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First Bancorp (FNLC) AI Stock Analysis

FNLC

First Bancorp

(NASDAQ:FNLC)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:$37.00â–²(1.79% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:09/25/26

The score is driven primarily by solid (but not pristine) financial performance: revenue growth and healthy profitability are tempered by margin compression, rising leverage, and weaker cash-flow stability. Valuation is a meaningful positive with a low P/E and strong dividend yield, while technicals are the main near-term detractor due to weaker momentum and price below short-term moving averages. Corporate events add support through continued dividend growth and an orderly leadership transition.

Positive Factors
Revenue and profitabilityMeaningful revenue expansion combined with healthy current profitability indicates that First Bancorp continues to generate earnings from its community banking franchise. Although conditions have become less favorable, the scale of recent income and revenue growth supports ongoing reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Margin compressionThe decline in net and EBIT margins shows that revenue growth is converting into profit less efficiently than it did earlier in the cycle. Persistent compression could reduce operating leverage, constrain earnings growth, and make results more sensitive to funding costs and credit conditions.

First Bancorp Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Loan Portfolio By ClassAnalyzes the distribution of loans across different classes, providing insight into the bank's lending strategy, risk exposure, and potential income sources.

$0.00$500.00M$1.00B$1.50B$2.00B$2.50BMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Around 2023 Q1 the portfolio was effectively re‑segmented—large Commercial Real Estate and Other Commercial buckets vanish while C&I, owner‑occupied/non‑owner RE, multifamily and home‑equity balances ramp, shifting exposure away from legacy CRE concentration toward C&I and consumer/residential lending. That reduces CRE-cycle vulnerability but increases sensitivity to small‑business and consumer credit trends; the outsized Agriculture balance in 2026 is anomalous and should be checked in filings as either a new strategic push or a reporting error.

Data provided by:The Fly

First Bancorp (FNLC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%FNLC+53.49%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$410.23M
Dividend Yield
4.13%
Average Volume (3M)
33.92K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.2
Beta (1Y)
0.30
Revenue Growth
2.06%
EPS Growth
24.58%
Country
US
Employees
278
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

First Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The First Bancorp, Inc. functions as the holding company for First National Bank, providing a comprehensive suite of banking products and financial services to both individual customers and commercial enterprises. Its deposit offerings encompass vari...

How the Company Makes Money

First Bancorp makes money primarily through its banking subsidiary by generating interest income on loans and investments, while paying interest on customer deposits and other funding sources. Its core earnings driver is net interest income: the spre...

First Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement strength (72) shows meaningful revenue expansion and still-healthy profitability, but margin compression versus 2021–2022 is a key risk. Balance sheet (64) is adequately capitalized with ~13% ROE, yet leverage has increased materially (debt-to-equity up to ~0.73). Cash flow (58) remains positive and tracks earnings, but recent FCF decline and low operating cash flow coverage reduce stability.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

64Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue175.56M177.61M165.43M143.62M109.91M96.46M
Gross Profit97.65M92.87M79.74M79.46M91.29M86.06M
EBITDA63.98M44.15M34.79M37.81M49.37M45.95M
Net Income39.40M34.39M27.05M29.52M38.99M36.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.25B3.17B3.16B2.95B2.74B2.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments670.32M296.38M324.42M317.48M310.93M407.88M
Total Debt144.88M187.82M146.28M69.65M103.48M136.34M
Total Liabilities2.96B2.88B2.90B2.70B2.51B2.28B
Stockholders Equity288.15M283.14M252.49M243.08M228.92M245.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.20M34.59M24.57M34.28M39.81M52.94M
Operating Cash Flow25.35M37.81M26.05M36.92M41.21M56.69M
Investing Cash Flow-18.49M-3.00M-217.42M-199.81M-247.58M-201.75M
Financing Cash Flow-8.71M-34.67M187.07M172.10M208.46M139.48M

First Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price36.35

Price Trends

50DMA34.40Positive
100DMA34.01Positive
200DMA30.81Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.68Negative
RSI65.47Neutral
STOCH75.44Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FNLC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.69, above the 50-day MA of 34.40, and above the 200-day MA of 30.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FNLC.

First Bancorp Risk Analysis

First Bancorp disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

First Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

FNLC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
PLBCPLBC81Outperform$438.77M10.4215.86%2.05%24.22%39.38%
CZFSCZFS79Outperform$410.52M9.5412.40%2.37%4.04%26.08%
PCBPCB78Outperform$410.80M9.7510.72%2.94%3.68%23.37%
NECBNECB71Outperform$397.99M9.2411.44%3.11%-3.81%-7.33%
FNLCFNLC69Neutral$410.23M10.2413.69%4.13%2.06%24.58%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
WSBFWSBF65Neutral$351.45M11.378.63%3.38%4.60%52.13%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%FNLCNECBPLBCWSBFCZFSPCBDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
FNLC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FNLCThe First Bancorp Inc36.3512.7053.67%
NECBNortheast Community28.919.6249.90%
PLBCPlumas63.0523.1357.96%
WSBFWaterstone Financial19.554.7932.41%
CZFSCitizens Financial Services85.3532.7162.15%
PCBPCB Bancorp29.258.1838.80%

First Bancorp Corporate Events

Dividends

First Bancorp Declares Third-Quarter Cash Dividend Increase

Positive
Sep 24, 2026

On September 24, 2026, The First Bancorp announced that its board declared a third-quarter cash dividend of 38 cents per share, reflecting the company’s strong start to the year. The dividend will be paid on October 16, 2026 to shareholders of...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

First Bancorp Announces CIO Leadership Transition at Subsidiary

Positive
Jul 8, 2026

First National Bank, a subsidiary of First Bancorp, has marked a major leadership transition in its technology organization following the retirement of Executive Vice President and Chief Information Officer Tammy Plummer, who concluded a 41-year care...

Dividends

First Bancorp extends streak with higher quarterly dividend

Positive
Jun 25, 2026

On June 25, 2026, The First Bancorp, parent of First National Bank, declared a second-quarter cash dividend of $0.38 per share, up one cent from the dividends paid in each of the prior four quarters and payable on July 17, 2026, to shareholders of re...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 24, 2026