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SergeFerrari Group SA (ALFER) AI Stock Analysis

FR:ALFER

SergeFerrari Group SA

(Paris:ALFER)

Select Model
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:EUR 5.50â–²(2.23% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/06/26

The overall score is held back primarily by fragile but improving fundamentals: robust and consistent operating cash flow and a return to profit are positives, yet volatile margins, moderate-to-high leverage, and a shrinking equity base constrain financial quality. Technicals contribute a mildly negative tilt, with the price trading below key moving averages and weak momentum but no clear capitulation signal. Valuation is reasonably fair, with a mid-teens P/E and modest dividend yield offering some support but not enough to offset the underlying profitability and balance sheet risks.

Positive Factors
Specialized product expertiseThe company operates in performance-sensitive applications where durability, dimensional stability, fire behavior, and weather resistance matter. Its composite and coating expertise can support product differentiation and customer qualification, creating a durable position beyond basic commodity materials.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverageDebt exceeding equity and worsening leverage reduce financial flexibility even though the balance sheet remains serviceable. If profitability softens again, a larger share of cash generation may be needed for obligations, limiting the company’s ability to invest or absorb operating setbacks.

SergeFerrari Group SA (ALFER) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%FR:ALFER-31.16%EWQ-1.36%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 61.69M
Dividend Yield
2.45%
Average Volume (3M)
1,812
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.7
Beta (1Y)
0.42
Revenue Growth
1.82%
EPS Growth
426.32%
Country
France
Employees
1,136
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Construction Materials

SergeFerrari Group SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

SergeFerrari Group SA designs, develops, manufactures, and markets composite materials for lightweight architectural and outdoor applications in France and internationally. The company operates through four gegments: Tensile Architecture, Solar Prote...

How the Company Makes Money

SergeFerrari Group primarily makes money by selling manufactured flexible composite materials (coated fabrics/membranes) to professional customers (such as fabricators, converters, installers, and OEMs) that integrate these materials into finished pr...

SergeFerrari Group SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed but improving: strong and consistent operating cash flow and a 2025 return to profitability support a solid score, yet volatile gross margins, thin net margins, elevated leverage around 1.3x debt-to-equity, and a shrinking equity base limit upside despite the positive cash flow resilience and earnings rebound.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

75Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue347.50M347.50M323.64M327.64M338.70M285.88M
Gross Profit61.66M61.66M159.28M153.46M65.02M54.82M
EBITDA38.64M38.64M19.07M32.50M43.19M36.49M
Net Income5.36M5.36M-15.19M4.72M15.52M10.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets335.31M335.31M347.54M366.38M347.66M316.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.63M26.63M21.67M29.57M32.89M46.87M
Total Debt141.34M141.34M146.84M157.79M118.21M101.68M
Total Liabilities213.91M213.91M232.22M237.54M217.94M199.55M
Stockholders Equity107.66M107.66M103.04M118.54M119.98M109.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.72M20.57M23.76M13.76M-6.71M25.54M
Operating Cash Flow30.31M27.16M32.59M30.18M6.40M34.54M
Investing Cash Flow-7.45M-7.45M-14.54M-26.49M-22.11M-14.13M
Financing Cash Flow-14.48M-14.48M-26.16M-6.78M2.00M-19.76M

SergeFerrari Group SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price5.38

Price Trends

50DMA5.99Negative
100DMA6.68Negative
200DMA6.99Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.17Negative
RSI23.17Positive
STOCH11.11Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:ALFER, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.55, below the 50-day MA of 5.99, and below the 200-day MA of 6.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 23.17 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.11 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:ALFER.

SergeFerrari Group SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

FR:ALFER against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FR:SGOFR:SGO77OutperformEUR 33.24B12.50―3.39%-1.56%-4.16%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
FR:ALFERFR:ALFER59NeutralEUR 61.69M14.724.95%2.45%1.82%426.32%
FR:SAMSFR:SAMS56NeutralEUR 370.45M11.40―4.65%-2.13%74.76%
FR:FGAFR:FGA51NeutralEUR 440.95M100.401.20%―12.61%-86.29%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%FR:ALFERFR:SGOFR:FGAFR:MLPLCFR:SAMSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
FR:ALFER and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FR:ALFERSergeFerrari Group SA5.30-2.44-31.51%
FR:SGOCompagnie de Saint Gobain67.88-12.88-15.95%
FR:FGAFigeac Aero SA10.04-1.96-16.33%
FR:MLPLCPlacoplatre SA640.00141.1928.31%
FR:SAMSSAMSE SA107.50-12.48-10.40%

SergeFerrari Group SA Corporate Events

SergeFerrari Group Sets Out 2027 Financial Reporting Calendar

Oct 28, 2026

SergeFerrari Group, a specialist in high-technology composite fabrics for construction, solar protection, and design applications, operates production sites in France, Switzerland, Germany, Italy, and Asia, and sells in 80 countries through subsidiar...

SergeFerrari Shows Resilience as Q3 Revenue Edges Higher in Volatile Markets

Oct 26, 2026

SergeFerrari Group reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of €81.5 million, up 1.0% on a like-for-like and constant exchange-rate basis, underscoring the company’s resilience in a volatile geopolitical climate. Nine‑month revenue was b...

SergeFerrari Group Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights Structure

Oct 12, 2026

SergeFerrari Group has published updated information on its share capital and voting rights as of 30 September 2026, in line with French regulatory requirements. The company reports 12,299,259 shares outstanding, corresponding to a gross total of 21,...

SergeFerrari Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights Structure

Sep 14, 2026

SergeFerrari Group has disclosed its latest share capital and voting rights structure, reporting 12,299,259 shares in issue as of 31 August 2026. The company indicated a gross total of 21,581,891 voting rights and a net total of 20,698,523 voting rig...

SergeFerrari Holds Profitability as Debt Falls Amid Tough First Half

Sep 9, 2026

SergeFerrari Group reported first-half 2026 revenue of €177.9 million, effectively flat year-on-year, with EBITDA holding at €19.4 million despite geopolitical pressures, higher raw material costs, and steep sales declines in the Americas...

SergeFerrari Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights Structure

Aug 13, 2026

SergeFerrari Group has reported that its share capital consists of 12,299,259 shares, corresponding to a gross total of 20,910,684 voting rights and a net total of 20,033,585 voting rights as of July 31, 2026. This regulatory disclosure provides upda...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026