Crane NXT (P8Q) AI Stock Analysis

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Crane NXT

(Frankfurt:P8Q)

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Action:N/A

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Positive Factors

Long-term backlog and customer winsNear-record backlog and multi-year renewals provide unusually strong revenue visibility beyond the next quarter. Government, banking, card, and brand-protection wins deepen customer relationships and support sustained demand for Crane’s proprietary security technologies.

Negative Factors

Margin compression and acquisition dilutionThe sharp margin decline shows that recent growth is not yet translating proportionately into profitability. Antares Vision integration dilution and higher costs may continue to pressure earnings until expected synergies, productivity, and mix improvements fully offset the burden.

Crane NXT (P8Q) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Market Cap: EUR 3.34B
Dividend Yield: 1.17%
Average Volume (3M): 213
Price to Earnings (P/E): 26.0
Beta (1Y): 0.77
Revenue Growth: 12.05%
EPS Growth: -21.19%
Country: Germany
Employees: 4,800
Sector: Industrials
Sector Strength: 63
Industry: Industrial - Machinery

Crane NXT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Crane NXT, Co. focuses its efforts on developing technologies for payment processing and merchandising. The company supplies integrated electronic hardware and accompanying software solutions. These offerings are underpinned by its deep and proprieta...

Crane NXT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.00%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2027

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive. Strong SAT performance, near-record backlog, long-term commercial wins, robust free cash flow, progress on the Antares Vision integration, capacity investments, and raised adjusted EPS guidance outweighed the stated challenges of DTT organic sales softness, CPI hardware and vending weakness, Antares-related margin dilution, and higher interest expense.

Positive Updates

Long-Term Commercial Wins Strengthen Revenue Visibility

Crane Currency secured multi-year U.S. government renewals for micro-optics and currency paper, and the Bank of Canada selected Crane's micro-optics technology for its new $20 banknote. Crane Authentication renewed a multi-year agreement with a global transaction-card customer, while a large multinational food brand selected Antares Vision for a turnkey traceability and serialization solution. CPI also continued expanding multi-vendor services into kiosks, smart safes, and self-checkout systems. Management said these awards strengthen revenue visibility for 2027 and beyond.

Negative Updates

Consolidated EBITDA Margin Declined Due to Antares Dilution

Third-quarter adjusted EBITDA margin was 25.6%, down 190 basis points year over year, reflecting the expected dilution from the Antares Vision acquisition.

Company Guidance

For full-year 2026, Crane NXT raised adjusted EPS guidance to $4.32-$4.42, expects total sales growth of approximately 14%, SAT total sales growth of approximately 11%, DTT total sales growth in the high teens, adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 24%, non-operating expenses of approximately $75 million-$80 million, adjusted free cash flow conversion of approximately 90%-110%, and year-end net leverage of approximately 2.3x; full-year CapEx for the whole company will still be between 4% and 5% of sales. In 2027, the company expects continued broad-based growth in SAT, margin accretion in SAT, continued growth in Antares Vision and CPI service, CPI hardware markets to remain soft, and EBITDA margin accretion and continued strong free cash flow generation in CPI.

Crane NXT Risk Analysis

Crane NXT disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Crane NXT reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Crane NXT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

DE:P8Q against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
IEX	79Outperform	$17.40B	33.23	13.31%	1.21%	6.93%	14.08%
DOV	77Outperform	$28.20B	24.61	15.43%	0.98%	8.24%	-47.25%
NDSN	73Outperform	$18.11B	33.16	17.59%	1.03%	7.02%	24.24%
GGG	71Outperform	$11.18B	23.17	19.92%	1.62%	5.39%	5.94%
SXI	65Neutral	$2.98B	26.07	15.23%	0.56%	8.32%	115.10%
Sector *	63Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

DE:P8Q and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
DE:P8Q	Crane Nxt, Co.	53.00	0.78	1.50%
DOV	Dover Corporation	212.43	32.30	17.93%
GGG	Graco Inc	72.98	-7.05	-8.80%
IEX	Idex Corporation	239.96	75.17	45.61%
NDSN	Nordson Corporation	329.23	98.95	42.97%
SXI	Standex International	245.63	15.02	6.51%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Crane NXT AI Stock Analysis