AeroVironment (JPX) AI Stock Analysis

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AeroVironment

(XETRA:JPX)

Rating:―N/A

Action:N/A

Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors

Backlog and revenue visibilityRecord bookings, a 1.4x book-to-bill ratio, and a $1.5 billion funded backlog provide meaningful forward revenue support. This visibility reduces dependence on near-term contract timing and supports production planning, customer confidence, and sustained investment across the company’s defense portfolio.

Negative Factors

Current profitability weaknessStrong revenue growth has not yet translated into durable GAAP profitability. Negative TTM net and operating results, together with lower gross margin, indicate that costs, mix, or program execution are absorbing growth benefits and could constrain reinvestment if the pressure persists.

AeroVironment (JPX) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Market Cap: EUR 6.26B
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 514
Price to Earnings (P/E): -21.2
Beta (1Y): 1.70
Revenue Growth: 75.26%
EPS Growth: -580.05%
Country: Germany
Employees: 4,041
Sector: Industrials
Sector Strength: 63
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

AeroVironment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AeroVironment Inc. develops, produces, delivers, and services a diverse array of robotic systems for governmental and commercial entities across the globe. The company's operations are segmented into Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS), Tactical Missile...

AeroVironment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 08, 2026(Q1-2027)|% Change Since:-8.10%|Next Earnings Date:Dec 07, 2026

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. AV delivered record first-quarter revenue and funded backlog, reported 84% year-over-year adjusted EPS growth, secured $683 million of bookings and reaffirmed its fiscal year 2027 revenue, EBITDA and EPS guidance. The company also highlighted major domestic and international wins across counter-UAS, precision strike, autonomous systems and space technologies, alongside substantial capacity investments. These positives outweighed declines in the Space, Cyber and Directed Energy segment, lower service margins, negative free cash flow, near-term earnings cadence pressure and uncertainty around government budget timing.

Positive Updates

Record First-Quarter Revenue and Strong Financial Performance

AV reported record first-quarter revenue of $480 million. The company said it met or exceeded expectations for revenue, adjusted EBITDA and non-GAAP EPS while generating positive operating cash flow. Adjusted EPS reached $0.59, up from $0.32 in the prior-year quarter, an 84% year-over-year increase. Adjusted EBITDA was cited as nearly $46 million in the CEO's summary and $53 million, or 11% of revenue, in the CFO's detailed results.

Negative Updates

Space, Cyber and Directed Energy Revenue Decline

The Space, Cyber and Directed Energy segment generated $134 million of first-quarter revenue, down 21% year over year. The decline reflected the loss of revenue from the SCAR contract termination in March and other discontinued government programs. Space and directed-energy operating-group sales declined 28% year over year, while Cyber and Mission Solutions revenue declined 16% year over year.

Company Guidance

For fiscal year 2027, AV reaffirmed revenue guidance of between $2.125 billion and $2.225 billion, representing 10% growth at the midpoint of our fiscal year '26 results; adjusted EBITDA guidance of between $305 million and $325 million; and non-GAAP adjusted EPS between $3.02 and $3.34. Revenue is expected to follow an approximate 45-55 revenue split between the first half and second half, adjusted EBITDA roughly 1/3 in the first half and 2/3 in the second half, and non-GAAP EPS a roughly 30-70 split between the first half and second half. The company continues to expect to invest between 7% and 9% of revenue in R&D and 12% to 14% of revenue in CapEx, with adjusted SG&A expenses projected at 14% to 16% of revenue, and is still targeting fiscal year '27 to be negative from a free cash flow perspective; revenue visibility to the midpoint of full year guidance is 86%.

AeroVironment Risk Analysis

AeroVironment disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AeroVironment reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks

1.The issuance or sale of shares of our common stock, or rights to acquire shares of our common stock, could depress the trading price of our common stock and the Notes.?Q4, 2025

2.?The indebtedness represented by our Notes could limit the cash flow available for our operations, expose us to risks that could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations and impair our ability to satisfy our obligations under the Notes.Q4, 2025

3.The conversion of Notes could impair our financial position and liquidity.Q4, 2025

AeroVironment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

DE:JPX against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
NOC	77Outperform	$78.89B	17.33	25.70%	1.74%	6.51%	14.02%
LHX	75Outperform	$51.94B	25.76	10.17%	1.78%	7.33%	15.31%
Sector *	63Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
KTOS	55Neutral	$7.55B	238.45	1.14%	―	25.50%	86.96%
RCAT	37Underperform	$679.58M	-5.19	-35.02%	―	―	―

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

DE:JPX and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
DE:JPX	AeroVironment, Inc.	111.70	-199.30	-64.08%
LHX	L3harris Technologies	277.67	-4.74	-1.68%
KTOS	Kratos Defense & Security	40.99	-36.42	-47.05%
NOC	Northrop Grumman Corp.	550.30	-11.05	-1.97%
RCAT	Red Cat Holdings	4.46	-4.94	-52.55%
AVEX	AEVEX Corp. Class A	11.93	-15.00	-55.70%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

AeroVironment AI Stock Analysis