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Barratt Developments (BTDPY)
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Barratt Developments (BTDPY) AI Stock Analysis

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BTDPY

Barratt Developments

(OTC:BTDPY)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▲(2.97% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/20/26
The score is led by solid financial foundation (notably low leverage and improved 2026 cash generation) and a constructive earnings outlook driven by integration synergies and capital returns. These positives are tempered by below-peak profitability/margins and ongoing housing-cycle volatility, while technical signals are mixed and valuation is held back by a high P/E despite a strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Consistently low leverage gives Barratt flexibility to withstand housing-cycle volatility and fund operations without excessive dependence on borrowing. The expanding equity base further strengthens financial resilience, supporting land investment and shareholder returns even when market conditions are uneven.
Negative Factors
Compressed margins and cost pressure
Lower gross and operating margins show that revenue recovery is not translating fully into profit growth. Continued build-cost inflation and buyer incentives could keep pressuring earnings conversion, limiting returns even if completion volumes remain broadly stable.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Consistently low leverage gives Barratt flexibility to withstand housing-cycle volatility and fund operations without excessive dependence on borrowing. The expanding equity base further strengthens financial resilience, supporting land investment and shareholder returns even when market conditions are uneven.
Read all positive factors

Barratt Developments (BTDPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Barratt Developments Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Barratt Redrow Plc is a major property developer with operations primarily concentrated in the United Kingdom. The company specializes in creating a variety of real estate, encompassing both residential homes and commercial structures. Its extensi...
How the Company Makes Money
Barratt Developments primarily makes money by building and selling new homes in the UK. Its main revenue stream is the sale of completed residential properties to private customers (owner-occupiers and investors), where revenue is typically recogn...

Barratt Developments Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 16, 2026
(Q4-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was cautiously positive. Management highlighted resilient trading, higher completions, completed Redrow integration, strong synergy delivery, a robust balance sheet, planned capital returns and early success from the multi-brand strategy. These positives were offset by lower profitability and margins, pricing deflation, building-cost inflation, building-safety liabilities, planning delays, affordability constraints and macroeconomic uncertainty. The positive operational execution and financial position significantly outweighed the stated challenges.
Positive Updates
Resilient FY2026 Performance
Barratt Redrow described its operational and financial performance as solid and in line with expectations despite challenging market conditions, supported by its brands, strategy, teams and supply chain.
Negative Updates
Challenging Market and Affordability Conditions
Management said market conditions were clearly challenging, customers were subdued, and first-time buyers faced severe affordability challenges. The industry also remains constrained by an under-resourced planning system, red tape, regulation and taxation.
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Negative
Resilient FY2026 Performance
Barratt Redrow described its operational and financial performance as solid and in line with expectations despite challenging market conditions, supported by its brands, strategy, teams and supply chain.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For FY '27, Barratt Redrow is confident in total completions of between 17,500 and 17,900, expects affordable volumes to return to around 20% of completions, joint venture completions to increase slightly to around 600 units, and average outlets to be stable at approximately 405; it is guiding to 3% to 4% inflation for the year, administrative expenses of approximately GBP 360 million, an annual profit and loss contribution from synergies of approximately GBP 95 million, land approvals of between 6,000 and 8,000 plots only if sufficiently attractive opportunities arise, and FY '27 year-end net cash between GBP 400 million and GBP 500 million, subject to any changes in land activity and guidance on that as the year develops. The company expects to spend approximately GBP 300 million on legacy property remediation and GBP 340 million settling line creditors, expects to spend approximately GBP 450 million in FY '28 on direct remediation-related works and payments to the Building Safety fund, and expects FY '27 total capital return to be GBP 400 million, with GBP 386 million delivered through a share buyback.

Barratt Developments Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet quality (low leverage, growing equity) supports resilience in a cyclical industry, and cash generation rebounded sharply in 2026. Offsetting this, profitability and returns remain meaningfully below the 2021–2023 peak and cash flows have shown notable volatility through 2024–2025.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.03B5.58B4.17B5.32B5.27B
Gross Profit864.33M784.80M689.00M1.13B1.30B
EBITDA622.67M398.10M255.70M767.00M1.06B
Net Income242.26M186.40M114.10M530.30M515.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.05B11.55B7.88B8.01B8.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments965.04M969.60M1.07B1.27B1.35B
Total Debt246.11M255.20M242.80M249.60M254.40M
Total Liabilities3.32B3.68B2.44B2.42B2.59B
Stockholders Equity7.73B7.87B5.44B5.60B5.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow444.17M11.20M89.00M498.70M406.40M
Operating Cash Flow456.32M29.30M96.20M521.80M436.30M
Investing Cash Flow-79.99M195.80M12.00M55.40M-241.10M
Financing Cash Flow-375.04M-320.80M-308.60M-590.60M-378.40M

Barratt Developments Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.74
Price Trends
50DMA
8.19
Negative
100DMA
7.60
Positive
200DMA
8.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
49.99
Neutral
STOCH
92.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BTDPY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.25, above the 50-day MA of 8.19, and above the 200-day MA of 8.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BTDPY.

Barratt Developments Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$21.98B11.9314.73%0.89%-7.28%-26.86%
72
Outperform
$16.39B15.1531.02%-9.66%-19.36%
69
Neutral
$5.64B30.752.73%5.44%12.59%32.22%
69
Neutral
$38.60B13.1112.77%1.30%-3.54%-15.86%
69
Neutral
$18.36B14.456.03%2.62%-8.04%-47.70%
64
Neutral
$2.89B11.227.04%2.12%-17.52%-45.77%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BTDPY
Barratt Developments
8.17
-1.43
-14.88%
DHI
DR Horton
138.02
-24.26
-14.95%
KBH
KB Home
47.12
-14.20
-23.16%
LEN
Lennar
76.43
-43.07
-36.04%
NVR
NVR
6,150.47
-1,774.76
-22.39%
PHM
PulteGroup
117.26
-10.89
-8.49%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 20, 2026