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Lendingtree (T77) AI Stock Analysis

DE:T77

Lendingtree

(Frankfurt:T77)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Revenue and Profitability TurnaroundThe sharp revenue and EBITDA recovery demonstrates renewed marketplace demand and operating leverage after prior losses. If growth and profitability persist, LendingTree can strengthen its earnings base, fund product investment internally, and improve resilience across the financial-services cycle.
Negative Factors
Residual Balance-Sheet LeverageAlthough leverage has improved substantially, remaining debt exposure limits financial flexibility relative to a low-leverage profile. A weaker operating period could reduce funds available for investment or shareholder returns, while refinancing and interest obligations would remain important constraints.

Lendingtree (T77) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%DE:T77-49.53%EWG+4.43%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 392.27M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
387
Price to Earnings (P/E)
2.1
Beta (1Y)
0.61
Revenue Growth
16.79%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Germany
Employees
919
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Credit Services

Lendingtree Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

LendingTree, Inc., primarily operating through its subsidiary LT Intermediate Company, LLC, maintains a robust online platform serving consumers throughout the United States. The company structures its diverse financial offerings across three key seg...

Lendingtree Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-30.06%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 02, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented multiple strong operational and financial positives: double-digit revenue growth, rising adjusted EBITDA, improved efficiency via AI, robust insurance performance, meaningful free cash flow, and a materially improved leverage ratio. The primary near-term concern is a pronounced but described-as-temporary weakness in the SMB lending channel (soft merchant sentiment and Q2 underperformance), plus margin pressure in Home and some compression in insurance variable margins and rising marketing/AI costs. Management positions the SMB weakness as cyclical and already showing early signs of recovery (lender appetite returning and July strength), and the majority of other metrics and strategic initiatives are favorable.

Positive Updates

Strong Top-Line and Profit Growth
Revenue increased 25% year-over-year in Q2 2026 and adjusted EBITDA rose 11% year-over-year; company notes it has roughly doubled revenue and adjusted EBITDA from 2023 to 2026.

Negative Updates

SMB Lending Softness in Q2
SMB demand came in softer than forecast in Q2 due to a mix of lender pullback and weak merchant sentiment; as a result Q2 underperformed expectations and SMB guidance for the year could be flat to down versus prior growth trends.

Company Guidance

The company’s guidance assumes continued overall growth with a midpoint that reflects nearly a doubling of adjusted EBITDA over the last three years and roughly 12% growth this year; Q2 results showed revenue up 25% YoY and adjusted EBITDA up 11% YoY, insurance revenue +42% YoY with segment profit +25%, Home revenue +9% YoY with segment profit +13% sequentially, and adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of VMD improving 225 bps to 40% (long‑term target 45–50%). Management expects healthy insurance growth in H2 with margins roughly in line with Q2 (mid‑20s variable margin environment), is assuming only the lender recovery observed to date for SMB (so sequential Consumer revenue and VMD improvement but not a return to Q1 record SMB levels; SMB could be flat to down for the year despite averaging ~40% YoY profit growth since early 2024), and is not modeling Home upside given higher rates; OpEx was essentially flat YoY (<1%), annual free cash flow is ~$80M after interest with net leverage down to 1.9x from 3.0x a year ago (providing capacity for debt paydown, buybacks or M&A), and operational/AI initiatives (six new consumer products, ChatGPT rate tool, homepage redesign driving +11% sessions and +18% form starts, July was the best sales month since Q1) are expected to drive further VMD and margin expansion.

Lendingtree Risk Analysis

Lendingtree disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lendingtree reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Lendingtree Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

DE:T77 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NRDSNRDS75Outperform$714.66M12.2918.07%―11.51%42.17%
ENVAENVA71Outperform$4.26B11.3226.36%―20.08%33.74%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
OPRTOPRT65Neutral$454.81M24.734.95%―-2.34%―
SOFISOFI65Neutral$21.65B28.906.76%―37.62%0.62%
UPSTUPST58Neutral$2.24B37.057.85%―46.30%―

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%DE:T77ENVAOPRTUPSTSOFINRDSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
DE:T77 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:T77Lendingtree Inc24.82-24.36-49.53%
ENVAEnova International Inc.174.0951.6642.20%
OPRTOportun Financial Corp.9.894.5384.51%
UPSTUpstart Holdings, Inc.23.02-24.52-51.58%
SOFISofi Technologies Inc16.76-13.87-45.28%
NRDSNerdWallet, Inc. Class A11.18-0.85-7.07%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.