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Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise (NAE) AI Stock Analysis

27 Followers
FR:NAE

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise

(Paris:NAE)

Select Model
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:EUR 73.00â–¼(-1.88% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/01/26

Esso S.A.F. faces significant fundamental challenges driven by cyclical industry headwinds, resulting in net losses, negative cash flows, and rising debt. These severe structural weaknesses dictate the low score. While long-term technical trends remain somewhat intact and the stock offers a modest dividend yield, these secondary factors are heavily overshadowed by the deteriorating financial profile.

Positive Factors
Established brand and downstream networkThe established Esso/ExxonMobil brand and presence across retail and commercial petroleum markets provide a durable platform for customer recognition, distribution, and product marketing. This operating footprint can support recurring demand and commercial reach even as refining conditions fluctuate.
Negative Factors
Revenue and profitability deteriorationThe sharp revenue contraction and shift into a net loss indicate that the company’s recent earnings base has weakened materially. Persistently lower sales and negative margins would reduce internal funding capacity, limit resilience, and make recovery dependent on improved downstream operating conditions.

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise (NAE) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

-50%-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%FR:NAE+45.74%EWQ+0.84%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
EUR 958.95M
Dividend Yield
4.04%
Average Volume (3M)
9,528
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-24.9
Beta (1Y)
-0.42
Revenue Growth
-22.83%
EPS Growth
59.23%
Country
France
Employees
1,056
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

North Atlantic Energies, formerly Esso S.A.F., is a French refining and marketing company that operates the Gravenchon refinery in Normandy, one of France's largest, and supplies fuels, heating oils, bitumen and other petroleum products to wholesale,...

How the Company Makes Money

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise (NAE) primarily makes money through downstream petroleum product sales in France. Key revenue streams include: (1) retail fuel sales to motorists through branded service stations (where revenue is driven by volumes sold...

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Esso S.A.F.'s financials are under severe cyclical pressure, experiencing a 23% revenue drop in 2025, deep net losses, deeply negative cash flows, and a sudden surge in leverage.

Income Statement

32Negative

Balance Sheet

38Negative

Cash Flow

30Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.41B11.37B17.94B19.24B24.94B15.28B
Gross Profit560.70M277.80M372.30M1.16B1.26B814.30M
EBITDA455.90M17.70M211.20M787.40M1.10B771.40M
Net Income-38.40M-92.80M106.50M676.50M719.20M572.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.25B3.12B4.52B4.74B4.68B4.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments172.80M200.00M1.50B1.05B0411.00M
Total Debt918.00M829.60M16.50M40.30M774.10M40.50M
Total Liabilities2.53B2.37B2.27B2.40B2.90B3.30B
Stockholders Equity723.90M745.90M2.25B2.34B1.78B813.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-574.10M-684.50M649.10M1.79B-1.13B410.20M
Operating Cash Flow-473.90M-552.40M649.10M1.85B-1.09B441.00M
Investing Cash Flow-75.00M-106.90M21.10M-53.10M-33.30M-28.10M
Financing Cash Flow-588.20M-635.70M-212.40M-754.10M712.30M-10.90M

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price74.40

Price Trends

50DMA85.82Negative
100DMA75.56Negative
200DMA64.39Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-2.30Negative
RSI42.10Neutral
STOCH30.55Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:NAE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 74.40 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 74.89, below the 50-day MA of 85.82, and above the 200-day MA of 64.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:NAE.

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

FR:NAE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FR:RUIFR:RUI64NeutralEUR 3.65B11.0811.96%5.75%11.36%-10.29%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
FR:NAEFR:NAE45NeutralEUR 953.81M-24.88-5.23%4.04%-22.83%59.23%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%FR:NAEFR:RUIFR:DPAMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
FR:NAE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FR:NAEEsso Societe Anonyme Francaise74.4026.9656.83%
FR:RUIRubis SCA36.025.3717.52%
FR:DPAMLes Docks des Petroles d'Ambes SA840.00-44.00-4.98%

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Corporate Events

North Atlantic Energies Reviews Higher-Priced Tender Offer From North Atlantic France

Oct 29, 2026

North Atlantic Energies has acknowledged that North Atlantic France has raised the price of its proposed mandatory public tender offer for the company. An ad hoc committee is completing its review of the revised offer and overseeing an independent ex...

North Atlantic Energies Boosts Refining Performance but Suffers Loss on Volatile Oil Costs

Sep 28, 2026

North Atlantic Energies reported a sharp improvement in operating performance in the first half of 2026, with crude throughput up 28% and adjusted EBITDA more than doubling to €178 million, helped by stronger refining margins and higher prices despit...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2026