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Talgo S.A. (ES:TLGO)
BME:TLGO
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Talgo S.A. (TLGO) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:TLGO

Talgo S.A.

(BME:TLGO)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
€2.00
▼(-25.65% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/29/26
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance: ongoing losses, high leverage with shrinking equity, and deeply negative operating and free cash flow. Technicals add pressure with a clear downtrend (price below all key moving averages), although oversold readings modestly temper the downside. Valuation provides limited support because the negative P/E reflects losses and there is no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Integrated rail business model
Talgo combines train design and manufacturing with maintenance and lifecycle services, giving it multiple ways to participate in customer spending. This integrated model can support deeper operator relationships and recurring service activity beyond initial train deliveries.
Negative Factors
Persistent unprofitability
Continuing negative EBIT and a deeply negative net margin show that improved gross margin has not yet translated into viable operating earnings. Persistent losses weaken internal funding capacity and make durable earnings recovery dependent on better execution and cost absorption.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated rail business model
Talgo combines train design and manufacturing with maintenance and lifecycle services, giving it multiple ways to participate in customer spending. This integrated model can support deeper operator relationships and recurring service activity beyond initial train deliveries.
Read all positive factors

Talgo S.A. (TLGO) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

Talgo S.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Operating on a global scale, Talgo, S.A. is engaged in the engineering, manufacturing, and upkeep of railway rolling stock and complementary machinery. Their offerings include a range of high-performance very high-speed, high-speed, and intercity ...

Talgo S.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak: the company remains loss-making (negative EBIT and ~-16% net margin), revenue is slightly declining (TTM down ~3.2%), leverage is high (debt-to-equity ~3.27) with a shrinking equity base, and cash generation is materially negative (TTM operating cash flow ~-€156M; free cash flow ~-€203M). Gross margin recovery (~20% TTM vs ~4% in 2025) is a positive, but it has not translated into operating profit or positive cash flow.
Income Statement
24
Negative
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
17
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.09B618.20M669.22M652.00M469.12M555.41M
Gross Profit276.91M25.40M125.34M155.32M262.01M88.38M
EBITDA30.72M-20.03M-58.66M77.32M44.67M62.44M
Net Income-89.87M-98.19M-106.07M13.69M1.44M27.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.49B1.51B1.27B1.12B1.13B1.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments120.16M226.10M93.40M156.08M239.38M252.98M
Total Debt652.03M730.56M538.77M453.96M375.58M318.01M
Total Liabilities1.39B1.28B1.09B827.48M849.69M740.59M
Stockholders Equity91.89M223.30M170.61M278.00M281.18M287.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-243.58M-140.30M-159.37M-142.22M-47.64M4.50M
Operating Cash Flow-195.37M-95.80M-110.80M-115.75M-25.26M29.65M
Investing Cash Flow-49.03M-44.50M-48.57M-18.60M-22.38M-11.18M
Financing Cash Flow250.04M272.90M97.55M50.71M33.22M6.21M

Talgo S.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.69
Price Trends
50DMA
2.48
Negative
100DMA
2.59
Negative
200DMA
2.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
20.89
Positive
STOCH
10.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:TLGO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.36, above the 50-day MA of 2.48, and below the 200-day MA of 2.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 20.89 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ES:TLGO.

Talgo S.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
€2.42B12.5219.61%11.19%6.96%―
63
Neutral
€2.60B10.8324.38%2.01%12.43%38.72%
62
Neutral
€36.20B58.9510.42%2.19%5.46%-81.98%
60
Neutral
€4.84B22.746.14%4.88%9.68%-10.60%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
€3.19B24.2813.38%3.21%3.64%41.50%
41
Neutral
€291.37M-3.12-48.88%2.87%22.04%69.55%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:TLGO
Talgo S.A.
2.24
-0.47
-17.38%
ES:CAF
Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles
75.70
22.82
43.17%
ES:ENO
Elecnor
28.55
-0.80
-2.73%
ES:FER
Ferrovial
50.70
-2.68
-5.02%
ES:FCC
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas
10.24
-0.75
-6.82%
ES:SCYR
Sacyr SA
4.05
0.36
9.70%

Talgo S.A. Corporate Events

Talgo to Publish Q3 2026 Results After Madrid Market Close
Oct 27, 2026
Talgo S.A. has announced it will release its financial results for the third quarter of 2026, covering the period from January to September, on 12 November 2026. The figures will be published after the close of trading on the Madrid Stock Exchange...
Talgo Strengthens Corporate Governance with New Board Regulations
Sep 10, 2026
Talgo has formalized detailed regulations for its Board of Directors that define the body’s general functions, principles of action and internal organization. The rules cover how the board is composed, how directors are selected, appointed a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026