CoreCivic (CXW) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $2.40B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 933.25K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 29.2
• Beta (1Y): 1.09
• Revenue Growth: 0.53%
• EPS Growth: 34.20%
• Country: US
• Employees: 11,649
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 90
• Industry: REIT - Specialty
• EPS (TTM): 0.23
• Shares Outstanding: 109,158,410
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 765,779
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 933,254
• PEG Ratio: -0.03
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.95
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 18.93
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.38
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.42
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 7.75
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 2.78
• 1Y Price Target: $35.00
• Price Target Upside: 60.26% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: $23.50 ▲(7.60%Upside)

CoreCivic presents a stable investment opportunity with strong cash flow management and positive earnings call insights. However, the high P/E ratio and lack of revenue growth, combined with mixed technical signals, suggest a cautious outlook. The revised financial guidance and successful contract activations provide a positive sentiment, yet the stock's valuation and moderate leverage require attention.

CoreCivic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CoreCivic, Inc. owns and operates partnership correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities in the United States. It operates through three segments: CoreCivic Safety, CoreCivic Community, and CoreCivic Properties. The company provides a range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through corrections and detention management, a network of residential reentry centers to help address America's recidivism crisis, and government real estate solutions. Its correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities offer rehabilitation and educational programs, including basic education, faith-based services, life skills and employment training, and substance abuse treatment. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned and operated 46 correctional and detention facilities, 26 residential reentry centers, and 10 properties for lease. The company was founded in 1983 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.

How the Company Makes Money

CoreCivic generates revenue primarily through long-term contracts with federal, state, and local government agencies. The company's CoreCivic Safety segment is the largest revenue driver, as it involves the management and operation of correctional and detention facilities, for which CoreCivic receives payments based on occupancy rates or fixed monthly fees. The CoreCivic Community segment contributes to revenue through providing residential reentry programs and services aimed at reducing recidivism. Additionally, CoreCivic Properties generates income by leasing real estate assets to government entities. These revenue streams are supported by significant partnerships with agencies such as the U.S. Marshals Service, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), and various state departments of corrections. Economic and political factors, including criminal justice policies and incarceration rates, can significantly impact CoreCivic's financial performance.

CoreCivic Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CoreCivic's financial performance is stable with competitive margins and efficient cash flow management. Income statement shows moderate performance with stable revenue. Balance sheet indicates manageable leverage and strong equity position. Cash flow is robust, supporting operational needs. However, potential for improved profitability and revenue growth exists.

Income Statement

CoreCivic's income statement shows moderate performance with a stable revenue base and improving profitability. The TTM Gross Profit Margin is approximately 21.87%, and the Net Profit Margin is around 4.33%. Revenue has slightly decreased by about 0.61% from the previous annual report. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also stable at around 9.29% and 15.68%, respectively. The company demonstrates consistent profitability but lacks significant revenue growth.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a balanced financial structure with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of approximately 0.67, indicating moderate leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) is about 5.72%, which is decent but could improve. The Equity Ratio stands at 49.13%, showcasing a strong equity position. Overall, while the leverage is manageable, there is room for improvement in profitability and asset utilization.

Cash Flow

CoreCivic's cash flow statement presents a healthy financial position with robust cash generation. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate shows a decrease, but the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is strong at 2.88, indicating efficient cash conversion. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.87, highlighting solid free cash flow relative to earnings. Cash flows are well-managed, supporting financial stability and operational needs.

Breakdown
TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
1.95B	1.96B	1.90B	1.85B	1.86B	1.91B
	Gross Profit
426.27M	468.29M	306.89M	431.54M	525.55M	499.11M
	EBIT
181.16M	188.20M	170.81M	168.84M	189.37M	217.29M
	EBITDA
305.84M	287.39M	296.10M	389.08M	316.38M	293.88M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
84.44M	68.87M	67.59M	122.32M	-51.90M	55.34M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
335.49M	107.49M	121.84M	149.40M	299.64M	113.22M
	Total Assets
4.08B	2.93B	3.11B	3.24B	3.50B	3.71B
	Total Debt
2.27B	1.01B	1.21B	1.25B	1.53B	1.79B
	Net Debt
1.94B	905.38M	1.09B	1.10B	1.23B	1.67B
	Total Liabilities
2.70B	1.44B	1.63B	1.81B	2.13B	2.30B
	Stockholders Equity
1.36B	1.49B	1.48B	1.43B	1.37B	1.39B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
158.06M	197.98M	161.65M	72.19M	182.35M	271.74M
	Operating Cash Flow
243.28M	269.15M	231.90M	153.58M	263.23M	355.53M
	Investing Cash Flow
-75.05M	-53.82M	-58.87M	73.04M	238.42M	12.97M
	Financing Cash Flow
-199.68M	-222.18M	-206.24M	-375.16M	-327.71M	-350.82M

CoreCivic Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 21.84
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CXW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.05, above the 50-day MA of 21.76, and above the 200-day MA of 19.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CXW.

CoreCivic Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EPR	77 Outperform	$4.31B	34.49	6.25%	6.06%	0.69%	-19.22%
FPI	73 Outperform	$545.08M	11.29	12.09%	2.08%	-0.52%	112.78%
OUT	70 Neutral	$2.72B	10.66	39.80%	5.62%	-1.10%	―
CXW	67 Neutral	$2.40B	29.15	5.79%	―	0.53%	34.20%
Sector *	66 Neutral	$4.50B	12.29	5.40%	248.66%	4.13%	-12.33%
PCH	62 Neutral	$3.04B	63.85	2.31%	4.66%	10.86%	6.72%
UNIT	57 Neutral	$1.07B	16.59	-3.72%	3.51%	2.44%	305.26%

CoreCivic Corporate Events

CoreCivic Stockholders Meeting Elects Board and Ratifies Auditor

On May 15, 2025, CoreCivic held its annual stockholders meeting via webcast, with 84.4% of its common stock represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected twelve directors to the board, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025, and approved executive compensation on an advisory basis. These decisions are pivotal for the company’s governance and financial oversight in the coming year.

The most recent analyst rating on (CXW) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CoreCivic stock, see the CXW Stock Forecast page.