net loss (net margin ~-0.8%), leverage rose quickly (debt ~€830m vs. equity ~€746m; debt-to-equity ~1.11), and operating/free cash flow were deeply negative (~-€552m), reducing financial flexibility.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
42
Neutral
Cash Flow
27
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.37B17.94B19.24B24.94B15.28B
Gross Profit277.80M372.30M1.16B1.26B814.30M
EBITDA182.90M211.50M787.10M1.10B771.40M
Net Income-92.80M106.50M676.50M719.20M572.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.12B4.52B4.74B4.68B4.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments200.00M1.50B1.05B0.00411.00M
Total Debt829.60M16.50M40.30M774.10M40.50M
Total Liabilities2.37B2.27B2.40B2.90B3.30B
Stockholders Equity745.90M2.25B2.34B1.78B813.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-684.50M649.10M1.79B-1.13B410.20M
Operating Cash Flow-552.40M649.10M1.85B-1.09B441.00M
Investing Cash Flow-106.90M21.10M-53.10M-33.30M-28.10M
Financing Cash Flow-635.70M-212.40M-754.10M712.30M-10.90M

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price85.90
Price Trends
50DMA
81.63
Positive
100DMA
66.88
Positive
200DMA
58.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.19
Positive
RSI
59.26
Neutral
STOCH
52.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:NAE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 85.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 97.79, above the 50-day MA of 81.63, and above the 200-day MA of 58.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:NAE.

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
€3.57B10.8211.96%5.88%11.36%-10.29%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
44
Neutral
€1.28B-13.62-8.33%3.00%-22.83%59.55%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:NAE
Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise
98.35
59.48
153.02%
FR:RUI
Rubis SCA
35.18
5.25
17.53%
FR:DPAM
Les Docks des Petroles d'Ambes SA
845.00
-57.91
-6.41%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 11, 2026