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CITIC Pacific (CTPCY)
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CITIC Pacific (CTPCY) AI Stock Analysis

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CTPCY

CITIC Pacific

(OTC:CTPCY)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
â–²(9.09% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/15/26
The score is held back primarily by elevated balance-sheet leverage and volatile operating/free cash flow despite decent reported profitability. Offsetting this, technicals show a clear uptrend and momentum, valuation looks notably attractive (low P/E with a high dividend yield), and the latest earnings call conveyed strong operational momentum and improving efficiency with some segment-specific headwinds.
Positive Factors
Financial services growth
Strong growth in the financial-services segment indicates that CITIC is benefiting from scale across banking, securities, trust and insurance. Rising fee income and expanding assets can support recurring earnings, improve business mix and provide a durable platform for cross-selling and capital allocation.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Heavy reliance on debt leaves less financial flexibility if operating conditions weaken or funding costs rise. Elevated leverage can absorb a greater share of future cash generation, restrict investment choices and increase the consequences of earnings volatility across CITIC’s diversified businesses.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Financial services growth
Strong growth in the financial-services segment indicates that CITIC is benefiting from scale across banking, securities, trust and insurance. Rising fee income and expanding assets can support recurring earnings, improve business mix and provide a durable platform for cross-selling and capital allocation.
Read all positive factors

CITIC Pacific (CTPCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CITIC Pacific Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Headquartered in Central, Hong Kong, CITIC Limited, established in 1987 and formerly known as CITIC Pacific Limited until its rebranding in August 2014, is a diversified global conglomerate. It engages across numerous sectors including finance, re...
How the Company Makes Money
CITIC Pacific’s earnings have historically come from a mix of (1) operating income generated by controlled subsidiaries (for example, revenue and cash flow from infrastructure/industrial operations and resource-related businesses), (2) profit shar...

CITIC Pacific Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is relatively resilient (stable net margins and a sharp gross-margin improvement in 2025), but the financial profile is constrained by very high leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.4x–3.8x, rising again in 2025) and highly inconsistent cash generation (multiple years of negative operating cash flow and sharply weaker free cash flow in 2025). Revenue declines in 2024–2025 further limit the score.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
29
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue797.24B748.08B891.95B799.33B844.90B739.74B
Gross Profit357.93B329.89B302.78B307.98B307.56B254.55B
EBITDA171.42B156.68B162.80B329.15B225.76B123.84B
Net Income60.38B57.11B54.66B57.49B73.53B70.22B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.66T13.03T12.08T11.31T11.79T10.69T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.92T1.75T1.30T1.20T1.09T365.52B
Total Debt2.62T2.87T2.56T3.75T3.52T1.77T
Total Liabilities12.09T11.53T10.65T9.98T10.41T9.52T
Stockholders Equity801.02B782.61B757.49B701.97B737.25B751.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow473.02B5.11B-94.37B-47.02B170.44B-65.19B
Operating Cash Flow515.81B58.65B-65.72B-220.71B194.02B-40.69B
Investing Cash Flow-187.15B-320.30B-106.17B-40.92B55.92B-267.45B
Financing Cash Flow-237.79B208.69B193.82B273.46B-109.19B208.16B

CITIC Pacific Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price8.25
Price Trends
50DMA
8.04
Positive
100DMA
7.79
Positive
200DMA
7.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
46.19
Neutral
STOCH
30.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTPCY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 8.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.40, above the 50-day MA of 8.04, and above the 200-day MA of 7.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CTPCY.

CITIC Pacific Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$8.94B18.5429.84%0.64%3.80%138.85%
71
Outperform
$3.78B5.9512.09%0.23%8.17%361.79%
69
Neutral
$66.86B8.3241.71%2.08%-2.41%53.63%
65
Neutral
$48.64B5.588.21%5.22%12.29%10.59%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$84.66B28.7677.12%1.88%2.35%-21.55%
47
Neutral
$5.24B-3.68-18.05%0.98%97.51%34.53%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTPCY
CITIC Pacific
8.14
1.42
21.14%
MMM
3M
161.89
6.11
3.92%
HON
Honeywell International
213.99
11.50
5.68%
SEB
Seaboard
4,024.28
471.60
13.27%
VMI
Valmont
478.74
86.69
22.11%
BBUC
Brookfield Business Corp. Class A
25.60
-8.19
-24.23%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 15, 2026