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BlackBerry (RI1) AI Stock Analysis

DE:RI1

BlackBerry

(Frankfurt:RI1)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
QNX growth and market expansionQNX combines record growth with exposure to expanding automotive compute architectures and additional embedded markets. Rising software content per vehicle, multiple instances per vehicle, and broader applications can support durable royalty growth as design wins enter production.
Negative Factors
Choppy historical revenue and earningsRecent improvement has not yet erased a record of uneven performance across fiscal years. Large prior revenue declines and deep losses indicate that earnings durability remains unproven through different operating conditions, increasing the risk that growth and margins may fluctuate.

BlackBerry (RI1) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%DE:RI1+93.18%EWG+6.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 4.71B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
2,543
Price to Earnings (P/E)
58.3
Beta (1Y)
1.08
Revenue Growth
7.98%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Germany
Employees
1,749
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Infrastructure

BlackBerry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

BlackBerry Limited, founded in 1984 and headquartered in Waterloo, Canada, specializes in delivering cutting-edge security software and services to businesses and governmental entities worldwide. The company’s activities are structured into three mai...

BlackBerry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 23, 2026(Q2-2027)|% Change Since:7.86%|Next Earnings Date:Dec 16, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, with record QNX performance, a major Alloy Core design win, strong profitability and cash generation, and higher full-year company, QNX, licensing, EPS, and operating cash flow guidance. The main negative factors were a more cautious Secure Communications outlook due to geopolitical uncertainty and government deal timing, lower Secure Communications margins, licensing volatility, and the long lead times associated with QNX programs. Highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.

Positive Updates

Strong Company-Wide Revenue and Profitability Growth
Second-quarter revenue was $163 million, up 26 percent year over year and above the high end of guidance. Adjusted EBITDA was $47 million, representing 29 percent of revenue and an increase of 81 percent year over year. Total company adjusted gross margin expanded 3 percentage points year over year to 78 percent. The company described the quarter as its second consecutive Rule of 40 quarter, while Tim Foote also characterized it as a Rule of 50 quarter based on revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA margin.

Negative Updates

Secure Communications Full-Year Outlook Reduced
BlackBerry revised full-year Secure Communications revenue guidance to $260 million to $270 million and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $50 million to $58 million. Management cited a dynamic U.S. backdrop, recent geopolitical developments, and trade tensions between Canada and the United States, while stating that it had not yet seen anything material arising from the issue.

Company Guidance

For the full year, QNX revenue outlook is 315 to 325 million and adjusted EBITDA is between 95 and 105 million; for Q3, QNX revenue is expected to be between 82 and $88 million, representing 24 percent year over year growth at the midpoint, with adjusted EBITDA of between $27 and $32 million. Secure Communications full year revenue is forecast at $260 to $270 million and adjusted EBITDA at between 50 million and 58 million, with Q3 revenue between $55 and $60 million and adjusted EBITDA between 6 million and 10 million. Licensing full year revenue is expected to be approximately 41 million and adjusted EBITDA approximately 36 million; for Q3 and Q4, licensing is expected to return to a more typical quarterly revenue level of approximately $6 million with adjusted EBITDA of approximately 5 million. Total company full year revenue guidance is $616 to $636 million, representing 14 percent year over year growth, and adjusted EBITDA guidance is 141 to 158 million, representing 43 percent year over year growth; Q3 revenue is expected to be between $143 million and $154 million and adjusted EBITDA between $28 and $37 million, with adjusted basic earnings per share of between $0.04 and $0.05 for the quarter and between $0.19 and $0.22 for the full year. The company expects another quarter of positive operating cash flow of between 20 million and $30 million and full year operating cash flow of approximately $115 million.

BlackBerry Risk Analysis

BlackBerry disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BlackBerry reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Tech & Innovation - Risks related to the company’s reliance on technology and ability to make innovative products

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

BlackBerry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

DE:RI1 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:CVOTSE:CVO66NeutralCAD 470.92M-15.96-19.77%―9.70%11.90%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
TSE:PLURTSE:PLUR48NeutralCAD 20.79M-2.90112.09%―-32.68%70.60%
TSE:STCTSE:STC45NeutralCAD 218.52M-1.92-34.04%―-15.02%-1478.50%
TSE:NBVATSE:NBVA43NeutralCAD 11.23M-13.21-23.17%―-5.63%-0.79%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%DE:RI1TSE:STCTSE:NBVATSE:PLURTSE:CVODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
DE:RI1 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:RI1Blackberry7.823.7592.33%
TSE:STCSangoma Technologies6.45-0.53-7.59%
TSE:NBVANubeva Tech0.17-0.06-26.09%
TSE:PLURPlurilock Security Inc0.17-0.03-12.50%
TSE:CVOCoveo Solutions, Inc.4.61-1.22-20.93%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.