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Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise (NAE) AI Stock Analysis

FR:NAE

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise

(Paris:NAE)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:EUR 68.00â–¼(-11.69% Downside)
Action:upgraded
Date:10/01/26

The overall score of 42 reflects a high-risk profile. The most significant factor is the company's poor financial health, marked by a net loss, a highly leveraged balance sheet, and deeply negative cash flows, which severely limits financial flexibility. While the stock shows some positive long-term technical momentum, this is overshadowed by fundamental weaknesses. The negative P/E ratio and questionable dividend sustainability further detract from the investment case.

Positive Factors
Brand and supply-chain positionAssociation with the Esso/ExxonMobil brand and supply chain can support sourcing, logistics, and marketing across the French downstream network. That embedded operating and brand position may help the company serve retail and commercial customers consistently over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue and earnings deteriorationThe sharp 2025 revenue contraction and move from profit to loss indicate materially weaker operating performance. A negative margin reduces internal funding capacity and makes future results more dependent on a recovery in refining conditions and downstream spreads.

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise (NAE) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%FR:NAE+100.38%EWQ-0.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 997.52M
Dividend Yield
3.89%
Average Volume (3M)
9,329
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-25.8
Beta (1Y)
-0.37
Revenue Growth
-22.83%
EPS Growth
59.23%
Country
France
Employees
1,056
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Esso S.A.F., established in 1902 and based in Nanterre, France, specializes in the refining, distribution, and sale of petroleum products across France and on international markets. Its extensive product range features refined goods like various gase...

How the Company Makes Money

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise (NAE) primarily makes money through downstream petroleum product sales in France. Key revenue streams include: (1) retail fuel sales to motorists through branded service stations (where revenue is driven by volumes sold...

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is severely strained. Revenue has declined for three consecutive years, culminating in a net loss of €92.8M. The balance sheet has deteriorated sharply with debt soaring to €829.6M, pushing the debt-to-equity ratio to 1.11. Operating and free cash flows are deeply negative at -€552M, limiting the company's ability to service debt or invest in operations.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

40Negative

Cash Flow

30Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.41B11.37B17.94B19.24B24.94B15.28B
Gross Profit560.70M277.80M372.30M1.16B1.26B814.30M
EBITDA455.90M17.70M211.20M787.40M1.10B771.40M
Net Income-38.40M-92.80M106.50M676.50M719.20M572.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.25B3.12B4.52B4.74B4.68B4.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments172.80M200.00M1.50B1.05B0411.00M
Total Debt918.00M829.60M16.50M40.30M774.10M40.50M
Total Liabilities2.53B2.37B2.27B2.40B2.90B3.30B
Stockholders Equity723.90M745.90M2.25B2.34B1.78B813.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-574.10M-684.50M649.10M1.79B-1.13B410.20M
Operating Cash Flow-473.90M-552.40M649.10M1.85B-1.09B441.00M
Investing Cash Flow-75.00M-106.90M21.10M-53.10M-33.30M-28.10M
Financing Cash Flow-588.20M-635.70M-212.40M-754.10M712.30M-10.90M

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price77.00

Price Trends

50DMA86.84Negative
100DMA73.28Positive
200DMA63.24Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-3.74Negative
RSI45.75Neutral
STOCH50.29Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:NAE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 77.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 77.59, below the 50-day MA of 86.84, and above the 200-day MA of 63.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:NAE.

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

FR:NAE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FR:RUIFR:RUI64NeutralEUR 3.64B10.8411.96%5.88%11.36%-10.29%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
FR:NAEFR:NAE42NeutralEUR 992.37M-25.82-5.23%3.89%-22.83%59.23%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%FR:NAEFR:RUIFR:DPAMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
FR:NAE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FR:NAEEsso Societe Anonyme Francaise77.2039.48104.67%
FR:RUIRubis SCA35.225.7419.46%
FR:DPAMLes Docks des Petroles d'Ambes SA835.00-44.27-5.04%

Esso Societe Anonyme Francaise Corporate Events

North Atlantic Energies Reviews Higher-Priced Tender Offer From North Atlantic France

Oct 29, 2026

North Atlantic Energies has acknowledged that North Atlantic France has raised the price of its proposed mandatory public tender offer for the company. An ad hoc committee is completing its review of the revised offer and overseeing an independent ex...

North Atlantic Energies Boosts Refining Performance but Suffers Loss on Volatile Oil Costs

Sep 28, 2026

North Atlantic Energies reported a sharp improvement in operating performance in the first half of 2026, with crude throughput up 28% and adjusted EBITDA more than doubling to €178 million, helped by stronger refining margins and higher prices...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2026