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Tungsten Mining NL (TGN) AI Stock Analysis

AU:TGN

Tungsten Mining NL

(ASX:TGN)

Select Model
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:AUD 0.18â–¼(-5.26% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:09/30/26

The overall score is very low, driven primarily by the company's pre-revenue status and rapidly deteriorating cash flows, which indicate a high-risk, cash-burning venture. While the strong, debt-free balance sheet provides a critical buffer, it is being consumed by widening losses. Technical trends are bearish, and the negative P/E ratio confirms a lack of current profitability, leaving the stock with few near-term positive catalysts.

Positive Factors
Low financial leverageVery low leverage reduces dependence on debt financing and limits interest and refinancing pressure while projects are advanced. A sizable equity base also provides some balance-sheet capacity to continue exploration and development, although it does not eliminate the need for future funding.
Negative Factors
Minimal and volatile revenueMinimal and volatile revenue indicates that the company has not yet established a dependable operating base. A period with zero revenue leaves project funding and future development dependent on financing or asset outcomes, making near-term earnings visibility and operating scale structurally weak.

Tungsten Mining NL (TGN) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%300%350%AU:TGN+100.00%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 295.69M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
4.63M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-11.4
Beta (1Y)
-0.18
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
-78.49%
Country
Australia
Employees
0
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Industrial Materials

Tungsten Mining NL Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tungsten Mining NL is an Australian-based resources firm that engages in the identification, assessment, and advancement of mineral ventures. Its exploration efforts primarily target deposits rich in tungsten, molybdenum, gold, silver, bismuth, and f...

Tungsten Mining NL Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is critically weak. The income statement shows zero revenue and widening net losses (-$19.1M), while cash flow is deeply negative (-$11.1M operating cash flow). The only support comes from a strong, debt-light balance sheet with $75M in equity, which provides a temporary runway but is being rapidly eroded.

Income Statement

8Very Negative

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

10Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue00106.62K4,230020.79K
Gross Profit-191.48K-416.90K106.62K-992.79K-433.42K-267.75K
EBITDA-21.50M-21.50M-5.38M-4.53M-3.28M-5.22M
Net Income-19.08M-19.08M-7.82M-5.11M-2.93M-5.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets92.16M92.16M42.90M29.85M35.06M36.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments49.32M49.32M2.74M8.31M12.64M14.88M
Total Debt377.78K377.78K4.56M641.11K822.26K412.15K
Total Liabilities17.14M17.14M14.33M2.48M2.58M1.56M
Stockholders Equity75.02M75.02M28.56M27.38M32.49M35.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.24M-11.24M-9.35M-4.06M-1.93M-4.74M
Operating Cash Flow-11.06M-11.06M-5.53M-4.02M-1.91M-4.60M
Investing Cash Flow-786.46K-786.46K-3.81M-42.48K-15.47K444.78K
Financing Cash Flow58.43M58.43M3.80M-268.21K-303.85K-292.43K

Tungsten Mining NL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.19

Price Trends

50DMA0.27Negative
100DMA0.24Negative
200DMA0.25Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.02Negative
RSI33.95Neutral
STOCH52.38Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:TGN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.21, below the 50-day MA of 0.27, and below the 200-day MA of 0.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:TGN.

Tungsten Mining NL Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:TGN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:KGLAU:KGL46NeutralAUD 340.71M-28.85-2.78%――-19.51%
AU:NTUAU:NTU43NeutralAUD 229.06M-5.85-119.39%――-10.81%
AU:HASAU:HAS40UnderperformAUD 46.86M-8.81-5.52%――98.14%
AU:SYRAU:SYR40UnderperformAUD 150.93M-0.49-46.99%―234.01%8.57%
AU:TGNAU:TGN39UnderperformAUD 295.69M-11.45-33.78%――-78.49%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%AU:TGNAU:SYRAU:KGLAU:NTUAU:HASDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:TGN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:TGNTungsten Mining NL0.190.0997.92%
AU:SYRSyrah Resources Limited0.07-0.22-77.59%
AU:KGLKGL Resources Limited0.150.002.74%
AU:NTUNorthern Minerals Limited0.02-0.02-41.46%
AU:HASHastings Technology Metals Limited0.20-0.40-66.72%

Tungsten Mining NL Corporate Events

Tungsten Mining advances Watershed build and confirms world-scale Mt Mulgine economics

Oct 30, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL reported a pivotal September quarter, advancing its two-project strategy built around the Watershed and Mt Mulgine tungsten developments. With A$70.1 million in cash following a A$50 million placement, the company has bolstered its...

Tungsten Mining Issues New Shares on Performance Rights Conversion

Oct 19, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has issued 3,650,000 fully paid ordinary shares following the conversion of an equal number of performance rights granted under its Equity Incentive Plan. The company confirms the shares were issued without a prospectus under the C...

Tungsten Mining NL Seeks ASX Quotation for 3.65 Million New Shares

Oct 19, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has lodged an application with the ASX for quotation of 3,650,000 new ordinary fully paid shares. The securities, issued following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible instruments, will expand the com...

Tungsten Mining NL Cancels 8.5 Million Performance Rights

Oct 19, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has notified the market of the cessation of 8,500,000 performance rights, recorded as having ceased on October 19, 2026 for reasons classified as ‘Other’. This adjustment in issued capital reflects changes to the compan...

Tungsten Mining NL Issues 8.5 Million Unlisted Options

Oct 19, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has notified the market of the issue of 8,500,000 unlisted options as part of a new class of unquoted equity securities. The options, recorded under an Appendix 3G filing, were issued on October 19, 2026, and will not be traded on...

Tungsten Mining NL Sets November Date for AGM and Moves to Digital Notices

Oct 13, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has called its annual general meeting of shareholders for 10:00am WST on 30 November 2026 at DLA Piper in Perth, Western Australia. The company is shifting away from mailing physical meeting notices, instead providing electronic ac...

Tungsten Mining NL Confirms ASX Corporate Governance Compliance for 2026

Sep 29, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has lodged its Appendix 4G and confirmed that its corporate governance statement for the year ended 30 June 2026 is available on its website and current as of 28 September 2026. The statement has been approved by the board, satisfy...

Tungsten Mining NL Updates Corporate Governance Framework

Sep 29, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has released an updated Corporate Governance Statement outlining its framework for board responsibilities, management oversight, and director appointment and evaluation. The document details how the board, chairperson, chief execut...

Tungsten Mining advances Watershed funding with high gearing options

Sep 28, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL is an Australian tungsten-focused miner developing the Watershed project in Far North Queensland and the Mt Mulgine project in Western Australia. By advancing these assets, the company is targeting a stronger position in global cri...

Tungsten Mining NL Confirms Regulatory-Compliant Share Placement to Support Tungsten Growth Strategy

Sep 24, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has issued 156,250,000 fully paid ordinary shares to institutional, sophisticated and professional investors under a share placement announced earlier in September 2026. The company has lodged a cleansing notice confirming the shar...

Tungsten Mining Taps Jefferies to Bolster Funding Strategy for Watershed Project

Sep 24, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has appointed Jefferies as its financial advisor to identify and engage potential strategic investors for the planned development of the Watershed Tungsten Project in Far North Queensland. This follows the recent appointment of Cut...

Tungsten Mining NL Seeks Quotation for 156 Million New ASX Shares

Sep 24, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has applied for the quotation of 156,250,000 new ordinary fully paid shares on the ASX, with an issue date of September 25, 2026. The sizeable share issuance, linked to previously announced transactions, expands the company’s...

Tungsten Mining Plans Major Share Placement for Capital Raising

Sep 21, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has notified the ASX of a proposed placement of up to 156,250,000 ordinary fully paid shares, with the new securities expected to be issued on 25 September 2026. The move signals a planned capital raising that could support the com...

Tungsten Mining Raises $50m to Advance Watershed Tungsten Project

Sep 21, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has secured firm commitments from institutional and professional investors for a $50 million share placement priced at $0.32 per new share, representing discounts to recent trading levels. The capital raise, supported by new and ex...

Tungsten Mining NL Requests Trading Halt Ahead of Potential Capital Raising

Sep 21, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL, an Australian-listed mining company specialising in tungsten and related mineral projects, operates under ASX regulations and targets investors seeking exposure to commodity development plays. Its shares trade on the Australian Se...

Tungsten Mining Confirms High-Grade Concentrates at Watershed Project

Sep 15, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has completed metallurgical testwork at its Watershed Tungsten Project in Queensland, confirming the ability to produce saleable tungsten concentrates grading up to 65.9% WO3. The concentrates were generated via conventional ore-so...

Tungsten Mining Targets Nasdaq Listing as Audit Triggers Prior-Period Restatements

Sep 15, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL says preparations for its planned secondary listing on the Nasdaq Stock Market are progressing, with the company targeting a debut in the fourth quarter of 2026. As part of the listing process, it appointed Grant Thornton Audit Pty...

Tungsten Mining’s Mt Mulgine Study Confirms World-Scale Project Amid Tightening Supply

Sep 6, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has released an investor presentation outlining the outcomes of the pre-feasibility study for its Mt Mulgine Project, which confirms the development as a world-scale tungsten operation. The study highlights strong technical and eco...

Mt Mulgine Study Positions Tungsten Mining for Low-Cost, Tier-One Tungsten Output

Aug 31, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has completed a Pre-Feasibility Study for its Mt Mulgine Tungsten Project, confirming potential to become one of the world’s largest and lowest-cost tungsten operations. The study outlines a 21-year mine life, initial capital...

Tungsten Mining Taps Cutfield Freeman to Advance Watershed Project Funding

Aug 23, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has appointed specialist mining finance advisory firm Cutfield Freeman & Co to devise and execute a debt funding strategy for the Watershed Tungsten Project in Far North Queensland. The adviser brings extensive global mining fi...

Tungsten Mining launches major drilling push to de-risk Watershed project

Aug 10, 2026

Tungsten Mining NL has launched major reverse circulation and diamond drilling programs at its Watershed Tungsten Project in Queensland, marking the next key phase in advancing the mine following positive preliminary economic outcomes released in Jun...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 30, 2026