Adt (541) AI Stock Analysis

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Adt

(XETRA:541)

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Positive Factors

Recurring monitored-services modelADT’s professionally monitored subscription model creates recurring revenue tied to an installed customer base and ongoing customer relationships. That structure supports visibility, repeat billing, and opportunities to increase revenue through upgrades, add-on devices, maintenance, and system expansions over time.

Negative Factors

Elevated leverageADT’s debt load remains high relative to equity, increasing financial risk and constraining flexibility for investment, acquisitions, or shareholder returns. Elevated leverage also leaves the company more exposed to refinancing needs and interest costs if operating performance weakens or financing conditions become less favorable.

Adt (541) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Market Cap: EUR 6.70B
Dividend Yield: 2.14%
Average Volume (3M): 354
Price to Earnings (P/E): 12.4
Beta (1Y): 0.95
Revenue Growth: -3.05%
EPS Growth: 0.03%
Country: Germany
Employees: 12,200
Sector: Industrials
Sector Strength: 63
Industry: Security & Protection Services

Adt Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida, ADT Inc. has been a leading provider of security, automation, and smart home solutions for consumers and businesses throughout the United States since its founding in 1874. The company delivers a broad spectrum o...

Adt Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:1.13%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2027

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive, supported by the announced $10-per-share acquisition at substantial premiums, 4% total revenue growth, 46% year-to-date Adjusted Free Cash Flow growth, 6% year-to-date Adjusted EPS growth, stable payback metrics, improved leverage, and continued product and partnership initiatives. These positives outweighed the 1% decline in monitoring revenue, lower recurring monthly revenue, 2% Adjusted EBITDA decline, slightly higher attrition, and the withdrawal of financial guidance due to the pending transaction.

Positive Updates

All-Cash Acquisition Agreement at a Significant Premium

ADT entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by Thrive Holdings in an all-cash transaction approved unanimously by ADT's board. Stockholders will receive $10 per share, representing a 46% premium to ADT's unaffected closing share price on October 27 and a 52% premium to the 30-day volume-weighted average share price. The transaction values ADT at approximately $7.6 billion in equity value and $15.3 billion in enterprise value.

Negative Updates

Monitoring and Related Services Revenue Decline

Monitoring and related services revenue was $1.08 billion, down 1% year over year, including the revenue loss from the October 2025 divestiture of the Multifamily business.

Company Guidance

ADT said it “will not be providing financial guidance” and is “withdrawing previously issued guidance” due to the pending transaction. The company said it “anticipate[s] this transaction to close in the first quarter of 2027,” subject to “customary closing conditions, including approval by ADT stockholders and receipt of U.S. antitrust approval,” and noted that the merger agreement includes a “go-shop period that runs through November 28th.”

Adt Risk Analysis

Adt disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Adt reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Adt Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

DE:541 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ALLE	82Outperform	$15.98B	23.68	32.68%	1.13%	10.33%	8.70%
NSSC	75Outperform	$1.12B	24.89	23.34%	1.99%	8.75%	-0.51%
Sector *	63Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
SNT	61Neutral	$53.66M	44.36	2.38%	―	―	―
EVLV	55Neutral	$804.20M	-42.55	-16.27%	―	28.89%	71.65%
KSCP	36Underperform	$9.21M	-0.12	-152.20%	―	88.02%	63.33%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

DE:541 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
DE:541	Adt, Inc.	8.95	2.02	29.17%
SNT	Senstar Technologies Ltd.	2.13	-2.37	-52.67%
NSSC	Napco Security	30.62	-9.14	-22.99%
ALLE	Allegion PLC	191.09	28.95	17.85%
EVLV	Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.	4.51	-2.07	-31.46%
KSCP	Knightscope Inc Class A	0.40	-4.48	-91.82%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Adt AI Stock Analysis