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BGSF (BGSF) AI Stock Analysis

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BGSF

BGSF

(NYSE:BGSF)

Select Model
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:$4.00â–²(13.31% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

The score is weighed down primarily by ongoing TTM losses and declining revenue, alongside a clearly bearish technical setup (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by materially reduced leverage and positive TTM free cash flow, plus earnings-call actions focused on cost reductions and maintaining ~36% gross margin, though demand softness and uneven recovery remain key risks.

Positive Factors
Low LeverageThe substantial reduction in leverage lowers financial risk and gives BGSF greater flexibility to manage demand volatility, fund operating needs, and pursue initiatives without relying heavily on debt. A stronger capital structure should also improve resilience during uneven staffing-market conditions.
Negative Factors
Revenue DeclineLower billable hours directly reduce staffing revenue and gross profit because the model depends on client demand for deployed labor. Continued customer cost control and cautious spending could constrain utilization, weaken operating leverage, and delay a sustained recovery in the top line.

BGSF (BGSF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%BGSF-7.35%SPY+10.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$41.97M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
9,251
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-18.7
Beta (1Y)
0.66
Revenue Growth
-58.57%
EPS Growth
11.65%
Country
US
Employees
189
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Staffing & Employment Services

BGSF Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

BGSF, Inc., headquartered in Plano, Texas, since its incorporation in 2007, offers extensive workforce solutions and talent acquisition services across the United States. The company's operations are divided into two main divisions: Real Estate and P...

How the Company Makes Money

BGSF primarily makes money by charging clients for workforce solutions delivered under staffing and recruiting arrangements. Its core revenue stream is temporary/contract staffing, where BGSF sources, screens, and employs (or co-employs, depending on...

BGSF Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-10.18%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 09, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented a mixed outlook. BGSF highlighted meaningful progress on cost reduction, operational initiatives, AI-enabled recruiting, PropTech expansion, margin stability, cash resources, and a return to GAAP profitability. However, these positives were offset by a 6.6% revenue decline, lower gross profit and adjusted EBITDA, negative operating cash flow, cautious customer spending, elevated market pressures, and an uneven recovery. Overall, the positive and negative developments were relatively balanced.

Positive Updates

Organizational Realignment and Cost Reduction
BGSF completed a comprehensive organizational review and implemented targeted realignments to simplify and flatten the organization, improve collaboration between sales and delivery, strengthen accountability, and support efficient execution. The changes are expected to reduce annual costs by approximately $1.6 million, with most benefits recognized in Q4 fiscal 2026 and the full effect in Q1 fiscal 2027.

Negative Updates

Revenue Decline from Soft Customer Demand
Third-quarter revenue was $25.1 million, a decrease of 6.6% from the prior-year period. The decline was primarily due to lower build hours driven by reduced customer demand as property owners and property management companies managed cost pressures, along with increased competition in select markets.

Company Guidance

BGSF expects approximately $1.6 million of annual cost reductions effective in fiscal October 26, with approximately $100 thousand of severance costs, the majority of the benefits in Q4 of 26 and the full effect in Q1 of 27; selling costs are expected to be down about 300 thousand in Q4 versus Q3, with $400 thousand per quarter savings in Q1 and $1.6 million next year, while gross margin for the year will remain in the 36% range and PropTech remains on track to contribute approximately 1%-2% of revenue in 2027.

BGSF Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals. Profitability remains pressured with TTM losses and weak/declining revenue, which is a major negative. Offsetting factors include a much stronger balance sheet with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.01) and positive TTM operating/free cash flow (~$1.7M), though cash flow has deteriorated versus prior years.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

54Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue90.35M93.31M272.50M313.17M298.42M239.03M
Gross Profit31.96M31.78M92.86M111.78M103.55M80.94M
EBITDA-3.65M-7.35M8.98M589.00K20.34M18.23M
Net Income-3.04M-7.71M-3.34M-10.22M25.36M14.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets53.59M57.84M150.11M178.52M194.67M148.29M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.92M19.02M353.00K00112.10K
Total Debt621.00K1.65M51.66M68.94M71.56M44.03M
Total Liabilities7.19M9.73M67.84M92.98M93.94M71.70M
Stockholders Equity46.40M48.10M82.27M85.54M100.74M76.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.67M-25.00K22.74M17.79M-12.80M3.46M
Operating Cash Flow1.69M113.00K24.38M20.39M-7.12M6.66M
Investing Cash Flow-7.41M91.20M-1.64M-9.51M-8.92M-7.02M
Financing Cash Flow-25.81M-72.49M-22.39M-10.87M15.93M473.12K

BGSF Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3.53

Price Trends

50DMA4.78Negative
100DMA5.17Negative
200DMA5.47Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.21Negative
RSI33.81Neutral
STOCH22.45Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BGSF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.30, below the 50-day MA of 4.78, and below the 200-day MA of 5.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BGSF.

BGSF Risk Analysis

BGSF disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BGSF reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

BGSF Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

BGSF against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HQIHQI81Outperform$232.27M30.0511.98%1.29%-7.54%237.08%
DHXDHX65Neutral$213.21M24.721.28%―-7.34%―
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
MHHMHH56Neutral$75.30M63.831.25%―-13.57%―
BGSFBGSF48Neutral$44.75M-18.74-19.17%―-58.57%11.65%
JOBJOB43Neutral$20.88M-241.13-0.17%―-18.54%99.76%
IPDNIPDN40Underperform$1.05M-0.03-72.62%1.92%-5.10%-16.73%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%0%100%BGSFDHXJOBMHHIPDNHQIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
BGSF and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
BGSFBGSF Inc.3.53-0.01-0.28%
DHXDHI Group Inc4.302.55145.71%
JOBGEE Group0.190.014.40%
MHHMastech6.37-0.68-9.65%
IPDNProfessional Diversity Network1.37-72.73-98.15%
HQIHireQuest, Inc.17.217.7481.66%

BGSF Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures

BGSF Reports Third-Quarter Results Amid Cautious Customer Spending

Positive
Nov 4, 2026

On November 4, 2026, BGSF reported third-quarter results from continuing operations for the 13-week period ended September 27, 2026. Revenue fell to $25.1 million from $26.9 million a year earlier because of lower billable hours, while gross profit d...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026