Autodesk (AUD) AI Stock Analysis

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Autodesk

(XETRA:AUD)

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Positive Factors

Recurring subscription modelAutodesk’s subscription-led model creates recurring revenue visibility and supports durable customer relationships around mission-critical design workflows. High renewal rates, multi-year contracts, bundled collections, and cloud add-ons can also expand revenue within existing accounts over time.

Negative Factors

Moderate leverageRising leverage reduces financial flexibility relative to the prior annual period and increases the sensitivity of shareholder returns to any weakening in profitability. Debt obligations can also compete with investment, acquisitions, and buybacks if operating performance becomes less resilient.

Autodesk (AUD) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Market Cap: EUR 52.73B
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 403
Price to Earnings (P/E): 32.5
Beta (1Y): 0.38
Revenue Growth: 11.60%
EPS Growth: 50.12%
Country: Germany
Employees: 14,300
Sector: Technology
Sector Strength: 61
Industry: Software - Application

Autodesk Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Autodesk, Inc. delivers advanced software and services for 3D design, engineering, and entertainment to a global clientele. Their diverse product line includes AutoCAD Civil 3D, a comprehensive solution for civil engineering tasks such as land develo...

Autodesk Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 26, 2026(Q2-2027)|% Change Since:4.45%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 23, 2026

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive: the company delivered stronger‑than‑expected Q2 results (revenue +16% reported, billings +10% reported), raised full‑year billings and revenue guidance, showed margin expansion and healthy free cash flow, and closed a strategic MaintainX acquisition that extends Autodesk into operations and strengthens its AI/data strategy. Offsetting factors include sales reorganization impacts in Western Europe, near‑term margin dilution and integration costs from MaintainX (an unprofitable, high‑growth asset), temporary revenue timing effects from reduced multiyear discounts, and some currency/transactional mix headwinds. Management emphasized discipline, continued buybacks, and long‑term margin targets, and reiterated confidence in underlying demand (notably construction and Fusion). Overall, positive operational momentum and strategic positioning outweigh the near‑term integration and mix headwinds.

Positive Updates

Revenue Growth Above Guidance

Total revenue grew 16% year‑over‑year as reported and 14% in constant currency in Q2, with revenue and EPS coming in above the high end of guidance. Management noted ~2 percentage points of tailwind to Q2 revenue from the new transaction model and ~1.5 percentage points tailwind expected for the full year.

Negative Updates

Sales Reorganization Impact and Regional Variability

The sales reorganization continued to impact new subscription growth; management said outcomes remained within the expected range but noted that the Americas, APAC and some EMEA regions normalized earlier than Western Europe, where new‑business productivity remains slower to fully recover.

Company Guidance

Autodesk raised its fiscal 2027 outlook, now guiding billings of $8.575–$8.65 billion and revenue of $8.295–$8.345 billion (guidance includes ~6 months of MaintainX), with MaintainX expected to contribute roughly $70 million of billings and $60 million of revenue to the second half; management noted the new transaction model gave ~2 percentage points of revenue tailwind in Q2 and ~1.5 points for the full year. GAAP operating margin guidance was revised to 25%–27% (Q2 GAAP was 29%), non‑GAAP operating margin guidance was unchanged (about 39% in FY27; Q2 non‑GAAP was 41%) and Autodesk remains on track for 41% non‑GAAP in FY29. Free cash flow was narrowed to $2.725–$2.75 billion (including ~ $45 million of MaintainX transaction expenses), stock‑based compensation is expected to be ~9% of revenue in FY27 (down from ~11% in FY26), the company repurchased ~2.1 million shares for $453 million in Q2 and expects FY27 buybacks to be similar in dollars to FY26 while applying ~50% of free cash flow to repurchases.

Autodesk Risk Analysis

Autodesk disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Autodesk reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk

1.Autodesk and certain of its current and former executives and directors have been named as defendants in ongoing shareholder lawsuits, which may result in additional expense and/or litigation.Q2, 2026

Autodesk Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

DE:AUD against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PTC	87Outperform	$21.11B	18.70	32.64%	―	19.50%	143.45%
BSY	73Outperform	$12.81B	45.79	24.10%	0.66%	12.85%	14.73%
CDNS	71Outperform	$90.41B	63.98	21.43%	―	17.64%	29.69%
PCOR	68Neutral	$9.51B	-274.65	-3.13%	―	15.41%	73.03%
U	66Neutral	$17.11B	-29.76	-18.85%	―	13.98%	-27.86%
Sector *	61Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

DE:AUD and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
DE:AUD	Autodesk Inc	242.70	-12.65	-4.95%
CDNS	Cadence Design Systems	329.52	5.07	1.56%
PTC	PTC Inc.	195.18	21.25	12.22%
U	Unity Software, Inc.	42.46	2.53	6.34%
BSY	Bentley Systems, Class B	43.64	-2.44	-5.30%
PCOR	Procore Technologies Inc	75.60	-3.49	-4.41%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Autodesk AI Stock Analysis