Steven Madden (SJM) AI Stock Analysis

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Steven Madden

(Frankfurt:SJM)

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Positive Factors

Broad brand and channel growthGrowth across wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels indicates broad demand rather than reliance on one route to market. Expanding branded performance and multiple consumer touchpoints can support revenue resilience, improve customer reach, and sustain operating scale over the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Private-label business remains structurally challengedPersistent private-label contraction represents a meaningful drag on the portfolio and suggests management has not yet restored the business to a stable growth path. Continued declines can reduce wholesale scale, weigh on mix, and require further product or commercial changes before recovery becomes durable.

Steven Madden (SJM) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Market Cap: EUR 2.85B
Dividend Yield: 1.80%
Average Volume (3M): 58
Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.9
Beta (1Y): 0.71
Revenue Growth: 14.66%
EPS Growth: 177.91%
Country: Germany
Employees: 6,300
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength: 61
Industry: Apparel - Footwear & Accessories

Steven Madden Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) is a prominent global fashion company dedicated to the design, production, marketing, and sale of contemporary footwear, accessories, and apparel. The firm offers both its own branded products and private label items, cater...

Steven Madden Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:6.44%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2027

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. The company reported double-digit revenue growth, substantial EPS and operating-margin improvement, strong performance across most brands and channels, reduced inventory, and raised full-year revenue and EPS guidance. These strengths outweighed the moderated Kurt Geiger trend, private-label decline, shipment timing issues, product-specific weakness in tall shaft boots, markdowns, and tariff and freight impacts.

Positive Updates

Strong Third-Quarter Revenue and EPS Growth

Third-quarter consolidated revenue was $772.6 million, up 15.7% year over year, while diluted EPS increased 85% to $0.79 from $0.43. Net income attributable to Steven Madden, Ltd. rose to $57.3 million from $30.4 million.

Negative Updates

Kurt Geiger Growth Moderated

Kurt Geiger's 6% third-quarter global direct-to-consumer comparable-sales increase represented a moderation from the exceptionally strong trend earlier in the year. Full-year revenue guidance was returned to low double-digit growth on a pro forma basis after previously being raised to mid-teens growth.

Company Guidance

For fiscal 2026, Steven Madden brand revenue is expected to increase high single digits compared to 2025; Kurt Geiger revenue is expected to be up low double digits for the year on a pro forma basis; Dolce Vita revenue is expected to deliver low double-digit growth; Betsey Johnson is on track for low teens revenue growth; consolidated revenue is expected to increase 12% to 13%, and diluted earnings per share is expected to be in the range of $2.15-$2.20. Wholesale revenue is expected to be down 6% or 7% in Q4, resulting in roughly 6% or 7% increase for the second half, including a down high singles in private label and branded business up low double digits in wholesale; private label is expected to be down mid-teens in 2026 versus down mid to high teens previously, with a goal to be flat next year. Q4 guidance includes tariffs in the 12.5% range and about a 20 basis points impact on outbound freight.

Steven Madden Risk Analysis

Steven Madden disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Steven Madden reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk

1.You are encouraged to review the discussion of Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors appearing in this report at Part I, “Q2, 2026

Steven Madden Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

DE:SJM against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
WEYS	83Outperform	$616.90M	15.02	15.83%	4.92%	1.50%	63.78%
WWW	82Outperform	$1.93B	16.68	26.26%	1.84%	7.16%	24.85%
RCKY	79Outperform	$411.18M	11.32	13.20%	1.25%	10.84%	66.78%
CROX	76Outperform	$7.31B	11.32	48.76%	―	0.70%	329.45%
Sector *	61Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
CAL	52Neutral	$507.57M	8.35	8.38%	2.08%	7.32%	-13.12%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

DE:SJM and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
DE:SJM	Steven Madden	41.31	9.19	28.60%
CROX	Crocs	151.86	77.77	104.97%
RCKY	Rocky Brands	51.34	22.22	76.32%
WEYS	Weyco Group	60.69	30.85	103.36%
WWW	Wolverine World Wide	21.33	5.36	33.58%
CAL	Caleres Inc	12.69	1.80	16.54%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Steven Madden AI Stock Analysis