Amplitude Energy (CDP0) AI Stock Analysis

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Amplitude Energy

(Frankfurt:CDP0)

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Positive Factors

Cash Generation and DeleveragingStrong FY26 cash generation and a major reduction in net debt improve financial resilience in a cyclical commodity business. This provides greater capacity to fund development, manage operational volatility, and absorb periods of weaker prices or production without relying as heavily on external financing.

Negative Factors

Persistent Net LossesRecurring net losses show that strong EBITDA and cash conversion have not yet translated into sustained reported profitability. Depreciation, impairment, or other costs continue to weigh on earnings, limiting confidence that the asset base consistently generates shareholder returns over time.

Amplitude Energy (CDP0) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Market Cap: EUR 419.83M
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 862
Price to Earnings (P/E): -21.9
Beta (1Y): 0.20
Revenue Growth: 4.22%
EPS Growth: 45.62%
Country: Germany
Employees: 140
Sector: Energy
Sector Strength: 65
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Amplitude Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Amplitude Energy Limited engages in exploration, development, and production of natural gas and low-cost oil in Australia. It operates through Southeast Australia and Cooper Basin segments. The company is involved in the exploration, evaluation, oper...

Amplitude Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 17, 2026(Q4-2026)|% Change Since:14.89%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 01, 2027

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a predominately positive operational and financial update: record production, revenue, margins and strong cash generation alongside clear progress and funding for the transformational ECSP. Key negatives were an exploration well failure with a ~ $100m write‑off, some regional production weakness (Cooper Basin) and regulatory uncertainty around the domestic gas reservation policy. On balance the business appears robust with growth catalysts ahead and manageable near‑term costs and risks.

Positive Updates

Record Production and Operational Performance

Group production reached a record 27.6 PJ (≈75.5 TJ/day), up ~3% year‑on‑year; Orbost averaged 66.5 TJ/day, with recent daily records around 74 TJ/day and the plant operating above its previous nameplate of 68 TJ/day.

Negative Updates

Exploration Setback and Material Write‑Down

The first exploration well drilled in FY'26 failed to deliver commercial outcomes. Statutory results were impacted by a circa $100 million pre‑write‑off of Isabella and Elanora exploration costs, which weighed on reported profit after tax.

Company Guidance

For FY‑27 Amplitude guided group production of 26.6–28.5 PJ (≈73–78 TJ/day) — reflecting Orbost’s ability to produce above 70 TJ/day but allowing for a 10‑day planned Orbost statutory shutdown, normal downtime and natural decline — production expenses of $58–64m, other cash expenses and cost of sales of $27–31m (now including selling/transport to Sydney), and CapEx of $250–310m (covering Juliet/Annie drilling and long‑lead orders; excludes uncommitted Nestor drilling and the Artisan upfront consideration); they also flagged ~$5m for Patricia Baleen well inspections and $6–7m for ERP replacement, aim to keep operated plant reliability loss below 1%, to maximize Orbost throughput when market conditions support >70 TJ/day, to complete the ECSP drilling phase by year‑end and remain on track for first gas in 2028.

Amplitude Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

DE:CDP0 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
AU:HZN	67Neutral	AUD 356.58M	20.74	17.91%	12.82%	-23.44%	-18.10%
Sector *	65Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
AU:OMA	54Neutral	AUD 418.17M	-43.03	-5.15%	―	―	-35.25%
AU:CVN	47Neutral	AUD 178.44M	-42.50	-1.58%	―	―	-220.00%
AU:STX	44Neutral	AUD 349.81M	-12.66	-7.49%	―	-13.67%	85.97%
AU:BTL	42Neutral	AUD 309.15M	-14.14	-9.91%	―	―	28.92%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

DE:CDP0 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
DE:CDP0	Amplitude Energy	1.08	-0.34	-23.84%
AU:CVN	Carnarvon Energy Limited	0.10	0.00	4.17%
AU:BTL	Empire Energy Group Limited	0.20	-0.07	-24.07%
AU:HZN	Horizon Oil Limited	0.20	0.02	11.43%
AU:STX	Strike Energy Limited	0.10	-0.02	-17.50%
AU:OMA	Omega Oil & Gas Limited	0.77	0.41	115.49%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Amplitude Energy AI Stock Analysis