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Intrepid Potash (58I1) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:58I1

Intrepid Potash

(Frankfurt:58I1)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Low leverage and cash generationExtremely low leverage gives Intrepid substantial financial flexibility, while positive operating and free cash flow can support maintenance, growth investment, and resilience through commodity cycles. The strong balance sheet reduces dependence on external financing as the company expands existing assets.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline and cyclicalityThe severe trailing revenue contraction and history of losses show that earnings power remains highly sensitive to fertilizer demand, realized prices, volumes, and operating conditions. Even with recent profitability, this cyclicality makes cash generation and margins less dependable across a full industry cycle.

Intrepid Potash (58I1) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%DE:58I1+35.60%EWG+6.88%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
EUR 440.63M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1
Price to Earnings (P/E)
18.3
Beta (1Y)
0.27
Revenue Growth
-1.00%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Germany
Employees
478
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Agricultural Inputs

Intrepid Potash Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI), a company founded in 2000 and based in Denver, Colorado, specializes in the extraction and production of potash for markets within the United States and globally. The firm's operations are strategically divided into three...

Intrepid Potash Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:9.56%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 08, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive, with strong Trio production, operating efficiency, margin improvement, higher net income and adjusted EBITDA, robust cash flow, a debt-free balance sheet, supportive fertilizer markets, and multiple organic growth initiatives. These positives were partly offset by flat overall sales and gross margin, weaker Potash sales and production, higher Potash cost of goods sold per ton, seasonal and input-cost challenges, and the fact that the SOP and lithium projects remain subject to further work and approvals.

Positive Updates

Trio Production Growth and Guidance Increase
Trio production increased 19% year-over-year in the third quarter, supporting a 10,000-ton increase in full-year 2026 Trio production guidance. The company is now targeting annual production of more than 300,000 tons, a goal it previously did not expect to achieve until sometime in 2027.

Negative Updates

Flat Quarterly Sales and Gross Margin
Third-quarter sales from continuing operations were roughly flat year-over-year at $51 million. Gross margin from continuing operations was also in line with the prior-year third quarter at $10 million.

Company Guidance

Intrepid increased full year 2026 Trio production guidance by 10,000 tons and is targeting annual production of more than 300,000 tons; for 2027, it plans to invest approximately $16 million in Trio to increase annual production by approximately 30,000 tons above the first half 2026 run rates, with an internal rate of return of approximately 30%, and expects full year 2027 Trio production in the range of 320,000 to 330,000 tons, with potential to add 100,000 tons with modest incremental investment beyond 2027. It plans to invest approximately $20 million in Potash mine development in 2027 to sustain annual production at levels approximately 20,000 to 30,000 tons above prior years, with expected rates of return of approximately 30%, and raised full year 2026 capital expenditure guidance to approximately $45 million from approximately $40 million previously. The company expects continued healthy fertilizer demand through the first half of 2027; its SOP project was selected for approximately $139 million and proposed matching funding, would have annual production capacity of approximately 220,000 tons, and is currently targeting a final investment decision for late 2027, subject to completion of the award process and fulfillment of all applicable grant conditions.

Intrepid Potash Risk Analysis

Intrepid Potash disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Intrepid Potash reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Intrepid Potash Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

DE:58I1 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
UANUAN65Neutral$1.19B11.1335.58%12.91%7.31%-16.36%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
ICLICL55Neutral$5.90B18.975.02%4.49%10.15%-15.98%
SMGSMG54Neutral$3.79B35.70-30.38%4.14%-3.64%-29.50%
MOSMOS47Neutral$7.25B-16.41-3.78%4.04%0.02%-191.20%
FMCFMC42Neutral$878.91M-0.16-308.88%6.32%-21.99%-677.23%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%DE:58I1UANFMCMOSSMGICLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
DE:58I1 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:58I1Intrepid Potash Inc29.567.7635.60%
UANCVR Partners LP112.0620.9923.04%
FMCFMC Corp5.06-8.48-62.63%
MOSMosaic Co21.76-3.37-13.40%
SMGScotts Miracle-Gro63.749.4617.43%
ICLIcl Group Ltd.4.59-0.68-12.85%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.