CaliberCos, Inc. Class A AI Stock Analysis
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CaliberCos, Inc. Class A (CWD) AI Stock Analysis
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A
(NASDAQ:CWD)
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance—persistent losses, negative free cash flow, and a highly leveraged balance sheet with negative equity. Technicals also remain soft with the stock below key longer-term moving averages and negative MACD. Guidance and strategic progress (tokenization initiatives and debt restructuring actions) provide some offset, but near-term liquidity/refinancing and listing-compliance risks keep the overall profile high-risk.
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A (CWD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $4.13M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 1.86M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -0.1
- Beta (1Y)
- 1.72
- Revenue Growth
- -49.72%
- EPS Growth
- 78.89%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 50
- Sector
- Financial
- Sector Strength
- 68
- Industry
- Asset Management
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
CaliberCos Inc., established in 2009 and headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona, functions as a real estate investment and asset management firm with a specific focus on middle-market assets. The company caters to a sophisticated client base, including...
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary
The call conveyed a mix of strategic progress and operational challenges. Positives include the successful launch of tokenization (first fund tokenized), a return to positive platform-adjusted EBITDA (improvement of ~$0.4M), reaffirmed full-year guidance ($18M–$22M revenue and expected positive adjusted EBITDA), progress on multiple real-estate development projects, and measured fundraising/channel expansion. Negatives include a ~10% year-over-year decline in platform revenue due to timing of financings, an ~11% increase in platform expenses driven by bad-debt reserves, meaningful near-term corporate note maturities (~$21M maturing in 12 months) creating liquidity risk, and some expected financings shifting later in the year. Overall, achievements and strategic progress are offset by near-term financing/timing and credit challenges, leaving a balanced but cautious tone.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Caliber reaffirmed full‑year 2026 guidance of $18.0–$22.0 million in revenue with positive adjusted EBITDA (projected adjusted EBITDA profitability in 2026), expecting roughly 60% of revenue growth from project‑level financings and 40% from capital formation and asset management; key Q2 metrics included platform revenue of $3.7M (vs. $4.1M a year ago), platform‑adjusted EBITDA of ~$0.3M (improved ~$0.4M from a -$0.1M loss Y/Y), platform expenses of $5.9M (+~11% Y/Y from $5.3M), managed capital of $495.6M (vs. $489M prior quarter and $498M year‑ago), estimated performance allocations of $96M (vs. $99M prior quarter and $85M year‑ago), a LINK treasury of ~229,203 tokens (fair value $1.7M) with ~278,357 LINK sold for $2.5M proceeds, and a corporate note program totaling ~148 notes with ~$26M principal (≈$21M maturing within 12 months) while the company has refinanced $6.4M into 36‑month notes and converted ~$5.3M of notes into equity.
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Financial statements show significant weakness: TTM revenue declined and profitability remains deeply negative (net loss with negative gross profit). The balance sheet is a major risk with high debt and negative stockholders’ equity, limiting flexibility and increasing solvency/refinancing risk. Cash flow is also pressured with negative TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow, implying reliance on external capital.
Income Statement
14Very NegativeBalance Sheet
9Very NegativeCash Flow
18Very Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 12.31M | 20.10M | 51.12M | 90.94M | 83.96M | 56.03M |
| Gross Profit | -1.20M | -3.33M | 24.62M | 10.27M | 23.29M | 34.00K |
| EBITDA | -17.49M | -14.01M | -7.14M | -11.99M | 24.34M | -9.97M |
| Net Income | -19.07M | -21.80M | -19.78M | -12.70M | 2.02M | -698.00K |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 177.66M | 135.40M | 105.53M | 299.43M | 278.83M | 245.65M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.44M | 2.54M | 2.31M | 3.81M | 7.66M | 8.38M |
| Total Debt | 130.82M | 98.23M | 81.76M | 209.61M | 177.63M | 166.31M |
| Total Liabilities | 142.94M | 109.17M | 94.28M | 233.41M | 201.65M | 195.96M |
| Stockholders Equity | -1.44M | 1.33M | -12.59M | 2.62M | -3.21M | -9.09M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -14.45M | -12.06M | 555.00K | -18.72M | -8.11M | -15.02M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -14.45M | -12.06M | 555.00K | -18.72M | -7.43M | -15.02M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -17.16M | -23.51M | -19.63M | 10.69M | -31.75M | -14.31M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 33.26M | 36.69M | 6.33M | 9.74M | 38.58M | 35.05M |
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CWD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.40 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.42, below the 50-day MA of 0.49, and below the 200-day MA of 0.83, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.12 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CWD.
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CaliberCos, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
0 New RisksCaliberCos, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
MLCI48Neutral
BENF45Neutral- CWD43Neutral
MAAS41Neutral
GRAN39Underperform
BTTC34Underperform
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sector * | 68Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% |
| MLCI | 48Neutral | $39.66M | -0.59 | -63.29% | 3.38% | 47.32% | -117.27% |
| BENF | 45Neutral | $13.37M | -0.01 | 14.09% | ― | -38.32% | 94.03% |
| CWD | 43Neutral | $4.17M | -0.08 | -1431.61% | ― | -49.72% | 78.89% |
| MAAS | 41Neutral | $4.31B | -11.47 | -3.71% | ― | ― | ― |
| GRAN | 39Underperform | $27.98M | -60.99 | -5.39% | ― | ― | ― |
| BTTC | 34Underperform | $4.47M | 0.00 | <0.01% | ― | ― | -8154.56% |
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWD | CaliberCos, Inc. Class A | 0.40 | -2.37 | -85.67% | |
| BTTC | Black Titan Corporation | 0.32 | -2.89 | -89.97% | |
| MAAS | Highest Performances Holdings Inc. | 10.34 | 6.35 | 159.15% | |
| BENF | Beneficient | 0.68 | -3.40 | -83.33% | |
| GRAN | Grande Group Limited Class A | 1.11 | -1.38 | -55.42% | |
| MLCI | Mount Logan Capital Inc | 3.55 | -4.08 | -53.48% |
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Corporate Events
CaliberCos Expands Tokenized Real Estate Offering Platform
PositiveOn November 4, 2026, Caliber announced that it had gone live with three additional tokenized real estate investment offerings: Caliber-Hyatt Studios Steamboat, Caliber-Hyatt Studios Phoenix/TSMC and the Caliber-HS Feeder Fund. The offerings represent...
CaliberCos Schedules Q3 2026 Earnings Release and Call
NeutralOn October 30, 2026, CaliberCos Inc., a diversified real estate and digital asset management firm, said it would publish its third-quarter 2026 financial results after the market close on Thursday, November 12, 2026. Management scheduled a webcast an...
CaliberCos highlights tokenization strategy at crypto conference
PositiveOn October 19, 2026, Caliber announced that CEO Chris Loeffler would speak on a panel titled “The New Rules: Public Companies & Crypto” at the Tokenize! AI, Politics, Payments & Entertainment conference in Las Vegas on October 21, 2026. His appearanc...
CaliberCos Launches Note Exchange to Restructure Debt
PositiveIn September 2026, CaliberCos Inc. launched a note exchange program enabling holders of its unsecured corporate promissory notes to convert into new five-year amortizing notes, Series AAA convertible preferred stock, or accept a discounted cash payof...
CaliberCos Launches Caliber Tokenization Services for Real Estate
PositiveOn August 27, 2026, CaliberCos Inc. launched Caliber Tokenization Services, LLC, a new division offering full‑service real‑world asset tokenization for family offices with at least $50 million in real estate under the Tokenized by Caliber brand. The...
CaliberCos Faces Nasdaq Non-Compliance, Considers Remedial Actions
NegativeOn August 21, 2026, CaliberCos Inc. received notice from Nasdaq that its Class A common stock had closed below $1.00 for 33 consecutive business days, putting the company out of compliance with the exchange’s minimum bid price requirement for continu...
CaliberCos Launches First Tokenized Real Estate Investment
PositiveOn August 13, 2026, CaliberCos Inc. launched its first tokenized real estate investment on its platform, the PURE Pickleball & Padel offering in Scottsdale, Ariz., marking the company’s initial live use of blockchain-based ownership for a real asset...
CaliberCos Posts Positive EBITDA, Advances Real Estate Tokenization
PositiveCaliber reported that second-quarter 2026 platform revenue fell to $3.7 million from $4.1 million a year earlier, but platform adjusted EBITDA turned positive at $0.3 million and platform net loss narrowed to $3.4 million, reflecting progress toward...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026