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BGSF (BGSF) AI Stock Analysis

BGSF

BGSF

(NYSE:BGSF)

Select Model
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:$4.00â–¼(-4.31% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/07/26

BGSF's score of 47 reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenue, net losses, and negative cash flow, compounded by an unattractive valuation due to lack of profitability. While cost-cutting measures have improved the bottom line and the balance sheet remains low-debt, these positives are insufficient to offset the fundamental weaknesses. Technical indicators are neutral, and the earnings call offered a mixed outlook. The stock carries high risk in the near term.

Positive Factors
Low LeverageVery low leverage materially reduces financial risk and preserves flexibility for working capital, investment, or restructuring. This gives BGSF more capacity to manage cyclical staffing demand and pursue operational improvements without the added pressure of significant interest obligations.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionLower revenue and flat annual guidance indicate that demand has not yet returned to a durable growth path. A stagnant top line limits operating leverage, reduces the benefit of cost investments, and makes it harder for BGSF to rebuild earnings while maintaining its current service platform.

BGSF (BGSF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%BGSF+16.67%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$42.61M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
9,051
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-5.2
Beta (1Y)
0.68
Revenue Growth
-58.57%
EPS Growth
11.65%
Country
US
Employees
189
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Staffing & Employment Services

BGSF Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

BGSF, Inc., headquartered in Plano, Texas, since its incorporation in 2007, offers extensive workforce solutions and talent acquisition services across the United States. The company's operations are divided into two main divisions: Real Estate and P...

How the Company Makes Money

BGSF primarily makes money by charging clients for workforce solutions delivered under staffing and recruiting arrangements. Its core revenue stream is temporary/contract staffing, where BGSF sources, screens, and employs (or co-employs, depending on...

BGSF Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-25.89%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call described meaningful cost and operational improvements (29% SG&A reduction, narrower adjusted EBITDA loss, $18.2M cash balance, AI-driven onboarding, early PropTech pipeline) that partly offset a 5.1% revenue decline and ongoing demand softness driven by higher interest rates and property-level cost pressures. Management signaled continued disciplined cost control and modest near-term revenue visibility with potential improvement in Q3 seasonality and a multi-quarter ramp for PropTech.

Positive Updates

Revenue and Year-over-Year Change
Q2 2026 revenue of $22.3 million, down 5.1% versus prior year; management expects full-year 2026 revenue to remain relatively consistent with 2025.

Negative Updates

Soft Customer Demand and Market Headwinds
Lower billed hours and weaker-than-expected demand due to higher interest rates, elevated operating costs and property-level cash flow pressure; revenue came in below management expectations.

Company Guidance

The company guided that full‑year 2026 revenue is expected to be roughly flat with 2025, with gross margin forecasted to remain in the ~36% range and ongoing G&A of approximately $12.0 million (including about $2.0 million of public company costs); management said cost and organizational actions completed in Q2 (including $385,000 of nonrecurring restructuring costs) will begin to show full benefit in Q3 and highlighted a target to improve fulfillment rates by 1–2 percentage points in Q3. For context, Q2 revenue was $22.3 million (down 5.1% YoY) with gross profit of $7.9 million (35.5% margin vs. 35.8% a year ago), SG&A of $8.9 million (down 29% from $12.6 million), adjusted EBITDA loss of $0.3 million (improved from a $1.2 million loss), GAAP net loss of $0.08 per diluted share (vs. $0.41 prior year) and adjusted EPS loss of $0.02; cash and short‑term investments totaled $18.2 million, operating cash flow was slightly negative $0.16 million (including a $1.4 million seasonal revenue uplift), the company repurchased 56,256 shares at an average $5.20 ($~293k) with $2.3 million remaining for repurchases, about 50% of candidates engage with the AI interviewer, and PropTech is expected to contribute roughly 1–2% of revenue in 2027.

BGSF Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue has declined sharply from $313M in 2023 to $92.1M TTM, with net losses and negative cash flows. The balance sheet is a relative strength with minimal debt (debt-to-equity 0.01), but overall financial health is weak due to persistent losses and cash burn.

Income Statement

20Very Negative

Balance Sheet

60Neutral

Cash Flow

20Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue92.11M93.31M272.50M313.17M298.42M239.03M
Gross Profit32.53M31.78M92.86M111.78M103.55M80.94M
EBITDA-4.16M-7.35M8.98M589.00K20.34M18.23M
Net Income-9.20M-7.71M-3.34M-10.22M25.36M14.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets52.93M57.84M150.11M178.52M194.67M148.29M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.23M19.02M353.00K00112.10K
Total Debt608.00K1.65M51.66M68.94M71.56M44.03M
Total Liabilities6.88M9.73M67.84M92.98M93.94M71.70M
Stockholders Equity46.05M48.10M82.27M85.54M100.74M76.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.42M-25.00K22.74M17.79M-12.80M3.46M
Operating Cash Flow-3.23M113.00K24.38M20.39M-7.12M6.66M
Investing Cash Flow83.65M91.20M-1.64M-9.51M-8.92M-7.02M
Financing Cash Flow-73.83M-72.49M-22.39M-10.87M15.93M473.12K

BGSF Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4.18

Price Trends

50DMA4.84Negative
100DMA5.19Negative
200DMA5.49Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.21Negative
RSI30.85Neutral
STOCH34.51Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BGSF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.37, below the 50-day MA of 4.84, and below the 200-day MA of 5.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 30.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BGSF.

BGSF Risk Analysis

BGSF disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BGSF reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

BGSF Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

BGSF against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HQIHQI81Outperform$226.71M27.8811.98%1.39%-7.54%237.08%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
MHHMHH56Neutral$75.44M66.601.25%―-13.57%―
DHXDHX55Neutral$196.28M145.291.28%―-7.34%―
JOBJOB54Neutral$21.42M-246.75-0.17%―-18.54%99.76%
BGSFBGSF47Neutral$45.28M-5.18-19.17%―-58.57%11.65%
IPDNIPDN41Neutral$1.21M-0.03-72.62%1.92%-5.10%-16.73%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%0%100%BGSFDHXJOBMHHIPDNHQIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
BGSF and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
BGSFBGSF Inc.3.990.5315.32%
DHXDHI Group Inc4.782.89152.91%
JOBGEE Group0.200.015.91%
MHHMastech6.50-0.56-7.88%
IPDNProfessional Diversity Network1.64-85.66-98.12%
HQIHireQuest, Inc.16.458.26100.85%

BGSF Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

BGSF Reports Q2 2026 Results, Improves Profitability

Positive
Aug 5, 2026

BGSF reported second-quarter 2026 results on August 5, 2026, showing a modest decline in revenue from continuing operations to $22.3 million from $23.5 million a year earlier, with gross profit slipping to $7.9 million and margins essentially flat at...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026