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Groupon (G5NA) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:G5NA

Groupon

(Frankfurt:G5NA)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Revenue rebound and gross marginThe sharp revenue rebound shows renewed demand for Groupon’s marketplace, while the very high gross margin indicates that incremental transaction volume can carry substantial economic value. If growth persists, the combination provides a foundation for operating leverage and improved earnings quality.
Negative Factors
Negative equity and sizable debtNegative shareholder equity and sizable debt materially reduce financial flexibility and signal the burden of accumulated losses. This structure can constrain investment in marketplace growth, increase refinancing exposure, and make the company more vulnerable if operating conditions weaken or cash generation falls.

Groupon (G5NA) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%60%DE:G5NA-28.43%EWG+6.38%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
EUR 521.33M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
119
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-61.0
Beta (1Y)
0.81
Revenue Growth
-4.25%
EPS Growth
94.06%
Country
Germany
Employees
1,734
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Internet Content & Information

Groupon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Groupon, Inc., encompassing its various subsidiary entities, operates a digital platform designed to connect shoppers with businesses. The company's operational scope is geographically segmented into two primary areas: North America and its Internati...

Groupon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 09, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-20.75%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 16, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strategically optimistic but financially uneven. Groupon reported solid billings growth, strong performance in Things to Do and Travel, substantial AI-related productivity gains, progress on restructuring savings and a significant share-repurchase program. However, revenue and adjusted EBITDA missed guidance, free cash flow was negative, marketing returns disappointed, North America Local supply remained weak and expected purchase-frequency improvements have not yet materialized. Management expressed confidence in the company's AI-native strategy, marketplace investments and long-term opportunities, making the overall tone positive despite near-term execution challenges.

Positive Updates

Billings Growth Near the Top of Guidance
Q3 billings increased 6% year-over-year to $439 million, near the top end of guidance. Growth was led by Things to Do, Travel and International Local.

Negative Updates

Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Missed Guidance
Revenue grew 2% to $125 million and adjusted EBITDA was $15 million, with both below guidance. Revenue grew more slowly than billings because of a mix shift toward Things to Do and Travel, Trust & Quality investments and other factors. Adjusted EBITDA also reflected higher marketing spend that did not generate the expected returns.

Company Guidance

For Q4, Groupon expects free cash flow of at least $85 million, is running marketing with a little bit lower ROI targets, or a little bit better return in other words, and expects that we will see better results during the quarter; the company expects SG&A to come down, views Q4 as a more indicative rate, has realized about 70% of restructuring savings on a run rate basis, with some of the rest of that still going to come in Q1, and expects that level to continue to be an opportunity to work on next year. The Trust & Quality process will take a while to optimize, with ongoing work with merchants on improvement, and the company expects these investments to drive an increase in purchase frequency and customer retention over time, while it expects to bring more first-time customers into the app in Q4 and its goal is to improve the second purchase rate. Groupon expects FoundryAI to be the default way of our teams get work done by the end of 2026, does not expect a material impact from agentic commerce on Q4 results, expects the effects of rebuilding North America Core Local supply outside Things to Do to begin showing in results in 2027, and will provide 2027 guidance with its fourth quarter results.

Groupon Risk Analysis

Groupon disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Groupon reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Groupon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

DE:G5NA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
YELPYELP75Outperform$1.10B9.6618.32%―0.07%-8.42%
DASHDASH66Neutral$77.72B73.0610.39%―35.03%20.28%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
ANGIANGI52Neutral$270.35M-1.18-28.64%―-8.39%-865.16%
TZOOTZOO44Neutral$53.05M-30.8115.89%―3.27%-125.99%
SEATSEAT43Neutral$17.07M-0.04450.27%―-20.88%-67.91%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%DE:G5NAANGITZOOYELPSEATDASHDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
DE:G5NA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:G5NAGroupon11.34-4.63-28.99%
ANGIAngi Inc.6.69-4.49-40.16%
TZOOTravelzoo5.29-2.13-28.71%
YELPYelp Inc20.57-8.52-29.29%
SEATVivid Seats Inc.1.42-7.45-83.99%
DASHDoordash, Inc.178.26-16.95-8.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.