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Vintage Energy Ltd. (VEN) AI Stock Analysis

AU:VEN

Vintage Energy Ltd.

(ASX:VEN)

Select Model
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.01â–²(400.00% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:10/01/26

The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance—persistent losses, negative free cash flow, and the 2026 shift to negative equity materially increase risk. With technical indicators and valuation inputs largely unavailable or not meaningful (negative P/E, no dividend yield), there is limited data support to offset the fundamental weakness.

Positive Factors
Upstream Australian Basin FocusA focused upstream model gives Vintage a clear operating scope and exposure to resource development opportunities in Australian onshore basins. Its exploration, appraisal, and development capabilities provide a platform for converting successful discoveries into future production, although outcomes remain execution-dependent.
Negative Factors
Revenue and Profitability DeclineThe sharp revenue contraction and return to negative gross profit indicate that operating scale and profitability are not yet dependable. Persistent losses, including a materially worse 2026 result, reduce internally generated funding and make sustained investment in exploration and development more difficult.

Vintage Energy Ltd. (VEN) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Not enough price history over this period.

Market Cap
AUD 2.44M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.1
Beta (1Y)
0.79
Revenue Growth
-35.27%
EPS Growth
-576.00%
Country
Australia
Employees
18
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Vintage Energy Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 2015 and based in Goodwood, Australia, Vintage Energy Limited is an Australian upstream energy firm specializing in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas assets. The company holds various stakes in key Australian...

Vintage Energy Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow all indicate weak fundamentals: revenue volatility with a sharp contraction in 2026, persistent losses with gross profit turning negative again, ongoing negative free cash flow, and a significant balance-sheet deterioration in 2026 with shareholders’ equity turning negative—raising financial and liquidity risk.

Income Statement

14Very Negative

Balance Sheet

22Negative

Cash Flow

17Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.02M3.02M4.66M5.15M949.33K0
Gross Profit-1.64M-1.64M1.28M-2.42M-5.55M-241.82K
EBITDA-2.63M-2.63M-2.97M-22.59M-8.81M-9.81M
Net Income-35.59M-35.59M-4.39M-23.23M-11.26M-7.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.07M19.07M49.75M53.02M66.83M70.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.99M3.99M2.59M8.02M7.51M18.71M
Total Debt9.56M9.56M9.50M8.84M7.85M7.29M
Total Liabilities26.73M26.73M22.64M23.36M21.29M20.12M
Stockholders Equity-7.66M-7.66M27.12M29.66M45.53M50.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.86M-2.17M-6.58M-6.59M-16.16M-9.81M
Operating Cash Flow-2.17M-2.17M-3.00M-3.42M-7.49M3.02M
Investing Cash Flow2.66M2.66M-3.57M-3.17M-8.67M-12.83M
Financing Cash Flow911.26K911.26K1.15M7.10M4.96M21.15M

Vintage Energy Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

AU:VEN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
AU:BASAU:BAS64NeutralAUD 20.55M-35.82-3.17%―-13.00%33.33%
AU:BLUAU:BLU46NeutralAUD 9.04M-15.00-1.65%――37.50%
AU:VENAU:VEN44NeutralAUD 2.44M-0.06523.36%―-35.27%-576.00%
AU:GASAU:GAS43NeutralAUD 5.05M-1.20-7.13%―-100.00%21.88%
AU:LIOAU:LIO42NeutralAUD 7.23M-1.24-174.42%―-82.83%-264.86%
AU:KEYAU:KEY30UnderperformAUD 3.47M-7.45-30.11%――44.72%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%AU:LIOAU:GASAU:BASAU:KEYDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:VEN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:VENVintage Energy Ltd.―――
AU:LIOLion Energy Limited0.020.0014.29%
AU:BLUBlue Energy Limited―――
AU:GASState Gas Ltd.0.01-0.02-64.29%
AU:BASBass Oil Ltd0.060.0386.67%
AU:KEYKey Petroleum Limited0.080.0230.16%

Vintage Energy Ltd. Corporate Events

Vintage Energy Lodges 2026 Corporate Governance Statement with ASX

Sep 30, 2026

Vintage Energy Limited is an Australian energy sector company listed on the ASX, operating under the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s framework. It publishes governance policies and board charters on its website to inform investors and suppor...

Vintage Energy Releases 2026 Full-Year Financial Report

Sep 30, 2026

Vintage Energy Ltd. has released its financial report for the year ended 30 June 2026, providing a comprehensive overview of its financial performance, position and cash flows over the period. The document also includes directors’ and auditor r...

Vintage Energy Tightens Compliance After Late Director Interest Notice

Jul 31, 2026

Vintage Energy has responded to an ASX query over the late lodgement of an Appendix 3Y notice concerning director Reginald Nelson, attributing the delay to an administrative oversight during a staff change identified in a periodic procedural review....

Vintage Energy Moves to Tighten ASX Disclosure Controls After Late Director Notice

Jul 31, 2026

Vintage Energy Ltd has responded to an ASX query regarding a late Appendix 3Y notice disclosing a change in Director Neil Gibbins’ interests. The company explained that the delay arose from an administrative oversight linked to staff changes, d...

Vintage Energy Director Boosts Stake in Entitlement Offer

Jul 27, 2026

Vintage Energy Limited has disclosed a significant change in director Neil Gibbins’ holdings, following his participation in an entitlement offer top-up facility approved by shareholders on 24 June 2026. Gibbins increased his stake by acquiring...

Vintage Energy Director Reg Nelson Boosts Stake via Entitlement Offer

Jul 27, 2026

Vintage Energy director Reginald George Nelson has increased his combined direct and indirect holding in the company following participation in an entitlement offer top-up facility approved by shareholders on 24 June 2026. Nelson acquired 14,849,850...

Vintage Energy Shortfall Offer Nears Closure With Significant Capacity Remaining

Jul 14, 2026

Vintage Energy Ltd has announced that its Shortfall Offer, which opened on 17 April 2026, will close this week, with new shares to be issued no later than 17 July 2026. The offer allows investors to acquire shares not taken up in the earlier capital...

Vintage Energy Mourns Passing of Founder and Long-Serving Director Nick Smart

Jul 13, 2026

Vintage Energy Ltd has announced the passing of Nicholas (Nick) Smart, a founder and long-serving non-executive director who was instrumental in guiding the company from its inception through financing and into first production. Chairman Reg Nelson p...

Vintage Energy Issues 2 Million Unquoted Options in Capital Structure Update

Jul 10, 2026

Vintage Energy Ltd. has notified the market of the issuance of 2,000,000 unquoted options, designated as VENAT, with an exercise price of $0.005 and an expiry date of April 24, 2028. The options, issued on July 10, 2026, form part of previously annou...

Vintage Energy Seeks Quotation for 1 Million New ASX Shares

Jul 10, 2026

Vintage Energy Ltd. has applied for quotation of 1,000,000 ordinary fully paid shares on the ASX, with an issue date of July 10, 2026. The new securities, issued under its VEN ticker, expand the company’s listed share base and may influence its...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2026