Allegiant Travel Company (AGH) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q2, 2026
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Jun 30, 2026, filed Aug 10, 2026
Risk Change Over Time
- Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1Our ability to use Sun Country's net operating loss carryforwards to offset future taxable income for U.S. federal and state income tax purposes may be limited as a result of previous ownership changes, this acquisition or taxable income failing to reach sufficient levels.
As of the acquisition closing date, Sun Country recognized an estimated $77.8 million federal net operating loss carryforwards ("NOLs") which may be carried forward indefinitely, and an estimated $4.0 million of state NOLs which begin to expire in 2033. Our ability to realize the benefit of these federal and state net operating loss will be impacted by the limitation imposed by Section 382 of the Internal Revenue Code (the "Code"). As a result of our acquisition of Sun Country, Sun Country has experienced an "ownership change" as defined by Section 382 which imposes an annual limitation on the amount of the pre-ownership change NOLs we may utilize. The annual base limitation is determined based on the value of the corporation before the ownership change multiplied by the applicable long-term tax-exempt rate and may be increased or decreased by Sun Country's built-in-gain or built-in-loss at the time of the ownership change. Any unused annual limitation may be carried over to subsequent taxable years with certain limitations. A section 382 study is in progress but based on the initial assessment, we do not believe the Section 382 limitations will significantly impact our ability to utilize these NOLs in future periods.
Risk Highlights Q2, 2026
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 45
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1Shareholder litigation could prevent or delay the consummation of the proposed acquisition of Sun Country or otherwise negatively impact our business, operating results and financial condition.
Securities class action lawsuits and derivative lawsuits are often brought against public companies that have entered into acquisition, merger, or other business combination agreements. Even if such a lawsuit is without merit, defending against or settlement of these claims can result in substantial additional costs and diversion of management time and resources. Any such future lawsuit or litigation may adversely affect our ability to complete the proposed acquisition of Sun Country. We could incur significant costs in connection with any such litigation, including costs associated with an adverse judgment resulting in monetary damages and the indemnification of our directors and officers, which could have a negative impact on our liquidity and financial position. Furthermore, one of the conditions to the consummation of the proposed acquisition of Sun Country is the absence of any governmental order or law preventing the consummation of the proposed acquisition of Sun Country or making the consummation of the proposed acquisition of Sun Country illegal. Consequently, if a plaintiff were to secure injunctive or other relief prohibiting, delaying or otherwise adversely affecting our ability to complete the consummation of the proposed acquisition of Sun Country, then such injunctive or other relief may prevent the proposed acquisition of Sun Country from becoming effective within the expected time frame or at all.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2The market price of our common stock may be affected by factors different from those that are currently affecting or have historically affected the price of our common stock or Sun Country's common stock.
Upon the completion of the proposed Sun Country acquisition, holders of our common stock and Sun Country common stock will be holders of our common stock. As our business is different from Sun Country's, the results of operations as well as the price of our common stock may in the future be affected by factors different from those factors affecting us and Sun Country as independent stand-alone companies. We will face additional risks and uncertainties that we or Sun Country may not currently be exposed to as independent companies.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3The market price of our common stock may decline as a result of the proposed Sun Country acquisition.
The market price of our common stock may decline as a result of the proposed Sun Country acquisition, and holders of our common stock could lose value in their investment in our common stock, if, among other things, we are unable to achieve the expected growth in earnings, or if the anticipated benefits, including synergies, cost savings, and operational efficiencies, from the proposed acquisition of Sun Country are not realized, or if the transaction costs related to the proposed acquisition of Sun Country are greater than expected. The market price also may decline if we do not achieve the perceived benefits of the proposed acquisition of Sun Country as rapidly or to the extent anticipated by financial or industry analysts or if the effect of the proposed Sun Country acquisition on our financial position, results of operations, or cash flows is not consistent with the expectations of financial or industry analysts. The issuance of shares of our common stock would be dilutive and could have the effect of depressing the market price for our common stock. In addition, many Sun Country stockholders may decide not to hold the shares of our common stock they receive as a result of the proposed Sun Country acquisition. Other Sun Country stockholders, such as funds with limitations on their permitted holdings of stock in individual issuers, may be required to sell the shares of our common stock they receive. Any such sales of our common stock could have the effect of depressing the market price for our common stock. Moreover, general fluctuations in stock markets could have a material adverse effect on the market for, or liquidity of, our common stock, regardless of our actual operating performance.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4The market price of our common stock may be volatile, which could cause the value of an investment in our stock to decline.
The market price of our common stock may fluctuate substantially due to a variety of factors, many of which are beyond our control, including: - the impact of pandemics and other communicable diseases on air travel and any related government restrictions impacting air travel - fuel price volatility, and the effect of economic and geopolitical factors and worldwide oil supply and consumption on fuel availability - labor costs or work actions - announcements and developments concerning our competitors, new market entrants, the airline industry, or the economy in general - strategic actions by us or our competitors, such as acquisitions or restructurings - media reports and publications about the safety of our aircraft or the aircraft types we operate - airline accidents - new regulatory pronouncements and changes in regulatory guidelines - announcements concerning our business strategy - our ability to grow service in the future as rapidly as the market anticipates - general and industry-specific economic conditions - changes in financial estimates or recommendations by securities analysts - substantial sales of our common stock or other actions by investors with significant shareholdings - additional issuances of our common stock - general market conditions The stock markets in general have experienced substantial volatility that has often been unrelated to the operating performance of particular companies. These types of broad market fluctuations may adversely affect the trading price of our common stock. In the past, stockholders have sometimes instituted securities class action litigation against companies following periods of volatility in the market price of their securities. Although we have insurance to cover these claims up to policy limits, these lawsuits or similar litigation could result in substantial costs, divert management's attention and resources, and harm our business or results of operations.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5Other companies may be deterred from attempting to acquire us or our stock, even at prices in excess of current market prices, due to the effects of Nevada statutes.
We are subject to a Nevada statute (NRS 78.411 through 78.444) that prohibits us from engaging in certain "combinations," including mergers, consolidations, sales and leases of assets, issuances of securities and similar transactions, with a stockholder who is the beneficial owner of 10 percent or more of our stock (an "interested stockholder"), for a period of up to four years after the date that person became an interested stockholder, unless either our board of directors approves, in advance, the transaction by which the person became an interested stockholder, or such combination is approved at a meeting by at least 60 percent of voting power of our stock that is not beneficially owned by the interested stockholder or its affiliates. Between two and four years after the date the person first became an interested stockholder, a combination may also be prohibited unless approved by our board of directors and stockholders holding at least a majority of the stock not owned by the interested stockholder and its affiliates or unless the interested stockholder satisfies certain requirements with respect to the aggregate consideration to be received by holders of outstanding shares in the combination. In addition, another Nevada statute (NRS 78.378 through 78.3793) may eliminate the voting rights of shares of our stock to the extent the shares are acquired by a holder in connection with, or within 90 days prior to, an acquisition of a "controlling interest" that causes such holder to exceed certain thresholds (one-fifth, one-third and a majority or more) of the total voting power of our stock. In such event, the holder will only obtain such voting rights in the "control shares" so acquired as may be approved by stockholders owning at least a majority of the stock of the Company (excluding stock held by the interested stockholder). The statute also provides a mechanism for us to force the redemption of the control shares at the average price paid therefor. Our board of directors may, however, exempt any acquisition of a controlling interest by certain existing or future stockholders by amending the corporation's bylaws (or articles of incorporation) within 10 days following such acquisition. These Nevada statutes could discourage or make more difficult a takeover attempt that certain stockholders may consider in their best interests. These provisions may also adversely affect prevailing market prices for our common stock. We have not opted out of either of these statutes.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6Our corporate charter and bylaws include provisions limiting voting by non-U.S. citizens.
To comply with restrictions imposed by federal law on foreign ownership of U.S. airlines, our articles of incorporation and bylaws restrict voting of shares of our capital stock by non-U.S. citizens. The restrictions imposed by federal law currently require no more than 25 percent of our stock be voted, directly or indirectly, by persons who are not U.S. citizens, and that our president and at least two-thirds of the members of our board of directors be U.S. citizens. Our bylaws provide that no shares of our capital stock may be voted by or at the direction of non-U.S. citizens unless such shares are registered on a separate stock record, which we refer to as the foreign stock record. Our bylaws further provide that no shares of our capital stock will be registered on the foreign stock record if the amount so registered would exceed the foreign ownership restrictions imposed by federal law. Registration on the foreign stock record is made in chronological order based on the date we receive a written request for registration. Non-U.S. citizens will be able to own and vote shares of our common stock only if the combined ownership by all non-U.S. citizens does not violate these requirements.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.