CaliberCos, Inc. Class A AI Stock Analysis
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CaliberCos, Inc. Class A (CWD) AI Stock Analysis
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A
(NASDAQ:CWD)
The overall score is 37, the lowest possible, reflecting an extremely high-risk investment. The company's financial foundation is severely compromised by persistent unprofitability, negative equity, and continuous cash burn, which pose an existential threat. While the earnings call highlights some operational progress in platform EBITDA and tokenization, these are completely overshadowed by the dire financials, reduced guidance, and going concern warnings. The stock's bearish technical trend and meaningless valuation further confirm the negative outlook.
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A (CWD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $3.99M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 1.85M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -0.1
- Beta (1Y)
- 1.67
- Revenue Growth
- -31.34%
- EPS Growth
- 86.63%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 50
- Sector
- Financial
- Sector Strength
- 68
- Industry
- Asset Management
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
CaliberCos Inc., established in 2009 and headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona, functions as a real estate investment and asset management firm with a specific focus on middle-market assets. The company caters to a sophisticated client base, including...
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary
The call presented meaningful operational progress, including positive platform adjusted EBITDA for a second consecutive quarter, fundraising growth, development milestones, expansion of tokenized offerings, and progress on corporate note restructuring. However, these positives were balanced by a prolonged real estate downturn, defensive lending conditions, delayed project timelines, a reduced revenue outlook, significant liquidity and going concern risks, NASDAQ compliance issues, dilution, and the withdrawal of net operating income guidance. Overall sentiment was balanced, with strong strategic and operational progress offset by substantial financial and market challenges.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
For 2026, Caliber revised total revenue guidance to $15 million to $17 million in range from $18 million to $22 million in the prior range, assuming no improvement in the financing environment through the end of the year, and reaffirmed guidance for positive platform adjusted EBITDA for the full year in 2026, or platform adjusted EBITDA profitability for 2026 as a whole; the company is no longer providing net operating income guidance. Caliber expects to close on the first new acquisition of an asset in CHT in December, anticipates Canyon’s HUD construction loan closing to occur in the first quarter of 2027, and anticipates a new construction loan closing in the first quarter of 2027 to advance the Encore and Johnstown developments forward.
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Financial health is critically weak. The company is deeply unprofitable with a TTM EBIT margin of -138.1%, has negative stockholders' equity of -$3.6M, and is consistently burning cash with TTM operating cash flow of -$12.9M. The only mitigant is a recent revenue surge, but it has failed to generate profits or cash, making the business model appear unsustainable.
Income Statement
18Very NegativeBalance Sheet
8Very NegativeCash Flow
10Very Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 12.99M | 20.10M | 51.12M | 90.94M | 83.96M | 56.03M |
| Gross Profit | 3.62M | -3.33M | 24.62M | 10.27M | 23.29M | 34.00K |
| EBITDA | -16.02M | -14.01M | -7.14M | -11.99M | 24.34M | -9.97M |
| Net Income | -19.73M | -21.80M | -19.78M | -12.70M | 2.02M | -698.00K |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 178.89M | 135.40M | 105.53M | 299.43M | 278.83M | 245.65M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.79M | 2.54M | 2.31M | 3.81M | 7.66M | 8.38M |
| Total Debt | 10.79M | 98.23M | 81.76M | 209.61M | 177.63M | 166.31M |
| Total Liabilities | 147.45M | 109.17M | 94.28M | 233.41M | 201.65M | 195.96M |
| Stockholders Equity | -3.58M | 1.33M | -12.59M | 2.62M | -3.21M | -9.09M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -12.90M | -12.06M | 555.00K | -18.72M | -8.11M | -15.02M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -12.90M | -12.06M | 555.00K | -18.72M | -7.43M | -15.02M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -6.62M | -23.51M | -19.63M | 10.69M | -31.75M | -14.31M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 3.79M | 36.69M | 6.33M | 9.74M | 38.58M | 35.05M |
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CWD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.41, below the 50-day MA of 0.49, and below the 200-day MA of 0.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.84 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CWD.
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CaliberCos, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
0 New RisksCaliberCos, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
MLCI53Neutral
BENF40Underperform
GRAN39Underperform
MAAS37Underperform- CWD37Underperform
BTTC34Underperform
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sector * | 68Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% |
| MLCI | 53Neutral | $38.99M | -0.58 | -63.29% | 3.44% | 47.32% | -117.27% |
| BENF | 40Underperform | $11.94M | -0.01 | 14.09% | ― | -38.32% | 94.03% |
| GRAN | 39Underperform | $28.73M | -63.19 | -5.39% | ― | ― | ― |
| MAAS | 37Underperform | $4.41B | -11.08 | -3.71% | ― | ― | ― |
| CWD | 37Underperform | $3.99M | -0.08 | 3235.42% | ― | -31.34% | 86.63% |
| BTTC | 34Underperform | $4.75M | 0.00 | <0.01% | ― | ― | -8154.56% |
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWD | CaliberCos, Inc. Class A | 0.38 | -1.78 | -82.27% | |
| BTTC | Black Titan Corporation | 0.32 | -2.74 | -89.67% | |
| MAAS | Highest Performances Holdings Inc. | 9.98 | 6.05 | 153.94% | |
| BENF | Beneficient | 0.63 | -3.43 | -84.53% | |
| GRAN | Grande Group Limited Class A | 1.15 | -1.24 | -51.88% | |
| MLCI | Mount Logan Capital Inc | 3.48 | -3.97 | -53.23% |
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Corporate Events
CaliberCos Reports Third-Quarter Results and Expands Tokenized Offerings
PositiveFor the quarter ended September 30, 2026, Caliber reported platform revenue of $3.8 million, up from $3.5 million a year earlier, while Platform Adjusted EBITDA was $0.1 million versus a $0.7 million loss. Platform net loss was $4.3 million, includin...
CaliberCos Expands Tokenized Real Estate Offering Platform
PositiveOn November 4, 2026, Caliber announced that it had gone live with three additional tokenized real estate investment offerings: Caliber-Hyatt Studios Steamboat, Caliber-Hyatt Studios Phoenix/TSMC and the Caliber-HS Feeder Fund. The offerings represent...
CaliberCos Schedules Q3 2026 Earnings Release and Call
NeutralOn October 30, 2026, CaliberCos Inc., a diversified real estate and digital asset management firm, said it would publish its third-quarter 2026 financial results after the market close on Thursday, November 12, 2026. Management scheduled a webcast an...
CaliberCos highlights tokenization strategy at crypto conference
PositiveOn October 19, 2026, Caliber announced that CEO Chris Loeffler would speak on a panel titled “The New Rules: Public Companies & Crypto” at the Tokenize! AI, Politics, Payments & Entertainment conference in Las Vegas on October 21, 2026. His appearanc...
CaliberCos Launches Note Exchange to Restructure Debt
PositiveIn September 2026, CaliberCos Inc. launched a note exchange program enabling holders of its unsecured corporate promissory notes to convert into new five-year amortizing notes, Series AAA convertible preferred stock, or accept a discounted cash payof...
CaliberCos Launches Caliber Tokenization Services for Real Estate
PositiveOn August 27, 2026, CaliberCos Inc. launched Caliber Tokenization Services, LLC, a new division offering full‑service real‑world asset tokenization for family offices with at least $50 million in real estate under the Tokenized by Caliber brand. The...
CaliberCos Faces Nasdaq Non-Compliance, Considers Remedial Actions
NegativeOn August 21, 2026, CaliberCos Inc. received notice from Nasdaq that its Class A common stock had closed below $1.00 for 33 consecutive business days, putting the company out of compliance with the exchange’s minimum bid price requirement for continu...
CaliberCos Launches First Tokenized Real Estate Investment
PositiveOn August 13, 2026, CaliberCos Inc. launched its first tokenized real estate investment on its platform, the PURE Pickleball & Padel offering in Scottsdale, Ariz., marking the company’s initial live use of blockchain-based ownership for a real asset...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2026