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City Office REIT Inc (CIO)
:CIO

City Office REIT (CIO) AI Stock Analysis

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City Office REIT

(NYSE:CIO)

63Neutral
City Office REIT's overall score reflects a mix of financial stability and challenges. While the company has no debt and stable cash flows, declining revenues and profitability pose concerns. Positive leasing trends and strategic initiatives discussed in the earnings call are offset by short-term occupancy and disruption risks. The technical indicators are neutral, and the high dividend yield suggests potential value despite a negative P/E ratio.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company reported Core FFO per share of $0.30, which was two cents higher than consensus estimates and four cents higher than analyst numbers.
Geographic Portfolio Strength
The portfolio is in better than average markets in the Southwest and Southeast with highly amenitized buildings.
Leasing Activity
During the quarter, the company executed approximately 144K sqft of new and renewal leases, which included 101K sqft of new leasing and 43K sqft of renewals.
Negative Factors
Asset Impairment
The company incurred an impairment of $8.5 million on the sale of a property in Denver, CO.
Debt Levels
The company has an above average debt level at approximately 79% debt-to-total market capitalization including preferred.
Investor Uncertainty
Persistence of general investor uncertainty in the office sector and banks unwillingness to do new loans in the sector.

City Office REIT (CIO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

City Office REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCity Office REIT, Inc. (CIO) is a real estate investment trust focused on acquiring, owning, and operating high-quality office properties located in some of the strongest office markets in the United States. The company primarily invests in metropolitan areas in the Southern and Western United States, emphasizing markets with strong economic fundamentals and growth potential. CIO aims to provide value to its shareholders through strategic property acquisitions and active asset management.
How the Company Makes MoneyCity Office REIT makes money primarily through the rental income generated from leasing its office properties to a diverse range of tenants. The company's revenue model is built on acquiring and managing a portfolio of office buildings in economically vibrant markets where demand for office space is strong. CIO generates income through long-term lease agreements, which provide a stable and predictable cash flow. Additionally, the company seeks to increase property value through strategic upgrades and active management, which can lead to higher occupancy rates and rental rates. The REIT structure also allows City Office to benefit from tax advantages, as it must distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends, providing an attractive yield to investors.

City Office REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
City Office REIT faces challenges with declining revenues and profitability, but it maintains a solid balance sheet with no debt and strong equity positions. While cash flow generation is stable, the company must address revenue issues to ensure long-term financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
City Office REIT shows a declining revenue trend, with revenue dropping to zero in the latest period. The company has experienced significant fluctuations in net income, moving from a profit to a loss. The EBIT and EBITDA margins were strong historically but cannot be assessed for the latest period due to the lack of revenue.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
City Office REIT maintains a strong equity position, with a debt-to-equity ratio improving significantly as total debt was eliminated. The equity ratio remains robust, indicating financial stability. However, the return on equity has been volatile, reflecting inconsistent net income performance.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The company demonstrates stable operating cash flow, with a positive free cash flow indicating good cash generation. However, the inability to grow free cash flow significantly and the reliance on past performance for stability may pose risks if revenue does not recover.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
168.89M171.13M179.10M180.49M164.04M160.84M
Gross Profit
93.82M101.67M109.10M112.75M106.04M102.53M
EBIT
9.22M18.68M31.27M35.25M33.23M31.47M
EBITDA
86.03M78.00M94.26M97.75M90.55M91.84M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-18.76M-17.68M-2.68M25.20M484.39M-21.84M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
43.36M18.89M30.08M28.19M21.32M25.30M
Total Assets
1.51B1.46B1.51B1.57B1.60B1.16B
Total Debt
685.70M646.97M669.51M890.60M653.65M677.24M
Net Debt
642.34M628.09M639.43M862.41M632.33M651.94M
Total Liabilities
737.87M721.13M738.74M771.26M730.92M739.42M
Stockholders Equity
767.53M733.86M772.23M802.83M869.62M416.93M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
51.41M58.86M57.22M97.11M65.03M52.13M
Operating Cash Flow
54.56M58.86M57.22M106.68M73.22M59.92M
Investing Cash Flow
-33.62M-40.29M-41.34M-47.05M-17.38M-27.80M
Financing Cash Flow
-27.68M-28.01M-16.75M-57.63M-59.53M-73.69M

City Office REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.91
Price Trends
50DMA
4.90
Positive
100DMA
4.98
Negative
200DMA
5.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
49.98
Neutral
STOCH
32.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CIO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.94, above the 50-day MA of 4.90, and below the 200-day MA of 5.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CIO.

City Office REIT Risk Analysis

City Office REIT disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. City Office REIT reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

City Office REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CICIO
63
Neutral
$199.37M-2.51%8.10%-4.92%-128.59%
60
Neutral
$2.83B10.920.21%8543.15%5.98%-17.76%
FSFSP
52
Neutral
$155.35M-9.96%2.67%-18.97%-14.57%
ONONL
51
Neutral
$119.69M-10.71%15.02%-18.92%-15.81%
HPHPP
50
Neutral
$347.12M-12.23%4.41%-9.39%-72.30%
OPOPI
42
Neutral
$19.51M-15.03%14.53%-11.91%-80.43%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CIO
City Office REIT
4.91
0.26
5.59%
FSP
Franklin Street Properties
1.46
-0.44
-23.16%
HPP
Hudson Pacific Properties
2.23
-3.54
-61.35%
OPI
Office Properties Income
0.27
-2.18
-88.98%
ONL
Orion Office REIT
2.16
-1.23
-36.28%

City Office REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 02, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.48%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in redevelopment projects, positive leasing trends, and strong financial performance. Although there are expected short-term occupancy dips and potential disruptions due to redevelopment, the long-term outlook and strategic initiatives indicate a positive trajectory.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Redevelopment of City Center Property
Entered into an agreement with Property Markets Group to lead the development of a 49-story residential condominium and mixed-use tower. The project is expected to be sold under the luxury Waldorf Astoria Residences brand and has tremendous long-term value creation potential.
Positive Trends in Office Real Estate
National office leasing volume was 15% higher than a year ago, with higher-quality office spaces in Sunbelt markets continuing to outperform. Company achieved significant leasing activity, including a 34,000 square foot lease at Papago Tech in Phoenix.
Successful Leasing Transactions
Negotiated a transaction to bring a new 66,000 square foot tenant into the Greenwood Boulevard property in Orlando with a 10-year lease, and extended the existing tenant's lease on 58,000 square feet to 2033.
Positive Financial Performance
First quarter net operating income was $26.0 million, $500,000 higher than the fourth quarter. Core FFO was $12.3 million, $600,000 higher than the previous quarter.
Strong Rent Growth
Realized an 8.5% positive cash releasing spread on renewals over the last 12 months. Same-store cash NOI increased 4.4% in the first quarter compared to the prior year.
Negative Updates
Expected Decrease in Occupancy
Portfolio occupancy ended the quarter at 84.9%, slightly lower than the prior quarter. Expected occupancy will decrease in the second quarter due to known vacancies and tenant movements.
Potential Short-term Disruptions
Redevelopment of City Center's parking structure may lead to temporary parking disruptions for existing tenants, although alternative arrangements are being made.
Company Guidance
During the City Office REIT First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. They reported a net operating income of $26.0 million for the first quarter, which marked an increase of $500,000 from the previous quarter. Core FFO was $12.3 million, or $0.30 per share, up by $600,000 quarter-over-quarter. Additionally, the company's same-store cash NOI rose by 4.4% compared to the prior year, driven primarily by strong performance in Raleigh. Portfolio occupancy was reported at 84.9%, with expectations to end the year within the 85% to 87% range. The company has $646 million in total debt, with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 6.7 times. They have $42 million undrawn on their credit facility and $37 million in cash and restricted cash as of quarter-end. The company is also working on strategic extensions for property debt maturities in 2025 and exploring financing options for unencumbered properties to enhance liquidity.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.