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Pool (SP1.BRN) AI Stock Analysis

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CH:SP1.BRN

Pool

(BX Swiss:SP1.BRN)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Leading distribution scalePOOL’s broad branch network, extensive product assortment and large trade-customer base create meaningful distribution reach. This scale can support purchasing leverage, customer convenience and operating efficiency, strengthening its position across pool and outdoor-living channels over time.
Negative Factors
Persistent margin pressureLower gross margin reduces the earnings benefit of sales growth and shows that freight and customer mix pressures remain material. Although pricing actions are recovering some costs, continued input-cost pressure and difficult comparisons could constrain margin recovery and cash available for reinvestment.

Pool Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Pool Corporation, established in 1993 and based in Covington, Louisiana, serves as a leading wholesale distributor of swimming pool essentials, outdoor living accessories, and related recreational merchandise. Operating extensively across the United...

Pool Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2026(Q3-2026)|Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly constructive: third-quarter sales accelerated to 4%, several product categories and geographies grew, operating cash flow increased 47%, balance-sheet leverage remained within target, and full-year guidance was reaffirmed. Management also highlighted progress in sales excellence, pricing, technology, network optimization, and M&A. However, gross margin and operating income declined, freight and customer mix remained pressures, housing and discretionary demand were cautious, and fourth-quarter comparisons and the 2027 macro outlook remain challenging. Highlights significantly outweighed the explicitly stated challenges.

Positive Updates

Third-Quarter Sales Growth Accelerated
Net sales were $1.5 billion, up 4% year over year, accelerating from the 2% increase in the second quarter and bringing year-to-date sales growth to 4%. Pricing contributed 3% of the increase and volume contributed 1%, supported by maintenance growth, stable renovation activity, and new construction outperforming permit trends.

Negative Updates

Gross Margin Declined
Gross margin was 29.0%, down 60 basis points from the prior year, reflecting higher inbound freight costs, customer mix, and the comparison against last year's mid-season price increases. Year-to-date gross margin was 29.3%.

Company Guidance

For 2026, POOLCORP reaffirmed adjusted diluted EPS guidance of $10.87 to $11.17, with the midpoint implying growth of almost 3% over prior year, while the GAAP diluted EPS range remains $10.66 to $10.96, including the $0.21 of 1-time CEO transition expenses; full-year top line growth is expected between 3% and 4%, with a 3% contribution from pricing, October sales to date were up around 2%, full-year new pool builds are expected to be slightly lower below prior year, adjusted operating expenses are expected to grow less than sales growth with fourth quarter expense growth below the third, fourth quarter gross margin is expected to be slightly better than the third quarter but lower than what was reported last year, full-year interest expense is expected to be about $50 million, the full-year adjusted tax rate near 25%, weighted average shares outstanding should be about 36 million for the fourth quarter and 36.2 million for the full year, full-year cash flow from operations is expected to exceed net income, interest rate swaps are on track to reduce interest expense by approximately $9 million in 2026, and POOLCORP expects 1 less selling day for the full year in 2027; in a normalized environment, John Watwood referenced roughly 80 thousand new pools.

Pool Risk Analysis

Pool disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pool reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Macro & Political - Risks related to catastrophic events or geopolitical conditions that may disrupt the company’s business

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Pool Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

CH:SP1.BRN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FASTFAST81Outperform$63.66B44.7635.13%1.80%13.53%15.58%
WSOWSO74Outperform$12.95B27.2916.24%4.19%0.30%-12.05%
CNMCNM71Outperform$8.76B26.0322.37%―-0.54%7.59%
SITESITE68Neutral$4.93B29.7110.06%―2.89%22.77%
WCCWCC65Neutral$15.93B20.1715.21%0.60%13.50%26.11%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%FASTWSOWCCSITECNMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
CH:SP1.BRN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FASTFastenal55.1916.3342.02%
WSOWatsco Inc308.46-17.67-5.42%
WCCWesco International321.7975.5530.68%
SITESiteOne Landscape112.57-16.13-12.53%
CNMCore & Main, Inc. Class A45.000.050.11%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.