Tabcorp Holdings Limited stock analysis
Tabcorp Holdings Limited (THL) Stock Price & Analysis
THL Stock Chart & Stats
- Day’s Range
- N/A
- 52-Week Range
- N/A
- Previous Close
- N/A
- Volume
- N/A
- Average Volume (3M)
- N/A
- Market Cap
- CHF 1.19B
- Enterprise Value
- CHF 2.50B
- Total Cash (Recent Filing)
- CHF 305.80M
- Total Debt (Recent Filing)
- CHF 832.00M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 45.2
- Beta
- 0.23
- Next Earnings
- Feb 18, 2027 (Est.)
- EPS Estimate
- 0.01
- Next Dividend Ex-Date
- N/A
- Dividend Yield
- 3.14%
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Improving Profitability And Returns
FY26 showed stronger operating economics through EBITDA and EBIT growth, margin expansion, lower adjusted OpEx, and higher ROIC. If sustained, these gains should improve earnings resilience and show that operational initiatives are converting revenue into more durable returns.
Strong Cash Conversion And Liquidity
High cash conversion and substantial liquidity support Tabcorp’s ability to fund investment, service debt, and absorb operating volatility. Lower leverage and longer debt maturity provide greater financial flexibility as management executes its technology, retail, and strategic growth programs.
Retail Model Delivering Structural Benefits
The retail commercial model is producing measurable EBITDA gains while retaining most historical turnover across a broad venue network. This supports the durability of Tabcorp’s physical distribution footprint and provides an established platform for further benefits from later implementation phases.
Bears Say
Volatile Revenue And Thin Earnings Base
Revenue and earnings have not followed a stable growth path: FY26 revenue declined materially after earlier volatility, while profitability remains modest relative to revenue. This leaves earnings sensitive to renewed revenue pressure and makes sustained returns less dependable over the next several quarters.
Regulatory Burden And AUSTRAC Overhang
The ongoing AUSTRAC investigation creates a persistent regulatory overhang, while compliance and risk programs add to the cost base. These obligations can absorb management attention and constrain margin expansion, particularly alongside broader gambling advertising reforms and loyalty investment.
Higher Investment Demands And Execution Risk
The planned capital expenditure step-up increases near-term cash requirements and adds depreciation before the expected terminal returns are fully realized. Delivery therefore depends on successful rollout and customer adoption, creating execution pressure even with positive targeted investment returns.
Tabcorp Holdings Limited News
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Company Description
Tabcorp Holdings Limited
Tabcorp Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides gambling, and entertainment and integrity services in Australia. It operates through Wagering and Media, and Integrity Services segments. The Wagering and Media segment offers totalisator and fixed odds betting on racing, sports, and other events through a network of TAB agencies, hotels and clubs, and on-course operations, as well as through retail, Internet, mobile devices, and phone. It also provides Trackside, a computer simulate racing product; and international wagering and pooling services. In addition, the company engages in the Sky Racing television channels broadcasting thoroughbred, and harness and greyhound racing to audiences; Sky Racing Active, a digital app providing Sky Racing’s live and on-demand racing content across thoroughbred, and harness and greyhound racing; Sky Sports television channels; and Sky Sports Radio network. The Integrity Services segment provides electronic gaming machine (EGM) monitoring and related services; and provides products, technology, support, maintenance, and other gaming services. It offers its services under the TAB, Sky Racing, and MAX brands. The company was founded in 1961 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
- Sector
- Consumercyclical
- Industry
- Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
- CEO
- Gillon A. Mclachlan
- Employees
- 5,100
- Website
- www.tabcorp.com.au
- Address
- Tower 2, Collins Square, Melbourne, VIC, 3008, AU
Tabcorp Holdings Limited (THL) Earnings & Revenues
THL Company Deck
THL Earnings Call
Earnings Call SentimentPositive
The call presented meaningful operational and financial progress: double-digit EBITDA and EBIT growth, strong cash conversion, improved ROIC, reduced leverage, strategic wins (National Tote, Sky rights, BetMakers agreement) and tangible retail momentum (Phase 1 benefits, strong World Cup performance). These positives are balanced against regulatory overhang (AUSTRAC), modest top-line growth, continued decline in pari-mutuel turnover, near-term higher CapEx (EBTs) and integration/approval risk for the BetMakers acquisition. Management expects continued cost discipline and execution on strategic initiatives, but some benefits (National Tote, full terminal returns, BetMakers synergies) will take time to fully realize.
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