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Persimmon (OHP0) AI Stock Analysis

DE:OHP0

Persimmon

(Frankfurt:OHP0)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Balance Sheet StrengthExtremely low leverage gives Persimmon substantial financial flexibility in a cyclical housing market. This supports continued land investment, construction activity and shareholder distributions while reducing balance-sheet pressure when demand or operating conditions become less favorable.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash ConversionWeak and volatile cash generation reduces the quality of reported earnings and can constrain internally funded land investment or distributions. Negative free cash flow also increases reliance on working-capital improvements and makes financial outcomes more sensitive to development timing.

Persimmon (OHP0) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%DE:OHP0+14.27%EWG+6.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
EUR 5.35B
Dividend Yield
4.84%
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.1
Beta (1Y)
0.78
Revenue Growth
13.46%
EPS Growth
14.89%
Country
Germany
Employees
4,675
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Residential Construction

Persimmon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Persimmon Plc operates as a prominent residential property developer throughout the United Kingdom, inclusive of its subsidiary companies. The firm offers a varied portfolio of housing, encompassing family residences marketed under the Persimmon Home...

Persimmon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:13.54%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a decidedly positive operational story: clear volume-led growth (completions +13%), higher operating profit (+10%) and stronger order book and land/pipeline positions. These positives are tempered by meaningful near-term margin headwinds from embedded build-cost inflation, incentives, remediation liabilities (GBP 206m) and a short-term sales softening. Management retains a strong balance sheet, medium-term targets (20% operating margin and improved ROCE) and active mitigation plans (self-help cost savings, vertical integration, new house types), and reiterates guidance for c.12,500 homes in 2026. Overall the positives around growth, cash/land position and strategic progress outweigh the near-term cost and execution risks.

Positive Updates

Volume and Completions Growth
New home completions rose 13% to 5,189 in H1 (and are up 22% over three years), driven by higher outlets and improved sales rates; average outlets were 273 (versus 272 last year).

Negative Updates

Margin Pressure and Cost Inflation
Gross margin was lower (reported gross margin ~18%) and operating margin reduced from 13.1% to 12.8% due to product mix (more affordable/HA units), higher incentives and embedded build cost inflation; management expects continued margin pressure into H2 and 2027.

Company Guidance

Guidance reiterated that, assuming stable market conditions, Persimmon expects to deliver around 12,500 homes in FY26 (the top end of prior guidance) with underlying PBT broadly in line with consensus and year‑end net cash in line with previous guidance; adjusted gearing was 18% at 30 June (including land creditors) and could be around 20% at year‑end. Key H1 metrics underpinning that view include 5,189 completions (+13%), private completions 4,261 (+7%), average outlets 273, net private weekly sales 205 (+7%), a private sales rate (incl. bulk) of 0.75 (5‑week rate 0.72 incl. bulk, 0.59 excl.), a £1.9bn total forward order book (private book £1.3bn, up 5%, ~8% sold for the year; affordable order book £600m fully secured), underlying PBT £170m (+3%), underlying operating profit £189m (+10%) with a 12.8% operating margin, housing revenue ~£1.5bn, gross profit £267m (gross margin 18%), underlying EPS 38p (+3%), ROCE 11.3% (+10%), net debt £165m, PX stock £168m, £1bn committed bank facilities, owned/controlled land bank ~81,000 plots (strategic/promoter land ~93,000 plots), 6,123 detailed planning plots secured in H1 (118% of completions), and remediation items: closing provision £206m, H1 remediation spend £24m (total >£200m to date) with c.£100m planned this year; management also flags an embedded cost headwind of c.£40–50m over 18 months (half already identified to be mitigated) and reiterates medium‑term ambitions of a 20% operating margin and improved ROCE.

Persimmon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

DE:OHP0 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
PHMPHM69Neutral$22.96B13.2713.80%0.83%-9.35%-27.96%
LENLEN65Neutral$20.65B16.436.03%2.30%-8.01%-47.77%
DHIDHI64Neutral$40.84B14.3812.22%1.23%-3.52%-12.68%
MTHMTH62Neutral$4.20B14.495.84%2.90%-14.89%-41.01%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
KBHKBH56Neutral$2.91B13.215.93%2.09%-20.80%-50.30%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%DE:OHP0DHIKBHLENMTHPHMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
DE:OHP0 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:OHP0Persimmon Plc Unsponsored ADR30.003.7514.27%
DHID.R. Horton Inc152.939.076.30%
KBHKB Home50.66-9.19-15.35%
LENLennar Corporation91.02-27.96-23.50%
MTHMeritage Homes Corp69.015.498.64%
PHMPultegroup131.2912.6610.67%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.