Rougier SA (ALRGR) AI Stock Analysis

Rougier SA

(Paris:ALRGR)

Select Model

Rating:42.2Neutral

Price Target:EUR 11.00▼(-0.90% Downside)

Action:reiterated

Date:09/06/26

The overall score is driven primarily by Rougier SA’s fragile financial position, with recent losses, pressured margins, elevated leverage and thin or negative free cash flow creating significant balance‑sheet and earnings risk. The weak valuation profile, marked by negative earnings and no dividend, further limits upside justification. Technical indicators show a mildly negative but broadly neutral trend, providing only modest support and not offsetting the fundamental and valuation concerns.

Positive Factors

Value-added product modelSelling both raw timber and processed wood gives Rougier multiple ways to capture value across the supply chain. A broader product mix can support customer coverage, improve pricing potential through processing, and reduce reliance on a single wood-product category over the coming quarters.

Negative Factors

Revenue and profitability reversalThe latest results show a material deterioration in operating performance, with falling revenue and a swing from prior-year profits to a sizable loss. This weakens internal funding capacity and indicates that earnings may remain vulnerable to demand, pricing, or cost changes over the next several quarters.

Rougier SA (ALRGR) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

Market Cap: EUR 11.91M
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 32
Price to Earnings (P/E): -1.4
Beta (1Y): 0.33
Revenue Growth: -17.72%
EPS Growth: -5742.47%
Country: France
Employees: 1,161
Sector: Basic Materials
Sector Strength: 61
Industry: Paper, Lumber & Forest Products

Rougier SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Operating on a global scale, Rougier S.A. manufactures and distributes a wide array of wood-based products. The company holds approximately 2.3 million hectares of forest concessions across Gabon, Cameroon, the Republic of Congo, and the Central Afri...

How the Company Makes Money

Rougier SA makes money primarily by selling wood and wood-derived products sourced from its forestry operations and/or purchased timber that it processes and markets. Its revenue model is centered on: (1) sales of logs and other raw timber products t...

Rougier SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak, with a sharp deterioration in 2025: revenue declined by mid‑teens, profitability moved from modest profit to sizeable loss with negative operating profit and EBITDA, leverage has risen to debt exceeding twice equity, and while operating cash flow remains positive, free cash flow is often negative, leaving the company in a fragile, high‑risk financial position.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

30Negative

Cash Flow

40Negative

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	75.00M	75.00M	96.56M	98.87M	103.00M	66.50M
Gross Profit	-4.30M	14.65M	61.24M	59.09M	35.72M	21.66M
EBITDA	-4.48M	-4.00M	12.30M	13.54M	16.73M	15.77M
Net Income	-8.03M	-8.03M	2.67M	3.46M	5.83M	5.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	77.71M	77.71M	81.65M	80.14M	80.46M	68.55M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.67M	2.67M	2.75M	3.96M	5.38M	5.57M
Total Debt	18.08M	18.08M	15.95M	14.00M	14.48M	16.95M
Total Liabilities	65.90M	65.90M	57.13M	59.08M	64.50M	60.64M
Stockholders Equity	8.44M	8.44M	16.49M	14.08M	10.64M	4.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-1.65M	-1.65M	-2.22M	-2.09M	2.36M	-1.15M
Operating Cash Flow	3.31M	3.31M	2.30M	7.76M	10.34M	7.05M
Investing Cash Flow	-5.60M	-5.60M	-4.64M	-21.54M	-7.31M	-457.00K
Financing Cash Flow	802.00K	802.00K	-46.00K	13.35M	-3.69M	1.74M

Rougier SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral

Last Price11.10

Price Trends

50DMA11.14Negative

100DMA11.25Negative

200DMA12.48Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.03Negative

RSI56.60Neutral

STOCH77.78Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:ALRGR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.10 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.98, below the 50-day MA of 11.14, and below the 200-day MA of 12.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FR:ALRGR.

Rougier SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

FR:ALRGR against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FR:CBE	63Neutral	EUR 1.57B	16.22	―	1.92%	0.30%	0.78%
Sector *	61Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
FR:ALHRG	45Neutral	EUR 50.69M	-12.24	-4.36%	―	-2.04%	66.07%
FR:ALRGR	42Neutral	EUR 11.90M	-1.36	―	―	-17.72%	-5742.47%
FR:ALAFY	39Underperform	EUR 87.81M	-11.47	-7.49%	―	-13.62%	54.46%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

FR:ALRGR and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
FR:ALRGR	Rougier SA	11.10	-3.90	-26.00%
FR:ALAFY	AFYREN	2.27	0.14	6.59%
FR:ALEXA	Exacompta Clairefontaine SA	148.00	-11.03	-6.93%
FR:ALHRG	HERIGE SA	17.75	-3.35	-15.88%
FR:ALDUB	Encres Dubuit SA	1.84	-0.54	-22.69%
FR:CBE	Robertet SA Cert.d'Invest. Em.87	625.00	-82.39	-11.65%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026

Rougier SA AI Stock Analysis