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Evolution Gaming Group AB (EVVTY) AI Stock Analysis

EVVTY

Evolution Gaming Group AB

(Other OTC:EVVTY)

Select Model
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:$97.00▲(15.71% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/24/26

The overall score of 78 reflects a high-quality company facing a growth transition. The company's primary strength is its exceptional financial foundation, characterized by elite profitability and a debt-free balance sheet. The earnings call reinforces this with a return to growth and strong margins, but also confirms significant regional challenges. The low valuation provides a potential cushion, while mixed technicals suggest the market is in a wait-and-see mode. The most significant risk is the sustainability of the top-line recovery amid the Brazil ban and European weakness.

Positive Factors
Profitability and Revenue GrowthExceptional trailing revenue growth combined with very high net and EBIT margins indicates strong operating economics and substantial earnings power. If these economics remain durable, they can fund continued product investment, market expansion, and shareholder returns while supporting resilience through normal demand fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Brazil Regulatory ExposureThe Brazilian ban creates an unresolved regulatory and operating setback in an important growth region. Uncertainty over reopening and the effect on players and revenue can disrupt studio utilization, delay expansion plans, and make near-term regional earnings less predictable until policy clarity improves.

Evolution Gaming Group AB (EVVTY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%EVVTY+27.07%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$15.18B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
11.82K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.9
Beta (1Y)
0.51
Revenue Growth
4.40%
EPS Growth
2.65%
Country
US
Employees
16,243
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos

Evolution Gaming Group AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Evolution AB (publ) develops, produces, markets, and licenses innovative live casino and slot gaming solutions for online operators, primarily in the European and United States markets. The company's signature offering involves streaming live game pl...

How the Company Makes Money

Evolution primarily makes money by supplying casino game content and operating infrastructure to online gambling operators on a B2B basis. Its core revenue is generated when operators offer Evolution’s games to players: Evolution is typically compens...

Evolution Gaming Group AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:2.47%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive, with revenue returning to year-on-year growth, strong EBITDA margins, robust cash flow and cash conversion, growth in North America, LatAm and Africa, continued studio and product expansion, and maintained margin guidance. The main negative topics were the uncertain Brazilian ban and studio closure, Europe's year-on-year decline, ongoing cybercrime issues in Asia, higher personnel cost growth, and continuing litigation.

Positive Updates

Positive Revenue and EBITDA Performance
Q3 net revenues were EUR 526.1 million, up 3.7% year-on-year and 1.6% quarter-on-quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was EUR 345.9 million, with a 65.8% margin.

Negative Updates

Brazilian Gaming Ban and Studio Closure
A potentially temporary ban on gaming in Brazil came into force after the quarter ended. Evolution closed its Brazilian studio while remaining ready to reopen on short notice, and management described the situation as highly unfortunate and negative for the business.

Company Guidance

For the full year, the EBITDA margin target remains 66%, and margin guidance remains “in line with last year”; buybacks will continue through Q4 and Q1, “although at a somewhat lower pace than in Q3” and aligned more closely with cash generation, while the company aims to remain in a net cash position with no debt. Evolution expects to open a fourth studio in New Jersey during Q4, also serving Delaware, taking its U.S. footprint to 8 operative hubs, with a “good ramp-up in medium term”; Spinning Whale’s first game will be available in November, Game Night will launch “very soon,” and management expects a “spectacular road map” and a “spectacular year” in 2027. In Brazil, the company is ready to reopen the studio on short notice if the market reopens and is planning further expansion in Colombia and building momentum in Argentina with its 2 studios there.

Evolution Gaming Group AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Exceptional profitability with a 50.5% net margin and a fortress balance sheet with a 0.02x debt-to-equity ratio. However, a sharp 24.5% TTM revenue decline and a 62.1% drop in free cash flow growth signal a critical top-line contraction, tempering an otherwise elite financial profile.

Income Statement

85Very Positive

Balance Sheet

92Very Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.12B2.07B2.06B1.80B1.46B1.07B
Gross Profit1.89B2.12B2.11B1.80B936.13M1.09B
EBITDA1.40B1.37B1.59B1.28B1.01B730.94M
Net Income1.05B1.06B1.24B1.07B843.36M605.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.08B5.52B5.35B4.97B4.37B3.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments667.52M817.60M787.07M985.76M532.55M421.43M
Total Debt111.16M91.07M93.66M79.46M79.55M67.81M
Total Liabilities1.41B1.45B1.37B967.27M909.09M712.12M
Stockholders Equity3.67B4.08B3.97B4.01B3.46B3.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.18B1.12B1.16B1.07B780.53M537.30M
Operating Cash Flow1.30B1.21B1.30B1.17B877.47M598.89M
Investing Cash Flow-67.05M-139.44M-247.97M-139.36M-371.60M-154.95M
Financing Cash Flow-1.24B-1.05B-1.24B-574.50M-394.20M-248.52M

Evolution Gaming Group AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price83.83

Price Trends

50DMA84.64Negative
100DMA79.45Positive
200DMA72.72Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.20Negative
RSI55.58Neutral
STOCH76.06Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EVVTY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 83.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.66, below the 50-day MA of 84.64, and above the 200-day MA of 72.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EVVTY.

Evolution Gaming Group AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

EVVTY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SGHCSGHC81Outperform$5.43B14.6445.70%4.12%17.33%176.52%
EVVTYEVVTY78Outperform$15.35B13.8526.01%―4.40%2.65%
CDROCDRO70Outperform$393.31M60.2631.40%―6.33%-150.96%
RSIRSI70Outperform$2.81B35.2821.96%―38.66%9.55%
DKNGDKNG64Neutral$18.60B-62.08-26.30%―15.03%46.89%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
MGMMGM52Neutral$7.58B11.3028.11%―2.57%1487.04%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%EVVTYMGMDKNGRSISGHCCDRODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
EVVTY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
EVVTYEvolution Gaming83.8316.1423.84%
MGMMgm Resorts International29.96-2.17-6.75%
DKNGDraftkings Inc20.91-9.66-31.60%
RSIRush Street Interactive, Inc.12.12-4.81-28.41%
SGHCSuper Group (Sghc) Limited10.690.575.64%
CDROCodere Online8.652.5341.34%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2026