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Thorney Opportunities Ltd. (TOP) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:TOP

Thorney Opportunities Ltd.

(ASX:TOP)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.52â–²(0.58% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/06/26

Overall score is held back primarily by unstable operating performance and a sharp FY2026 cash-flow reversal, despite a clearly strong debt-free balance sheet. Technical indicators are mildly supportive, but valuation is a notable risk due to the very high P/E, only partly offset by the dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheetA debt-free capital structure gives Thorney Opportunities greater resilience when investment results are uneven. It avoids refinancing pressure and interest obligations, preserving flexibility to hold investments through cycles, fund opportunities, and return capital without relying on external lenders.
Negative Factors
Sharp cash-flow deteriorationThe FY2026 reversal from positive operating and free cash flow to a large outflow raises concerns about the durability of cash generation. Even without debt, sustained weak cash conversion could constrain distributions, reduce investment flexibility, and increase reliance on portfolio realizations.

Thorney Opportunities Ltd. (TOP) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%AU:TOP-19.75%EWA+16.89%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
AUD 86.95M
Dividend Yield
5.29%
Average Volume (3M)
51.24K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
136.8
Beta (1Y)
0.37
Revenue Growth
-103.93%
EPS Growth
-92.24%
Country
Australia
Employees
―
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Asset Management

Thorney Opportunities Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Thorney Opportunities Ltd operates as an Australian-based equity fund under the management of Thorney Management Services Pty Ltd. The fund strategically allocates capital to the public equity markets within Australia, targeting shares of companies s...

Thorney Opportunities Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals: a strong, debt-free balance sheet (Score 78) is offset by highly volatile profitability (Income Statement Score 56) and a sharp deterioration in cash generation with FY2026 flipping to negative operating and free cash flow (Cash Flow Score 41). Recent results appear less supported by stable operating revenue, increasing earnings-quality risk.

Income Statement

56Neutral

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

41Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue-775.61K-775.61K17.52M57.51M13.23M-3.01M
Gross Profit-3.89M-3.89M17.52M57.51M15.56M-5.40M
EBITDA8.72M014.11M45.11M10.37M0
Net Income857.51K857.51K8.54M35.03M10.86M-3.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets164.97M164.97M179.90M185.82M138.33M132.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments142.18M142.18M152.60M157.40M100.87M94.25M
Total Debt000000
Total Liabilities15.18M15.18M21.80M26.58M5.27M3.20M
Stockholders Equity149.79M149.79M158.09M159.24M133.06M129.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-19.28M-19.28M18.78M28.31M7.94M2.64M
Operating Cash Flow-19.28M-19.28M18.78M28.31M7.94M2.64M
Investing Cash Flow-1.51M-1.51M-28.26K004.60M
Financing Cash Flow-9.16M-9.16M-9.69M-8.84M-7.11M-6.46M

Thorney Opportunities Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.52

Price Trends

50DMA0.55Negative
100DMA0.55Negative
200DMA0.55Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Positive
RSI39.02Neutral
STOCH22.22Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:TOP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.53, below the 50-day MA of 0.55, and below the 200-day MA of 0.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:TOP.

Thorney Opportunities Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

AU:TOP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:MFFAU:MFF67NeutralAUD 3.14B18.986.21%3.98%44.63%-63.30%
AU:MIRAU:MIR65NeutralAUD 555.11M43.102.07%4.18%45.10%44.28%
AU:PACAU:PAC63NeutralAUD 304.54M-367.00-0.37%4.36%-88.55%-104.51%
AU:SB2AU:SB258NeutralAUD 46.24M-5.90-9.58%7.34%-42.55%-396.54%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
AU:TOPAU:TOP55NeutralAUD 86.95M136.840.55%5.29%-103.93%-92.24%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%-10%0%10%AU:TOPAU:PACAU:SB2AU:MFFAU:MIRDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AU:TOP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:TOPThorney Opportunities Ltd.0.52-0.13-19.75%
AU:PACPacific Current Group Ltd11.000.737.13%
AU:SB2Salter Brothers Emerging Companies Ltd.0.55-0.17-23.35%
AU:MFFMFF Capital Investments Ltd.5.280.6513.97%
AU:MIRMirrabooka Investments Ltd2.50-0.57-18.57%

Thorney Opportunities Ltd. Corporate Events

Thorney Opportunities Reports October NTA Decline Amid Market Volatility

Nov 10, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd. is an ASX-listed investment company investing in listed and unlisted equities and financial assets across media, automotive, energy, engineering and mining services, and financial services. Its investment approach combines...

Thorney Opportunities lifts NTA, boosts dividend and maintains buyback firepower

Oct 6, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd reported that its after-tax net tangible assets rose to 88.5 cents per share at 30 September 2026, outperforming the S&P Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index over one month, one year and since inception. The portfolio showed...

Thorney Opportunities Cancels Shares After On-Market Buy-Back

Sep 30, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd., the ASX-listed investment company trading under the code TOP, has adjusted its capital structure through an on-market share buy-back. The move reflects active capital management, typical of listed investment entities seeki...

Thorney Opportunities Extends On‑Market Share Buy‑Back Program

Sep 29, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd. has continued its on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares, reporting that it repurchased 100,000 shares on the previous trading day. The cumulative total bought back has reached 3,649,438 shares,...

Thorney Opportunities Reports Ongoing Daily On-Market Buy-Back Activity

Sep 27, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd. has provided an updated notification to the ASX confirming the continuation of its on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. The latest daily report shows that a total of 3,449,519 shares had been...

Thorney Opportunities Issues Daily Update on On-Market Share Buy-Back

Sep 24, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd. has released an updated notification regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for ordinary fully paid shares under the ASX code TOP. The latest daily update, dated 24 September 2026, reports that a total of 3,...

Thorney Opportunities Updates Daily On-Market Share Buy-Back

Sep 22, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd., an ASX-listed investment company trading under the code TOP, manages a portfolio of ordinary fully paid shares for its investors. Operating in the listed investment and funds management space, it uses capital management to...

Thorney Opportunities Extends On-Market Share Buy-Back Program

Sep 21, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd., the ASX-listed investment company trading under ticker TOP, continues to deploy on-market buy-backs as a core capital management tool. The firm seeks to refine its share base while signalling confidence in its portfolio st...

Thorney Opportunities Updates ASX on Progress of On‑Market Share Buy‑Back

Sep 20, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on‑market share buy‑back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. The latest filing, dated 21 September 2026, reports that the company had repurchased...

Thorney Opportunities Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back

Sep 15, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd has provided a daily update on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares, listed under the ASX code TOP. The company reported that a total of 3,014,064 shares had been repurchased prior...

Thorney Opportunities Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back Program

Sep 14, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd has continued its on-market share buy-back program, repurchasing 50,000 ordinary fully paid shares on 15 September 2026, bringing the cumulative total bought back to 2,964,064 shares. The ongoing daily buy-back notifications...

Thorney Opportunities Updates Market on Daily Share Buy-Back Activity

Sep 13, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd., an Australian listed investment company trading under ASX code TOP, provides shareholders with exposure to a managed portfolio of equity investments. Its ordinary fully paid shares are the primary securities through which...

Thorney Opportunities Issues Daily Update on Ongoing Share Buy-Back

Sep 10, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd., an Australian listed investment company trading under the ASX code TOP, manages a portfolio of ordinary fully paid shares to deliver value to its investors. The firm operates as an active investor in the equities market, a...

Thorney Opportunities Cancels Shares Following On‑Market Buy‑Back

Sep 10, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd has cancelled 252,888 ordinary fully paid shares following execution of an on-market buy-back, effective 10 September 2026. The reduction in issued capital reflects active capital management by the investment company and may...

Thorney Opportunities Advances Daily On-Market Share Buy-Back Program

Sep 10, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd., the ASX-listed investment company trading under ticker TOP, continues to pursue its capital management strategy through an on-market share buy-back program of its ordinary fully paid shares. The vehicle offers shareholders...

Thorney Opportunities lifts NTA and declares record FY2026 dividend

Sep 9, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd reported an after-tax net tangible asset backing of 87.7 cents per share at 31 August 2026, up from 86.7 cents a month earlier, with its portfolio returning 3.00% for the month but lagging the S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Accumu...

Thorney Opportunities Updates Daily On-Market Share Buy-Back Activity

Sep 8, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd, an ASX-listed investment company, continues to use on-market share buy-backs as part of its capital management strategy, targeting its ordinary fully paid shares under the TOP ticker. The vehicle seeks to enhance shareholde...

Thorney Opportunities Continues On‑Market Share Buy‑Back Programme

Sep 7, 2026

Thorney Opportunities has provided an updated notification on its ongoing on‑market share buy‑back program, confirming the repurchase of 17,451 ordinary fully paid shares in the most recent trading day. This lifts the cumulative number of shares boug...

Thorney Opportunities Updates Daily On-Market Share Buy-Back

Sep 1, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd has updated investors on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares traded under the ASX code TOP. The update confirms that a total of 2,724,646 shares had been repurchased before the pre...

Thorney Opportunities Files Updated Corporate Governance Statement with ASX

Aug 31, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd. has lodged its updated corporate governance statement for the year ended 30 June 2026 and made it available via its website, in line with ASX Listing Rule 4.10.3 requirements for listed entities. The board has confirmed the...

Thorney Opportunities Declares Semi-Annual Cash Distribution

Aug 31, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd. has declared a fully paid cash distribution of AUD 0.0165 per ordinary share for the six-month period ended 30 June 2026. The ASX-listed investment company has set an ex-dividend date of 10 September, a record date of 11 Se...

Thorney Opportunities Updates Daily On‑Market Share Buy‑Back

Aug 31, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd. has continued its on‑market share buy‑back program for its ordinary fully paid shares, ticker TOP, providing a daily update to the ASX. The latest notification confirms the company is actively repurchasing stock as part of...

Thorney Opportunities Issues Daily Update on Ongoing Share Buy-Back

Aug 26, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd., an ASX-listed investment company trading under the code TOP, manages a portfolio of market opportunities through its ordinary fully paid shares. It operates in the listed investment sector and actively employs buy-backs an...

Thorney Opportunities Issues Daily Update on Ongoing Share Buy-Back

Aug 25, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd, an ASX-listed investment company trading under ticker TOP, continues to manage its capital structure through active share repurchases of its ordinary fully paid shares. The company operates in the Australian equities market...

Thorney Opportunities Posts Softer Start to FY2027 but Sticks to Value Strategy

Aug 12, 2026

Thorney Opportunities Ltd reported a modest softening in performance at the start of FY2027, with its after-tax net tangible assets per share slipping to 86.7 cents at 31 July from 87.3 cents a month earlier, although its three-year and since-incepti...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026